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For Richer, For Poorer: 37 Years of Compounding

"David, my daughter has a toaster that cost nearly £300. It's a vast, shiny chrome affair, bristling with more knobs and dials than any self-respecting bread-browner has any business having. The first time I tried to use the thing, I couldn't even work out how to get the bread near the elements."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

California, Here They Came

"Glad to hear that, Heidi! Good observation, too. Patience, and satisfaction with incremental progress, does seem undervalued in today's go-go culture."
- D.J.
Read more »

The Vision, the Babe , Einstein and the Q

"Harold Tynes, Let me know the next time you go. I'll buy you a Boulevard KC Pils and we can talk Humble Dollar finance."
- mflack
Read more »

How Far Behind is the IRS?

"Thanks, but my Mom is not really worried about going to prison. I have told her so many times that the IRS is going to throw her in prison that she now understands I am joking. Rightly or wrongly, she has a lot of confidence in me that I will work this out."
- Larry Sayler
Read more »

Note to HD Writers and Contributors

"Welcome back to two of the HD old timers (like me). I hope to see more of them return. 🤞"
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Shopping around – you versus the grocery store

"Actually PepsiCo dropped its prices across the board— snacks as well as soft drinks. I’ve been buying 12 packs of Pepsi Zero at Walmart for little more than $6 for more than a month."
- Marilyn Lavin
Read more »

Somebody Has to Win

HOW DO YOU COMPETE in an investment contest when you’re a firm believer that investors can’t consistently beat the market averages? That was my dilemma several years ago.

A school not far from where I taught was given money by an alumnus to endow the St. Louis Area Collegiate Investment Contest. All colleges and universities in the area are invited to participate in the competition, which is held regularly. Each is given a hypothetical $1 million and asked to select 20 value stocks. An outside investment firm oversees the contest. They “invest” $50,000 in each of the 20 stocks. Whoever’s portfolio is worth the most two years later wins $10,000—real dollars, that is.

How do we select the 20 stocks for our entry? When I explain the contest to students, I also discuss the evidence that most investors don’t outperform the market. I suggest we could tape the stock pages of The Wall Street Journal to the wall and literally throw darts at it. Several students like this option.

But instead, I distribute Value Line’s current list of 100 stocks most likely to outperform the stock market over the next year. To focus on value stocks, I take these 100 stocks deemed most likely to outperform, circle the 40 or so companies with the lowest price-earnings ratios and ask students to select stocks from this list.

Value Line Investment Survey, which is often available at larger libraries, evaluates approximately 1,700 stocks. Value Line gives each stock a timeliness rating from one to five, indicating its belief that the stock will outperform the market over the next year. My initial list for the students draws on those stocks rated one for timeliness.

Rating             Number of Stocks    Meaning

1                      100                             Most likely to outperform

2                      300

3                      900

4                      300

5                      100                             Least likely to outperform

Value Line has a full-page analysis of each of these 1,700 stocks. Each stock gets a full review every 13 weeks, which means each week it updates this detailed analysis for about 130 stocks. But each week, all 1,700 stocks are evaluated for timeliness.

Some 30 or 40 years ago, there were a few academic studies indicating that Value Line could outperform the market averages. I have seen no recent independent studies of Value Line. My guess is that any advantage Value Line might have had decades ago no longer exists.

While I don’t believe Value Line will outperform the market, it’s one way to narrow down the list of potential stocks. It’s definitely safer than letting college students throw darts in a classroom.

Six schools entered the first contest. We won, receiving $10,000 and an oversized check. I took the check to our next faculty meeting and bragged about our business students. Most faculty assumed I had superior stock-picking skills, and I did not disabuse them of that view. But in my heart, I firmly believed it was just luck.

Six years later, we won again. If six schools enter each year, we ought to win about every six years. I didn’t point out that obvious fact when I went to the faculty meeting with that oversized check.

