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Would You Be Miserable?

"I think your last paragraph is spot on!"
- David Rhoades
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How to Use AI With Your Portfolio

"Which AI tools are the best to use? I'm concerned that my financial data would be scraped and used somehow by [who knows what or whom?]."
- 1PF
Read more »

Time to share our financial info with children?

"I urge you to share, RDQ, with all four of your children. I suspect it will remove a huge, perhaps subconscious, load from your shoulders. My father began sharing his financial information with me, an only child, when I was in my 20s. Then, I hated it, as he reviewed his accounts and investment deliberations in great detail; I barely had the patience to listen. I also never counted on inheriting (the step family situation was fluid), and these talks did not alter my savings path. Over time, I grew to respect my father for sharing. I learned much, too. As his eventual executor, my understanding of his finances made my work that much easier. I already had a checklist. And the best part was that my father asked what I would do were I to inherit. We spoke of philanthropy and it pleased him to know that his money would be put to good use. He passed two decades ago, but I feel him with me to this day as I realize my giving plans."
- Jo Bo
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A $1,000 Conversation With My Daughter

"Dan, my youngest daughter has never been great at listening to her old dad — so I figured I'd meet her where she lives. Sent it to her on WhatsApp. Funny how a phone screen carries more authority than I do. 😉"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Peter Cancro from age 14 to 69 covered in oil and vinegar

"Totally agree — no jealousy or resentment. To the contrary, I appreciate the hard work, risk taking and success. I’ll take a Jersey Mike’s Club Sub with hot pepper relish on rosemary parmesan bread, please."
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Reflections on a Quiet Failure

"Just a comment from a 71 year old HD reader who is retired and not in the same financial league as most of the HD posters. I came across a blurb in the NYT about Jonathan Clements about 2 or 3 years ago and that sparked my curiosity... what was this HD thing all about. Would there be any info to give me ideas about managing my own finances as well as my aunt's? ( I am POA for a 98 year old living in personal care bldg in PA) You are right that broad financial planning education should start in the home or even in school. Just saving for a small goal ( bicycle/ toy/ car) or tithing is a place to start. If that is not available, I think the workplace is the next best place, since that is where 401k's start. I did not start saving for retirement until I was 28 and had a steady job after college . My own curiosity is the driving force behind understanding more about managing what I have accumulated. Sometimes I don't understand topics in HD, sometimes they spur me to look further. We live frugally on just Social Security , no pensions, and my husband's RMD from a small IRA ( like 200,000). I did a very large Roth conversion, very stupid on my part, but I see that as a good thing down the road. We have everything we need, can get our taxes done with VITA ( they max out at 70,000 per year to qualify) The eye opener for me has been taking my aunt's taxes to a CPA and seeing how they suggest doing this or that to meet income ceilings for Federal taxes ( sale of house, higher income from her 401k, gains from a brokerage etc. ). I am learning by fire, but welcome the challenge, even with my limited experience . Please keep the information coming, even for this retiree!"
- C Z
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The Quiet Failure of Good Advice

"Do you spend exclusively out of your equities until a downtrend? And if so, how do you define a downtrend/tizzy to make the switch from spending from equity allocation to begin spending from cash allocation?"
- Andy Morrison
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Bucket Strategy