The very next year, we won again. Did that indicate we had a winning method? No. If six schools enter, and if the winner is completely random, the chance of this year’s winner winning again next year is one out of six. While my method of picking stocks might be superior, I believe two wins in a row is simply a random occurrence.

Recently, the contest was modified. Instead of starting just once a year, it now starts every semester. The payoff for winning was reduced from $10,000 once a year to $5,000 each semester. The number of participating schools has dropped to just four or five, increasing our odds of winning each contest.

Although I'm now retired, our school continues to follow the above method. Over the years, we have won $35,000. We call it our slush fund. Our department has used that money for additional faculty enrichment opportunities, student awards, end-of-the-year catered dinners for graduates and their families, and a host of other good causes. Perhaps most important, our finance students have learned some important lessons about how the stock market works.

Larry Sayler is the only person with a Wharton MBA who also graduated from Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey’s Clown College. Earlier in his career, he served as CFO for three manufacturing and service organizations. For 16 years before his retirement, Larry taught accounting at a small Christian college in the Midwest. His brother Kenyon also writes for HumbleDollar. Check out Larry's earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
Read more »

One World, One Kind of Work

"Thank you Jack. When I was in Costa Rica a young man showed us the home he had built on his family plot. It was a simple home but the pride, joy and humbleness that he showed has stayed with me."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Treasury Tax Reporting

IF YOU HAVE a Money Market Fund (e.g. VUSXX, VMFXX), Treasury fund (e.g. SGOV), or any other Treasury ETF (e.g. VBIL), you need to know how to report it on your taxes correctly. If you don’t, you are overpaying on your state taxes unknowingly. 

How and why?

These funds hold U.S. Treasury Bills. Treasuries are exempt from state and local taxes. Of course, this only matters if you hold these funds in a taxable brokerage account, which most people do.

The broker sends you a 1099-DIV form, but it’s your responsibility to figure out how to report it on your taxes correctly. By the way, bad tax preparers can miss this sometimes, or if you self-prepare, this may be something you aren't aware of (I hope most of you reading HumbleDollar are familiar with this!)

This is one of those areas where the reporting rules are technically simple, but the execution is where people mess up. The IRS gets their share regardless (since interest is fully taxable at the federal level), but if you don’t adjust properly, your state will too, even when it shouldn’t.

The 1099-DIV doesn’t break out how much of the dividend was allocated to Treasuries. The software also wouldn’t know how much based on the 1099-DIV. This means that you generally have to figure out how to report it (or ensure your CPA does it correctly).

Now, the 1099-DIV will have a breakdown of every single stock/ETF you have, but you have to find out the percentage of a fund that holds Treasuries.

This percentage is not on your brokerage statement. It comes directly from the fund provider (Vanguard, iShares, Schwab, etc), usually buried in their “tax center” or “year-end tax supplement” pages.

Let me give you an actual example.

Say, in 2025, you received $5,000 of dividends from two funds.

Then, if you scroll down, you will see a “Detail Information” of your dividends:

Interest

We can see that $2,456.78 came from Vanguard Federal Money Market fund.

The entire $2,456.78 will be taxed at the federal level, but how do we figure out what’s taxed at the state level?

This is where the extra step comes is.

During the end of the year, the fund manager (e.g Vanguard for VMFXX) will post a “US government source income information” on their Tax page.

This report tells you what portion of the fund’s income is derived from U.S. government obligations (Treasuries), which is the key to the state tax exemption.

VMFXX

We can see that 66.61% of VMFXX holdings for the 2025 tax year were income derived from the U.S. government and, therefore, are not taxable at the state level.

So, we would take $2,456.78 * 0.6661 = $1,636. Of the total, $1,636 is derived from U.S. obligations, and you would only pay state taxes on the remaining ~$819.

That $2,456.78 is still fully taxable federally. This is strictly a state adjustment.