A WHILE BACK, I was speaking with a fellow who had recently retired. He shared this observation, only half-jokingly: “Working was easy,” he said. What he meant was that financial management during our working years is more straightforward than it is in retirement. We earn and save and hope that our savings grow. But when we get to retirement, it becomes more complicated to know exactly how to manage those savings. In the 1950s, a Ph.D. student named Harry Markowitz developed a framework to help investors answer this question. His approach, which is now known as modern portfolio theory, provided new insights on how to effectively diversify a portfolio. He later won a Nobel Prize for this work. But useful as it was, modern portfolio theory involved a lot of math and didn’t offer investors any practical help in managing their savings. Other academic theories have emerged over the years, but all of them involved similar levels of complexity. It was for that reason that in 1985, financial planner Harold Evensky developed an idea that’s now known as the “bucket strategy.” The idea is that investors—especially those in retirement—should segment their portfolios. To understand this idea, we can look at a simple example. Suppose Tom is a recent retiree and planning to withdraw 5% of his portfolio each year for the next several years. To protect against a potential stock market downturn, it would be reasonable for him to hold five years worth of withdrawals in some combination of cash and short-term bonds, since that corresponds, more or less, to the length of the worst stock market downturns we’ve seen in modern times.  In Evensky’s model, cash and bonds would be the first bucket, and the math is straightforward: If Tom wants to withdraw 5% each year and wants to set aside enough for five years, then he’d hold 25% (that is, 5% x 5) in the first bucket. With that 25% allocated to bonds for stability, Tom could then feel free to allocate the remaining 75% to stocks. The benefit of this structure is that Tom would then have the flexibility to withdraw from either the stock or bond side of his portfolio depending on where the stock market stood in any given year. Most importantly, by putting a wall between his stocks and his bonds, Tom would be able to avoid selling stocks during market downturns. The bucket concept can be very useful, but it’s important to know that there isn’t just one bucket strategy. Since Evensky first introduced the idea 40 years ago, a handful of alternatives have evolved. Evensky’s original structure consisted of just two buckets. This makes it simple and easy to manage. A downside, though, is that bonds can still lose money, so neither of the two buckets could be considered truly safe. In 2022, in fact, total-bond market funds lost more than 10% of their value, and it took several years for investors to get back to even. Thus, one of the most popular ways to structure a bucket portfolio is to add a third bucket, for cash. To be sure, cash doesn’t offer much growth potential. But it would’ve been extremely helpful in a year like 2022, when both bonds and stocks lost money. While it provides more protection, the downside of a three-bucket approach is that it’s more complicated and somewhat harder to manage. Proponents, however, argue that it doesn’t require much more effort than traditional portfolio rebalancing and is well worth the effort. In his book, The Aspirational Investor, Ashvin Chhabra lays out another bucket alternative. Chhabra is less concerned with the distinction between bonds and cash. Instead, he advises investors to focus on the riskier side of their portfolios. He suggests that investors distinguish between standard, publicly-traded stock market investments and any alternative assets, such as private funds and real estate, that they might hold. Chhabra feels this segmentation is important because of the nature of alternative investments. They’re a little like lottery tickets: They can turn into home runs but can also go to zero. If you’re constructing a portfolio and like the idea of a bucket approach, which way should you go?  Since each of these approaches has merit, you could combine them all, creating a four-bucket setup, consisting of cash, bonds, stocks and alternatives. That wouldn’t be unreasonable, but it would also ratchet up the complexity level. Here’s the approach I recommend: First, like Chhabra, I would draw a distinction between traditional assets and alternatives. Traditional, publicly-traded investments, including standard stock and bond mutual funds and ETFs, would go in your core portfolio. These are the assets around which you’d build your plan.  Alternatives, if you own them, would go in their own separate bucket. In general, I don’t recommend these types of assets because their performance is more variable and more unpredictable, and because they tend to carry higher fees. But if you already own some alternatives, I’d separate them from your financial plan and view them only as a bonus if they deliver value. In other words, make sure that your financial plan will still work if you were to rely on only your core portfolio. Within the core, I’d have just two buckets: one for stocks and one for bonds. The result is that you would have just two buckets, plus alternatives, if you happen to own them. But what about cash, since, as we saw earlier, bonds aren’t guaranteed and can certainly lose money? In my view, a dedicated, separate cash bucket isn’t necessary. Instead, what I recommend is to be diligent in diversifying your bond holdings. I wouldn’t own a total-bond market fund. Instead, take a building block approach, holding some short-term and some intermediate-term bond funds. Short-term funds will shine when rates are rising because they’ll decline much less than total-market funds. Intermediate-term bonds, on the other hand, will shine when rates are dropping. You could also add some inflation-protected bonds to round out your holdings. At the end of the day, the best portfolio structure is the one that’s simple to manage while also protecting your savings from whatever surprises the market delivers.   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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ChatGPT’s Portfolio Advice

"I used Boldin a few years ago with a trial, downloaded the information then cancelled the membership. Once we both claim Social Security I will start an actual membership and run the numbers with those inputs to see where we stand. I realized that with Boldin’s Monte Carlo I no longer need to pay for a financial advisor to do the work."
- DavidHLancaster
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Setting the Hook, Reeling In the Fish

"The soundness of Roth conversions varies from case to case. You and Bogdan (Mega Backdoor Roth) describe worthwhile strategies.  Your final sentence best describes the point I was making; …. I don’t do steak dinners, I cook my own….  Enjoy that new grill!"
- Dan Smith
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Terms of the Trade

CONSUMER ECONOMICS and media literacy have evolved to become important fields of study, analyzing the way consumers make decisions—and how those decisions can be nudged. Here are 20 of the tricks and techniques used by marketers and others: Aspirational buying. When consumers are encouraged to live like those they admire, even if they can’t afford it. Bandwagon appeal. The psychological nudge to do—or consume—something because others are doing it. Also known as FOMO, or fear of missing out. Bundling. The practice of offering multiple, usually related, goods and services at a lower price than if each item were purchased separately. This is great if you’ll use the entire bundle, but a waste of resources and money if you don’t. Dog whistle. An indirect or implied message meant to communicate with a particular group, often placed within a broader, more general message, thus allowing the messenger to deny meaning it. It can also reinforce a “you’re an insider” sense of affiliation. Saying something is only for “the right people” can make us want to be one of those “right people." Eye candy. Visual images that are superficially attractive and entertaining but are unnecessary or unrelated to the subject at hand, such as flashing lights and attractive spokespeople. False statistics. Using graphs, charts or statistics that sound precise—yet even the four out of five dentists who preferred Trident gum can find these numbers suspect. Feedback loop. A phenomenon whereby the media, reporting a purported “hot” trend, inspires consumers to follow the trend. This seemingly confirms the initial report. Flattery. A technique where the potential consumer is complimented as part of the sales pitch. "Because you're worth it."  "Don't you deserve the best?" Such phrases induce consumers to feel good about the product, making them more likely to buy. Freemium. Giving away a base-level product for free, but then offering paid upgrades and enhancements once the buyer is hooked. A common practice in gaming. Hasty generalization. A conclusion drawn from insufficient evidence, such as ascribing the characteristic of a few members of a group to all of the group’s members. It also includes proof by anecdotal evidence. “I once knew a guy from Florida who lost weight by eating only alligator meat, so it must work.” Hedging. Subtly limiting or equivocating a claim, so as to reduce the guarantee or assertion made in the claim. “Studies indicate there may absolutely be a connection between hedging and people slipping on soap.” Hyperbole. Exaggerated claims or statements used as a tool of promotion, but not as a statement of fact. It’s only false advertising if a “reasonable person” would believe facts are being stated. Juxtaposition. Placing items, whether physical objects, pictures or statements, side by side to invite comparison. “I’m not saying it works. I’m just putting these pictures of before and after in front of you, and I’ll let you decide.” Nostalgia. Invoking simpler, better times can make us want a particular product, even if we don’t remember what those times were really like. Panache. Having a style or manner, usually indicating superior socio-economic status. Can be done by an affectation, such as giving American ice cream an exotic Dutch name, or spelling colour or theatre in the English way. Also called posing. Poisoning the well. One side introduces negative facts or perceptions about the other side, putting the other side at an immediate disadvantage. “Only an idiot would buy….”  It can include the ad hominem fallacy, where a messenger doesn’t address the substantive differences, but attacks a competitor’s or opponent’s motives or credentials. Plain folks. Having people just like you speak on behalf of a product, except—unlike you—they’re getting paid.   Stacking. Skewing experiments, data or the presentation of data in a way that helps market a good or service. One allergy pill claimed it was the only one clinically proven effective. The fine print noted it was the only pill tested in the clinical trial. Testimonial. Having a false expert—like a famous person or a guy who isn’t a doctor but plays one on TV—advocate for a product. A popular NFL quarterback was everywhere on Dallas TV as the “official spokesperson” for a brick company. Truthiness. A term coined by Stephen Colbert, it’s when the appeal is made to our “gut,” no matter what the actual data says. “Everyone knows….” It’s based on confirmation bias, our tendency to accept or reject data based on whether it supports or refutes beliefs we already hold. Jim Wasserman is a former business litigation attorney who taught economics and humanities for 20 years. Check out his follow-up article, Choice Words. Jim’s series of books on teaching behavioral economics and media literacy,  Media, Marketing, and Me, is being published in 2019. Jim lives in Granada, Spain, with his wife and fellow HumbleDollar contributor, Jiab. Together, they write a blog on retirement, finance and living abroad at YourThirdLife.com. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Money and Me

JONATHAN CLEMENTS’S final book was released this week. Titled Money and Me, it traces the arc of Jonathan’s nearly four-decade career as a personal finance columnist.