It’s also important to note that some states say "if less than 50% of the fund is from the U.S. government (like Treasury Bills), you can treat it as 0%.”

For example, California, Connecticut, and New York are some of these states. So, if the fund has only 35% coming from the Treasury, you shouldn’t even calculate the exempt amount for these states.

Now, if you buy Treasuries directly from TreasuryDirect, they will send you a 1099-INT, and you can just enter that information directly into the tax software. No extra calculations are needed. That’s because the income is already clearly identified as U.S. government interest, no allocation required.

So, how do you report that dividend interest calculation?

In most tax softwares, after entering the 1099-DIV, it will ask: "Did a portion of dividends came from a U.S. Government interest?'

So, you would just check it off/select and enter the amount from Treasuries ($1,636 in our example).

Behind the scenes, this flows into your state return as a subtraction or adjustment, depending on the state.

Some software might ask for the percentage of dividends that are state tax exempt. However, this is a bit tricky because you might receive other dividends in your brokerage account.

In that case, calculate the amount from the Treasury, say $1,636, and divide it by your total dividend amount (e.g. $5,000)

If you have someone do your taxes and you have some of these Money Market Funds or other Treasury ETFs, double-check your state tax return and see the amounts reported. This will save you some money. It's also not too late to amend your tax return if this was missed.

Specifically, look for a “U.S. government interest subtraction” or similarly labeled line item on your state return. If it’s zero and you held these funds, that’s a red flag.

If you live in a no tax state, this would not apply to you, but still good to know in case you move!

I hope you found this one valuable.

  Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.
Read more »

Is saving really that hard? Nope, not for the great majority of Americans. 

"Then this country and the future of retirement is in serious trouble. At the same time 76 million Americans attend a Disney resort each year with families spending $5,000 to $9,000 each visit and many visiting multiple times. I’m pretty sure those families are not only the upper 20% There is always money to spend, not so much to save I guess."
- R Quinn
Read more »

The great COLA debate-maybe not the expected solution.

"Richard: I agree with much of that, particularly your last sentence. Seems that should already be the case. Where I differ is that our pensions are partially funded by our employers, partially by mandatory deductions from our pay, and a very small portion, 1-2%, by the State, thus, from taxes. Most of us considered our mandatory deductions to be very much like taxes, and, of course, the portion our employers (school districts) paid was funded primarily through property taxes."
- Dave Melick
Read more »

Happy 50th!

"thanx to bogle and malkiel for helping millions of retail investors everyone should read their books"
- Kenneth Tobin
Read more »

For Richer, For Poorer: 37 Years of Compounding

"David, my daughter has a toaster that cost nearly £300. It's a vast, shiny chrome affair, bristling with more knobs and dials than any self-respecting bread-browner has any business having. The first time I tried to use the thing, I couldn't even work out how to get the bread near the elements."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

California, Here They Came

"Glad to hear that, Heidi! Good observation, too. Patience, and satisfaction with incremental progress, does seem undervalued in today's go-go culture."
- D.J.
Read more »

The Vision, the Babe , Einstein and the Q

"Harold Tynes, Let me know the next time you go. I'll buy you a Boulevard KC Pils and we can talk Humble Dollar finance."
- mflack
Read more »

How Far Behind is the IRS?

"Thanks, but my Mom is not really worried about going to prison. I have told her so many times that the IRS is going to throw her in prison that she now understands I am joking. Rightly or wrongly, she has a lot of confidence in me that I will work this out."
- Larry Sayler
Read more »

Note to HD Writers and Contributors

"Welcome back to two of the HD old timers (like me). I hope to see more of them return. 🤞"
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Shopping around – you versus the grocery store

"Actually PepsiCo dropped its prices across the board— snacks as well as soft drinks. I’ve been buying 12 packs of Pepsi Zero at Walmart for little more than $6 for more than a month."
- Marilyn Lavin
Read more »

Somebody Has to Win

HOW DO YOU COMPETE in an investment contest when you’re a firm believer that investors can’t consistently beat the market averages? That was my dilemma several years ago.