Money and Me starts with the story of a man named George Cope, who was a nineteenth century tobacco baron. At the time of his death in 1888, Cope was one of Britain’s richest men. But within just two generations, his fortune was gone. Why? Cope’s daughter was the sole heir to her father’s fortune, but she lived what Jonathan described as a Downton Abbey lifestyle, on an estate in the Cotswolds with five homes and eight children. Before long, the fortune was gone.

This story was of interest to Jonathan because George Cope was his great-great-grandfather. He called it the “big family story” and explains that this hard financial lesson was imprinted on everyone in his family from a young age.

In part because of this family story, Jonathan got interested in personal finance, and, among his peers, was early in focusing on the psychology of money. “I like to think I’m rational in the way I spend my dollars, and I suspect most readers do, too. We are, of course, deluding ourselves,” he wrote.

Early in his career, Jonathan covered mutual funds for Forbes, then The Wall Street Journal. Each week, he'd review a different fund and interview the fund’s manager. From that vantage point, he was early in recognizing a reality about Wall Street: that they’re great marketers but not such great investment managers. After reviewing scores of actively-managed funds, Jonathan came to the conclusion that index funds were a better way to go for most investors.

Since the investing question was “solved,” as he put it, by index funds, Jonathan turned his attention to other domains in personal finance. The relationship between money and happiness was of particular interest. Though he acknowledged that each of us has a happiness “set point” that is largely fixed, he pointed out that our happiness level isn’t entirely fixed. There’s plenty we can do to move the needle.

A chapter titled “15 Ways to Happy” includes a number of practical suggestions. Among them: Jonathan always recommended making plans—especially vacation plans—far in advance. Why? “Often, the best part of a purchase or experience is the anticipation, he explained.And since it doesn’t cost more to book early—indeed, it often costs less—that was his recommendation.

Jonathan leaned heavily on academic research and helped translate its findings for everyday investors. In Money and Me, he explains concepts from psychology including the hedonic treadmill, eudaimonic happiness and many others. Jonathan acknowledged that there’s no magic wand for achieving happiness. On the other hand, he explains why a million-dollar salary isn’t a necessary ingredient for financial contentment.

Jonathan also wrote a lot about spending. On the one hand, owing to his family’s experience, he developed frugal habits early in life, and he was grateful that those habits led to financial independence by age 50. On the other hand, he knew that frugality could be taken too far. In a chapter titled “Don’t Overdo It,” Jonathan offers a menu of ideas to help others who might similarly struggleto loosen the purse strings.

Jonathan had two children and thought a lot about how best to convey money values to them. He knew the risk in helping too much. Money doesn’t necessarily kill all ambition. But it seems to put a big dent in financial ambition, he wrote. For that reason, Jonathan mostly emphasized education rather than direct financial assistance. 

He describes, however, one important way in which his own parents helped him: They always made it clear that they were there for him as a backstop. Though he might have never needed it, simply knowing this support was in the background gave Jonathan the confidence to always invest heavily in the stock market. He describes maintaining an allocation to stocks that was regularly above 80% or even 90%. That kind of aggressive investing ran contrary to the textbook. But recognizing the benefit it had provided during strong markets over the years, Jonathan offered a similar backstop to his own children, thus allowing them to take risks that they might not have otherwise.

In choosing a heavy allocation to stocks, Jonathan explains some of the other factors that went into his thinking. For starters, he points to the role of financial forecasters. They’re often wrong, but that doesn’t stop them from waking up the next day with something new to say. As a result, during both stock market rallies and routs, prognosticators can be found on TV telling stories that often cause investors to overreact. In the chapter “Not Scared of Bears,” Jonathan walks through the math that should give investors the courage to ignore forecasters, to keep their feet on the ground and to stay fully invested regardless of what bad news happens to be in the headlines.

Jonathan was willing to pile on even more risk in his portfolio when markets declined. He acknowledged that this opened him up to the accusation of being a market timer—“pretty much the nastiest insult you can hurl”—but he explains a subtle difference between his approach and true market timing, then offers a helpful strategy for profiting from downturns.

Jonathan Clements was one of a kind. Like all of his readers, I miss his kindness, wit and good cheer. For decades, he helped readers navigate the potholed road known as Wall Street. With his final work, Jonathan leaves us with a timeless guide to thinking about money in uniquely sensible ways.

  Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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Mega Backdoor Roth

I WAS RECENTLY asked about strategies that high earners can use to reduce their tax bill.

Most people know the usual options. They contribute to a 401(k), fund a health savings account or make a Roth IRA contribution through the backdoor method. Business owners may have additional opportunities through retirement plans and business structures.

But there's another strategy worth knowing about: the Mega Backdoor Roth (MBDR).

The MBDR allows some workers to put far more money into Roth accounts than the usual contribution limits permit.

Consider somebody who contributes the maximum $24,500 to a 401(k) in 2026 and receives a $5,000 employer match. If the employer's retirement plan allows after-tax contributions, that worker may be able to contribute an additional $42,500 to the retirement plan.

This is because the total 401(k) contribution limit for 2026 is $72,000. That limit includes employee contributions, employer contributions and after-tax contributions. Subtract the $24,500 employee contribution and the $5,000 employer match, and there's room for another $42,500. Workers age 50 and older might be able to contribute even more ($80,000 total 401(k) limit in 2026) because of catch-up provisions.

For savers who have already exhausted other retirement account options, this can be a powerful way to build additional tax-free savings.

The catch

Your employer's retirement plan must permit after-tax contributions.

Many plans don't. According to Fidelity, only about 11% of employer-sponsored 401(k) plans offer MBDR conversions.

If you log into your retirement plan and review your contribution options, you may see a category labeled "after-tax." That's the option you need:

Importantly, don't confuse it with a Roth 401(k). They're similar, but different. Small-business owners with a solo 401(k) may also be able to use this strategy if their plan allows.

The MBDR process generally involves two steps:

  1. Contribute money to the plan's after-tax account.
  2. Move those funds to a Roth account.

Depending on your plan, the money may be rolled into either a Roth IRA or a Roth 401(k).

The rules vary from plan to plan. Check your plan documents or summary plan description before enganging in this strategy.

Why use it?

Suppose you've already maxed out your traditional 401(k) contribution and completed a backdoor Roth IRA contribution. You now have additional money to invest.

One option is a taxable brokerage account. Another is the Mega Backdoor Roth.

The Roth strategy offers several potential advantages:

  • Future growth can be tax-free.
  • Dividends aren't taxed each year.
  • Rebalancing investments doesn't trigger taxable gains.
  • Retirement assets may receive creditor protection under federal law.

A taxable brokerage account also has advantages:

  • No contribution limits.
  • No age-based withdrawal rules.
  • Greater flexibility if you need access to the money before retirement.

That flexibility shouldn't be overlooked. Retirement accounts come with restrictions, and those restrictions may matter depending on your goals.

Importantly, some plans allow you to move after-tax contributions to either Roth IRA or Roth 401(k) accounts. A Roth 401(k) may be simpler because some plans offer automatic conversions. A Roth IRA typically offers a wider range of investment choices. It may also provide greater flexibility when it comes to withdrawals.

I generally prefer the Roth IRA option when it's available. Still, either choice can work well.

Mind the earnings

After-tax contributions are usually invested while they remain in the 401(k).

If the account earns money before the conversion takes place, those earnings are taxable when moved to the Roth account. For that reason, many investors try to complete the conversion quickly. Some plans even allow automatic conversions.

Suppose you contribute $10,000 to the after-tax portion of your 401(k). Before the conversion occurs, the account earns $100.

You then move the balance to a Roth IRA. The entire $10,100 can be transferred, but the $100 of earnings will generally be taxable if you put it all into Roth IRA. There are plans that allow you to split between Roth and Traditional, which could be helpful.

At year-end, you'll receive Form 1099-R reporting the transaction.

Using the example above, your tax return would show a $10,100 distribution, with $100 generally treated as taxable income.

If you work with a tax professional, make sure they understand exactly what happened. The reporting isn't especially complicated, but it should be handled correctly.

The Mega Backdoor Roth isn't available to everybody. But for those whose retirement plans allow it, the strategy offers a chance to put a substantial amount of additional money into a Roth account and enjoy tax-free growth for years to come.

Have you used this strategy to contribute to your retirement accounts? Let us know in the comments!