A school not far from where I taught was given money by an alumnus to endow the St. Louis Area Collegiate Investment Contest. All colleges and universities in the area are invited to participate in the competition, which is held regularly. Each is given a hypothetical $1 million and asked to select 20 value stocks. An outside investment firm oversees the contest. They “invest” $50,000 in each of the 20 stocks. Whoever’s portfolio is worth the most two years later wins $10,000—real dollars, that is.

How do we select the 20 stocks for our entry? When I explain the contest to students, I also discuss the evidence that most investors don’t outperform the market. I suggest we could tape the stock pages of The Wall Street Journal to the wall and literally throw darts at it. Several students like this option.

But instead, I distribute Value Line’s current list of 100 stocks most likely to outperform the stock market over the next year. To focus on value stocks, I take these 100 stocks deemed most likely to outperform, circle the 40 or so companies with the lowest price-earnings ratios and ask students to select stocks from this list.

Value Line Investment Survey, which is often available at larger libraries, evaluates approximately 1,700 stocks. Value Line gives each stock a timeliness rating from one to five, indicating its belief that the stock will outperform the market over the next year. My initial list for the students draws on those stocks rated one for timeliness.

Rating             Number of Stocks    Meaning

1                      100                             Most likely to outperform

2                      300

3                      900

4                      300

5                      100                             Least likely to outperform

Value Line has a full-page analysis of each of these 1,700 stocks. Each stock gets a full review every 13 weeks, which means each week it updates this detailed analysis for about 130 stocks. But each week, all 1,700 stocks are evaluated for timeliness.

Some 30 or 40 years ago, there were a few academic studies indicating that Value Line could outperform the market averages. I have seen no recent independent studies of Value Line. My guess is that any advantage Value Line might have had decades ago no longer exists.

While I don’t believe Value Line will outperform the market, it’s one way to narrow down the list of potential stocks. It’s definitely safer than letting college students throw darts in a classroom.

Six schools entered the first contest. We won, receiving $10,000 and an oversized check. I took the check to our next faculty meeting and bragged about our business students. Most faculty assumed I had superior stock-picking skills, and I did not disabuse them of that view. But in my heart, I firmly believed it was just luck.

Six years later, we won again. If six schools enter each year, we ought to win about every six years. I didn’t point out that obvious fact when I went to the faculty meeting with that oversized check.

The very next year, we won again. Did that indicate we had a winning method? No. If six schools enter, and if the winner is completely random, the chance of this year’s winner winning again next year is one out of six. While my method of picking stocks might be superior, I believe two wins in a row is simply a random occurrence.

Recently, the contest was modified. Instead of starting just once a year, it now starts every semester. The payoff for winning was reduced from $10,000 once a year to $5,000 each semester. The number of participating schools has dropped to just four or five, increasing our odds of winning each contest.

Although I'm now retired, our school continues to follow the above method. Over the years, we have won $35,000. We call it our slush fund. Our department has used that money for additional faculty enrichment opportunities, student awards, end-of-the-year catered dinners for graduates and their families, and a host of other good causes. Perhaps most important, our finance students have learned some important lessons about how the stock market works.

Larry Sayler is the only person with a Wharton MBA who also graduated from Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey’s Clown College. Earlier in his career, he served as CFO for three manufacturing and service organizations. For 16 years before his retirement, Larry taught accounting at a small Christian college in the Midwest. His brother Kenyon also writes for HumbleDollar. Check out Larry's earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
Read more »

One World, One Kind of Work

"Thank you Jack. When I was in Costa Rica a young man showed us the home he had built on his family plot. It was a simple home but the pride, joy and humbleness that he showed has stayed with me."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Treasury Tax Reporting

IF YOU HAVE a Money Market Fund (e.g. VUSXX, VMFXX), Treasury fund (e.g. SGOV), or any other Treasury ETF (e.g. VBIL), you need to know how to report it on your taxes correctly. If you don’t, you are overpaying on your state taxes unknowingly. 