 

Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.  

Read more »

Would You Be Miserable?

"I think your last paragraph is spot on!"
- David Rhoades
Read more »

How to Use AI With Your Portfolio

"Which AI tools are the best to use? I'm concerned that my financial data would be scraped and used somehow by [who knows what or whom?]."
- 1PF
Read more »

Time to share our financial info with children?

"I urge you to share, RDQ, with all four of your children. I suspect it will remove a huge, perhaps subconscious, load from your shoulders. My father began sharing his financial information with me, an only child, when I was in my 20s. Then, I hated it, as he reviewed his accounts and investment deliberations in great detail; I barely had the patience to listen. I also never counted on inheriting (the step family situation was fluid), and these talks did not alter my savings path. Over time, I grew to respect my father for sharing. I learned much, too. As his eventual executor, my understanding of his finances made my work that much easier. I already had a checklist. And the best part was that my father asked what I would do were I to inherit. We spoke of philanthropy and it pleased him to know that his money would be put to good use. He passed two decades ago, but I feel him with me to this day as I realize my giving plans."
- Jo Bo
Read more »

A $1,000 Conversation With My Daughter

"Dan, my youngest daughter has never been great at listening to her old dad — so I figured I'd meet her where she lives. Sent it to her on WhatsApp. Funny how a phone screen carries more authority than I do. 😉"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Peter Cancro from age 14 to 69 covered in oil and vinegar

"Totally agree — no jealousy or resentment. To the contrary, I appreciate the hard work, risk taking and success. I’ll take a Jersey Mike’s Club Sub with hot pepper relish on rosemary parmesan bread, please."
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Reflections on a Quiet Failure

"Just a comment from a 71 year old HD reader who is retired and not in the same financial league as most of the HD posters. I came across a blurb in the NYT about Jonathan Clements about 2 or 3 years ago and that sparked my curiosity... what was this HD thing all about. Would there be any info to give me ideas about managing my own finances as well as my aunt's? ( I am POA for a 98 year old living in personal care bldg in PA) You are right that broad financial planning education should start in the home or even in school. Just saving for a small goal ( bicycle/ toy/ car) or tithing is a place to start. If that is not available, I think the workplace is the next best place, since that is where 401k's start. I did not start saving for retirement until I was 28 and had a steady job after college . My own curiosity is the driving force behind understanding more about managing what I have accumulated. Sometimes I don't understand topics in HD, sometimes they spur me to look further. We live frugally on just Social Security , no pensions, and my husband's RMD from a small IRA ( like 200,000). I did a very large Roth conversion, very stupid on my part, but I see that as a good thing down the road. We have everything we need, can get our taxes done with VITA ( they max out at 70,000 per year to qualify) The eye opener for me has been taking my aunt's taxes to a CPA and seeing how they suggest doing this or that to meet income ceilings for Federal taxes ( sale of house, higher income from her 401k, gains from a brokerage etc. ). I am learning by fire, but welcome the challenge, even with my limited experience . Please keep the information coming, even for this retiree!"
- C Z
Read more »

The Quiet Failure of Good Advice

"Do you spend exclusively out of your equities until a downtrend? And if so, how do you define a downtrend/tizzy to make the switch from spending from equity allocation to begin spending from cash allocation?"
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Bucket Strategy