How and why?

These funds hold U.S. Treasury Bills. Treasuries are exempt from state and local taxes. Of course, this only matters if you hold these funds in a taxable brokerage account, which most people do.

The broker sends you a 1099-DIV form, but it’s your responsibility to figure out how to report it on your taxes correctly. By the way, bad tax preparers can miss this sometimes, or if you self-prepare, this may be something you aren't aware of (I hope most of you reading HumbleDollar are familiar with this!)

This is one of those areas where the reporting rules are technically simple, but the execution is where people mess up. The IRS gets their share regardless (since interest is fully taxable at the federal level), but if you don’t adjust properly, your state will too, even when it shouldn’t.

The 1099-DIV doesn’t break out how much of the dividend was allocated to Treasuries. The software also wouldn’t know how much based on the 1099-DIV. This means that you generally have to figure out how to report it (or ensure your CPA does it correctly).

Now, the 1099-DIV will have a breakdown of every single stock/ETF you have, but you have to find out the percentage of a fund that holds Treasuries.

This percentage is not on your brokerage statement. It comes directly from the fund provider (Vanguard, iShares, Schwab, etc), usually buried in their “tax center” or “year-end tax supplement” pages.

Let me give you an actual example.

Say, in 2025, you received $5,000 of dividends from two funds.

Then, if you scroll down, you will see a “Detail Information” of your dividends:

Interest

We can see that $2,456.78 came from Vanguard Federal Money Market fund.

The entire $2,456.78 will be taxed at the federal level, but how do we figure out what’s taxed at the state level?

This is where the extra step comes is.

During the end of the year, the fund manager (e.g Vanguard for VMFXX) will post a “US government source income information” on their Tax page.

This report tells you what portion of the fund’s income is derived from U.S. government obligations (Treasuries), which is the key to the state tax exemption.

VMFXX

We can see that 66.61% of VMFXX holdings for the 2025 tax year were income derived from the U.S. government and, therefore, are not taxable at the state level.

So, we would take $2,456.78 * 0.6661 = $1,636. Of the total, $1,636 is derived from U.S. obligations, and you would only pay state taxes on the remaining ~$819.

That $2,456.78 is still fully taxable federally. This is strictly a state adjustment.

It’s also important to note that some states say "if less than 50% of the fund is from the U.S. government (like Treasury Bills), you can treat it as 0%.”

For example, California, Connecticut, and New York are some of these states. So, if the fund has only 35% coming from the Treasury, you shouldn’t even calculate the exempt amount for these states.

Now, if you buy Treasuries directly from TreasuryDirect, they will send you a 1099-INT, and you can just enter that information directly into the tax software. No extra calculations are needed. That’s because the income is already clearly identified as U.S. government interest, no allocation required.

So, how do you report that dividend interest calculation?

In most tax softwares, after entering the 1099-DIV, it will ask: "Did a portion of dividends came from a U.S. Government interest?'

So, you would just check it off/select and enter the amount from Treasuries ($1,636 in our example).

Behind the scenes, this flows into your state return as a subtraction or adjustment, depending on the state.

Some software might ask for the percentage of dividends that are state tax exempt. However, this is a bit tricky because you might receive other dividends in your brokerage account.

In that case, calculate the amount from the Treasury, say $1,636, and divide it by your total dividend amount (e.g. $5,000)

If you have someone do your taxes and you have some of these Money Market Funds or other Treasury ETFs, double-check your state tax return and see the amounts reported. This will save you some money. It's also not too late to amend your tax return if this was missed.

Specifically, look for a “U.S. government interest subtraction” or similarly labeled line item on your state return. If it’s zero and you held these funds, that’s a red flag.

If you live in a no tax state, this would not apply to you, but still good to know in case you move!

I hope you found this one valuable.

  Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.
Read more »

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Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 2: WE GET one shot at making the financial journey from here to retirement—and failure is not an option, so we should save like crazy, avoid big investment bets and insure against major risks.

think

NEGATIVE BONDS. When we buy bonds, we lend to others and receive interest in return. Borrowing can be seen as a negative bond: Others lend to us—and we pay them interest. Typically, the interest rate we pay on borrowed money is higher than the yield we can earn by buying bonds. The upshot: Paying down debt is often the smartest “bond” we can buy.

humans

NO. 2: WE FOCUS on today—and shortchange tomorrow. Our nomadic ancestors didn’t worry about the long term. Instead, they focused on surviving today, which meant consuming as much as they could whenever they could. Those instincts live on within us, driving our spending, saving and investing behavior—and causing long-term financial damage.

act

CHECK YOUR retirement readiness. Try the simple calculators from AARP and Vanguard Group. Neither requires you to create an account. Each will give you a somewhat different assessment—a reminder that such projections are a rough-and-ready business. Still, you should get a sense for whether you're on track for a comfortable retirement or off the rails.

Investment math

Manifesto

NO. 2: WE GET one shot at making the financial journey from here to retirement—and failure is not an option, so we should save like crazy, avoid big investment bets and insure against major risks.

Spotlight: Family

Do Who You Are

THE ONLY DREAM I HAD for my son was that he’d get a job. To most parents, this probably seems like small thinking. Why wasn’t I dreaming of him walking across the stage after earning his medical degree, or walking down the aisle with his new bride, or the joy of him holding his first child? Because that would not be his reality.
It took me a while to accept this. Based on my life,

Read more »

Talking to your kids about money

Ran across this. Not HD content or indeed probably the average HDer being discussed but interesting on the general problems faced by over 60s
https://sherwood.news/personal-finance/boomers-money-secrets-millennial-gen-z-troubles/
I’ve always thought inheritance would eventually be the only way many of their grandkids would achieve real financial security but it seems some may be passing on a millstone in legacy.
 

Read more »

Special Care Needed

FATHERHOOD WASN’T one of my life goals. I didn’t feel like I had a wonderful childhood, so I didn’t think I had much to offer my offspring that would help them to lead a wonderful life. If children happened, okay, but it was never a goal.
My first marriage ended because I placed money over fatherhood. I thought not having kids would speed my path to wealth. My wife disagreed—and walked out.
When I met my current wife,

Read more »

Getting Roasted

“YOU WILL ROTH!”
“But Dad, I’m only 10.”
“Evan, it is never too early to start saving. Besides, this gives you 70-plus years of compounding.”
“Yes, Dad, but didn’t you tell me last week that I need a job and earned income to contribute to a Roth?”
“We can arrange to get you a paycheck. I’ll get a friend or neighbor to hire you. What would you like to do?”
“I like to play soccer.”
“Evan,

Read more »

Allowance for Children: Yes or No?

I want to thank Jonathan Clements for his article on allowances for children many years ago while I was raising my children. After reading the article I decided to give my two children age 13 and 5 at the time a monthly allowance. For this allowance they had to buy their own clothing. My daughter at age 13 was initially appalled at having to buy her own clothes. We did agree that we would buy big clothing items such as a.

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Two income households and money matters

As I read through the comments and posts on HD I often see a comment related to a spouse’s employment/retirement. Is a two income family as common as it appears to be?
How does a dual income impact financial and retirement planning? Is it easier or more complicated? Are family finances viewed as one pool or separate?
Are there conflicts when one spouse retires while the other works?
Are financial/Investment decisions made by individual or as one portfolio?