A WHILE BACK, I was speaking with a fellow who had recently retired. He shared this observation, only half-jokingly: “Working was easy,” he said. What he meant was that financial management during our working years is more straightforward than it is in retirement. We earn and save and hope that our savings grow. But when we get to retirement, it becomes more complicated to know exactly how to manage those savings. In the 1950s, a Ph.D. student named Harry Markowitz developed a framework to help investors answer this question. His approach, which is now known as modern portfolio theory, provided new insights on how to effectively diversify a portfolio. He later won a Nobel Prize for this work. But useful as it was, modern portfolio theory involved a lot of math and didn’t offer investors any practical help in managing their savings. Other academic theories have emerged over the years, but all of them involved similar levels of complexity. It was for that reason that in 1985, financial planner Harold Evensky developed an idea that’s now known as the “bucket strategy.” The idea is that investors—especially those in retirement—should segment their portfolios. To understand this idea, we can look at a simple example. Suppose Tom is a recent retiree and planning to withdraw 5% of his portfolio each year for the next several years. To protect against a potential stock market downturn, it would be reasonable for him to hold five years worth of withdrawals in some combination of cash and short-term bonds, since that corresponds, more or less, to the length of the worst stock market downturns we’ve seen in modern times.  In Evensky’s model, cash and bonds would be the first bucket, and the math is straightforward: If Tom wants to withdraw 5% each year and wants to set aside enough for five years, then he’d hold 25% (that is, 5% x 5) in the first bucket. With that 25% allocated to bonds for stability, Tom could then feel free to allocate the remaining 75% to stocks. The benefit of this structure is that Tom would then have the flexibility to withdraw from either the stock or bond side of his portfolio depending on where the stock market stood in any given year. Most importantly, by putting a wall between his stocks and his bonds, Tom would be able to avoid selling stocks during market downturns. The bucket concept can be very useful, but it’s important to know that there isn’t just one bucket strategy. Since Evensky first introduced the idea 40 years ago, a handful of alternatives have evolved. Evensky’s original structure consisted of just two buckets. This makes it simple and easy to manage. A downside, though, is that bonds can still lose money, so neither of the two buckets could be considered truly safe. In 2022, in fact, total-bond market funds lost more than 10% of their value, and it took several years for investors to get back to even. Thus, one of the most popular ways to structure a bucket portfolio is to add a third bucket, for cash. To be sure, cash doesn’t offer much growth potential. But it would’ve been extremely helpful in a year like 2022, when both bonds and stocks lost money. While it provides more protection, the downside of a three-bucket approach is that it’s more complicated and somewhat harder to manage. Proponents, however, argue that it doesn’t require much more effort than traditional portfolio rebalancing and is well worth the effort. In his book, The Aspirational Investor, Ashvin Chhabra lays out another bucket alternative. Chhabra is less concerned with the distinction between bonds and cash. Instead, he advises investors to focus on the riskier side of their portfolios. He suggests that investors distinguish between standard, publicly-traded stock market investments and any alternative assets, such as private funds and real estate, that they might hold. Chhabra feels this segmentation is important because of the nature of alternative investments. They’re a little like lottery tickets: They can turn into home runs but can also go to zero. If you’re constructing a portfolio and like the idea of a bucket approach, which way should you go?  Since each of these approaches has merit, you could combine them all, creating a four-bucket setup, consisting of cash, bonds, stocks and alternatives. That wouldn’t be unreasonable, but it would also ratchet up the complexity level. Here’s the approach I recommend: First, like Chhabra, I would draw a distinction between traditional assets and alternatives. Traditional, publicly-traded investments, including standard stock and bond mutual funds and ETFs, would go in your core portfolio. These are the assets around which you’d build your plan.  Alternatives, if you own them, would go in their own separate bucket. In general, I don’t recommend these types of assets because their performance is more variable and more unpredictable, and because they tend to carry higher fees. But if you already own some alternatives, I’d separate them from your financial plan and view them only as a bonus if they deliver value. In other words, make sure that your financial plan will still work if you were to rely on only your core portfolio. Within the core, I’d have just two buckets: one for stocks and one for bonds. The result is that you would have just two buckets, plus alternatives, if you happen to own them. But what about cash, since, as we saw earlier, bonds aren’t guaranteed and can certainly lose money? In my view, a dedicated, separate cash bucket isn’t necessary. Instead, what I recommend is to be diligent in diversifying your bond holdings. I wouldn’t own a total-bond market fund. Instead, take a building block approach, holding some short-term and some intermediate-term bond funds. Short-term funds will shine when rates are rising because they’ll decline much less than total-market funds. Intermediate-term bonds, on the other hand, will shine when rates are dropping. You could also add some inflation-protected bonds to round out your holdings. At the end of the day, the best portfolio structure is the one that’s simple to manage while also protecting your savings from whatever surprises the market delivers.   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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ChatGPT’s Portfolio Advice

"I used Boldin a few years ago with a trial, downloaded the information then cancelled the membership. Once we both claim Social Security I will start an actual membership and run the numbers with those inputs to see where we stand. I realized that with Boldin’s Monte Carlo I no longer need to pay for a financial advisor to do the work."
- DavidHLancaster
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Mega Backdoor Roth

I WAS RECENTLY asked about strategies that high earners can use to reduce their tax bill.