Read more »

Spotlight: Crothers

The High Cost of Financial Advice: A Tale of Two Portfolios Revisited

Last summer, I wrote about a frustrating dynamic in our household: I manage my portfolio with low-cost index funds, while my wife Suzie pays nearly 2% annually to a wealth manager. Several comments asked for an update on my campaign to win her over to a lower-cost approach that would benefit our combined future wealth. My initial efforts got Suzie to open a Vanguard account, which we funded with cash in a money market fund. This let her get comfortable with the platform. The plan was to gradually transfer money from her wealth manager into a simple 60/40 allocation between a global developed markets fund and a global bond fund. But we never got there. Despite gentle encouragement, Suzie couldn't bring herself to give up the psychological safety net her advisor provided. We hit a stalemate. Suzie acknowledged the fees were excessive, but she wouldn't actually make the move. The issue simmered in the background for six months until her next scheduled review meeting at a local coffee shop. Beforehand, I asked if I could push hard on the fees and hint that we might move the account if they couldn't negotiate. She gave me the green light.I accepted their free coffee and, after some small talk, got to work. When they claimed active management outperforms, I asked to see their net-of-fee performance benchmarked against a basic 60/40 portfolio. The meeting stretched on much longer than expected—I even got a free lunch out of it. The compromise we reached isn't something I'd choose for myself, but it's a massive improvement for Suzie. Though I'll admit, I was skeptical about the timing. It seems they'd recently partnered with a large UK investment firm to offer lower-cost portfolios to clients. Had this option always existed and they just hadn't mentioned it? Or…
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Humble 10% Win: The First Financial Benefit of Retirement

I've just encountered the first positive financial benefit of officially being retired from the workforce. My car insurance renewal notice appeared in my inbox, and being the person I am, I contacted the insurance company to inform them of my change in circumstances from employed to retired. What's particularly noteworthy for those of us just starting retirement is to remember to contact your insurer. Many people might just pay the renewal notice without thinking about updating their information. A simple phone call led to a 10% saving. This shows the importance of staying on top of your finances and actively communicating with service providers about any life changes. A 10% saving is a nice little win for a phone call, and as the saying goes, every little bit helps. Now I have a bigger problem, what am I going to spend that $40 on???
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Building a Secure Retirement, 10 Years at a Time.

In an earlier article, I described my unexpected decision to use fixed-term immediate annuities (FTIA) to form a floor for my expenses over the next ten years. I thought you might find it of interest if I expand on this, relating to the balance of our income needs and how this might play out over the longer term. To be clear and upfront this strategy is “Prioritizing Income Generation Over Capital Preservation” but not in a reckless way and could change over each 10 year block. My modelling suggests a 40 year time frame with average returns would be achievable at our inflation adjusted spending levels and still leave portfolio legacy considerations. My FTIA provides an initial 65% of our needs, declining as a percentage as inflation takes its toll over the time frame. The inflation adjusted 35% top up to this (to include inflation adjusting the original 65% FTIA) is going to come from a combination of after tax cash and pre-tax short term bonds to manage tax band issues. Equity holdings may also be used if they exceed my spreadsheet performance projections of 2% real returns. This in my mind is a form of liability matching in so far as I'm matching low volatility assets to future consumption needs over a ten year time frame. I see no need to deviate from this basic liability matching strategy over the following ten year block. I realise not everyone may have the resources to do so. The details may be different; it's unknowable at present if FTIAs or other short term products will offer value, but it will definitely be something I research closer to the time. By the time the second ten year block is implemented, social security for both of us and a small defined benefit (DB) pension…
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My Dream: Derailed by Data

The occasional heated posts directed at a certain esteemed, HumbleDollar contributor, regarding his disdain for spreadsheets, always amuse me. While I find them entertaining, they sometimes become a bit uncivilized. I actually sympathize with his views, and my own use of spreadsheets is quite sparing. I believe that common sense, rule-of-thumb heuristics, and an individual's intimate knowledge of their own circumstances are more than sufficient for everyday budgeting. However, I do construct the odd spreadsheet, very occasionally. My latest foray into spreadsheet creation came from a rambling discourse with myself when a particular thought piqued my interest. Suzie and I have set up fixed annuities to the limit of our 0% income tax bracket. What if we took the rest of our income needs from after-tax accounts for the next 10 years, paying absolutely no personal taxes? This seemed like a splendid idea! "Good old brain," I thought, "you've done me proud!" The more I considered it, the more I liked it. I reasoned that the money saved from not paying taxes would compound over the timeframe, resulting in an excellent outcome. And paying no tax for ten years? Who wouldn't love that? I felt very pleased with myself for coming up with this strategy. Over the next few days, I decided to script a spreadsheet to get a feeling for our potential savings. After much brain activity, I completed the spreadsheet and input all the required information. To my dismay, the computer said no. This was devastating to my dreams of a tax-free decade and my desire to snub the tax authorities. It turns out we would be approximately 10% worse off over a 30-year timeframe if we optimized for ten years of zero tax. So I guess it shows that even my most splendid ideas need a bit…
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A Rule of Thumb Is Not a Plan

Occasionally I read about a new method or model for determining your portfolio withdrawal rate during retirement, or a formula to use when setting your asset allocation. While there's nothing wrong with organisations trying to make things simple with these important questions, I sometimes wonder about how the research is framed. Normally it's a respectable financial institution, quite often backed by research from an in-house team or an academic institution, sometimes a combination of both. I'm sure the data and back-testing is rigorous and the intention is genuinely to help people figure things out. But I think the veneer of respectability can lull readers into a false sense of security. However you dress these research papers up, a simple truth is often lost in the data and jargon. They are all just rules of thumb. Useful perhaps as a rough outline, but not a substitute for planning grounded in your own personal circumstances. While it's the best tool we have, back-testing, as the name implies, is backward-looking. It tells you what would have worked across historical sequences of returns. It says nothing meaningful about your specific thirty-year window, which is genuinely personal. Markets, inflation, healthcare costs, tax policy, none of these will behave exactly as they have before. A rule derived from the past is being asked to do a job in an unknowable future. So leaning heavily on these shortcuts when making decisions about your financial future is, I think, a mistake. The question is what you should do instead. At the very least you should start by building a realistic picture of your yearly spending needs and mapping this across your planning horizon. I know that sounds straightforward but most people underestimate what it actually involves. Your spending won't be flat. Early retirement often brings higher discretionary costs:…
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What They Don’t Tell You About Retirement: Part 2 – Grandchildren Are Expensive

I know I and many others mockingly complain in a joking manner about our grandkids costing us a "fortune" when they visit—but with no malice intended, did you actually consider these costs when crafting your retirement spending plan? I certainly never thought about this; it didn't even cross my mind. Maybe I'm being too generous, or perhaps I've had a run of bad luck. In recent months, my granddaughter dropped an iPad, requiring a replacement, and my grandson accidentally let a toy car slip from his hand while spinning around, resulting in a car-shaped hole in our TV. Some costs we did consider beforehand: Christmas and birthday presents, for example, along with money we put into savings accounts for their future. Beyond that, I never thought through the scope of other expenses, and these, I've found, can build up over time. My daughter works hard but struggles financially, and Suzie and I feel an obligation and need to "help out" with care costs. Recently we purchased a school uniform for our grandson and all his back-to-school essentials, plus a daycare uniform for our granddaughter. Although I don't really understand this expense, we also pay a monthly subscription for games on his Xbox. During the summer, our grandson stayed with us at our holiday home. Eating out involved an extra hungry mouth with hollow legs attached! Requests for money to visit the harbour shop with his friends soon mount up. We both enjoy playing golf together—that's another extra cost. The thing is, we handed this out without a thought or any regrets; he's my grandson. But it's certainly not spending we detailed on any spreadsheet. It's natural that love for our family makes us blind to these costs—after all, what good is our wealth if we don't use it to improve…
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