Most people know the usual options. They contribute to a 401(k), fund a health savings account or make a Roth IRA contribution through the backdoor method. Business owners may have additional opportunities through retirement plans and business structures.

But there's another strategy worth knowing about: the Mega Backdoor Roth (MBDR).

The MBDR allows some workers to put far more money into Roth accounts than the usual contribution limits permit.

Consider somebody who contributes the maximum $24,500 to a 401(k) in 2026 and receives a $5,000 employer match. If the employer's retirement plan allows after-tax contributions, that worker may be able to contribute an additional $42,500 to the retirement plan.

This is because the total 401(k) contribution limit for 2026 is $72,000. That limit includes employee contributions, employer contributions and after-tax contributions. Subtract the $24,500 employee contribution and the $5,000 employer match, and there's room for another $42,500. Workers age 50 and older might be able to contribute even more ($80,000 total 401(k) limit in 2026) because of catch-up provisions.

For savers who have already exhausted other retirement account options, this can be a powerful way to build additional tax-free savings.

The catch

Your employer's retirement plan must permit after-tax contributions.

Many plans don't. According to Fidelity, only about 11% of employer-sponsored 401(k) plans offer MBDR conversions.

If you log into your retirement plan and review your contribution options, you may see a category labeled "after-tax." That's the option you need:

Importantly, don't confuse it with a Roth 401(k). They're similar, but different. Small-business owners with a solo 401(k) may also be able to use this strategy if their plan allows.

The MBDR process generally involves two steps:

  1. Contribute money to the plan's after-tax account.
  2. Move those funds to a Roth account.

Depending on your plan, the money may be rolled into either a Roth IRA or a Roth 401(k).

The rules vary from plan to plan. Check your plan documents or summary plan description before enganging in this strategy.

Why use it?

Suppose you've already maxed out your traditional 401(k) contribution and completed a backdoor Roth IRA contribution. You now have additional money to invest.

One option is a taxable brokerage account. Another is the Mega Backdoor Roth.

The Roth strategy offers several potential advantages:

  • Future growth can be tax-free.
  • Dividends aren't taxed each year.
  • Rebalancing investments doesn't trigger taxable gains.
  • Retirement assets may receive creditor protection under federal law.

A taxable brokerage account also has advantages:

  • No contribution limits.
  • No age-based withdrawal rules.
  • Greater flexibility if you need access to the money before retirement.

That flexibility shouldn't be overlooked. Retirement accounts come with restrictions, and those restrictions may matter depending on your goals.

Importantly, some plans allow you to move after-tax contributions to either Roth IRA or Roth 401(k) accounts. A Roth 401(k) may be simpler because some plans offer automatic conversions. A Roth IRA typically offers a wider range of investment choices. It may also provide greater flexibility when it comes to withdrawals.

I generally prefer the Roth IRA option when it's available. Still, either choice can work well.

Mind the earnings

After-tax contributions are usually invested while they remain in the 401(k).

If the account earns money before the conversion takes place, those earnings are taxable when moved to the Roth account. For that reason, many investors try to complete the conversion quickly. Some plans even allow automatic conversions.

Suppose you contribute $10,000 to the after-tax portion of your 401(k). Before the conversion occurs, the account earns $100.

You then move the balance to a Roth IRA. The entire $10,100 can be transferred, but the $100 of earnings will generally be taxable if you put it all into Roth IRA. There are plans that allow you to split between Roth and Traditional, which could be helpful.

At year-end, you'll receive Form 1099-R reporting the transaction.

Using the example above, your tax return would show a $10,100 distribution, with $100 generally treated as taxable income.

If you work with a tax professional, make sure they understand exactly what happened. The reporting isn't especially complicated, but it should be handled correctly.

The Mega Backdoor Roth isn't available to everybody. But for those whose retirement plans allow it, the strategy offers a chance to put a substantial amount of additional money into a Roth account and enjoy tax-free growth for years to come.

Have you used this strategy to contribute to your retirement accounts? Let us know in the comments!

 

Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.  

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Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 60: WE SHOULDN’T necessarily be investment contrarians, but we should be leery of crowds. When “everybody” is buying, that’s a warning sign—and we should resist joining the stampede.

Truths

NO. 72: EXPECTED return and risk change over time. Historically, commodity futures have delivered great returns and been great diversifiers for stocks—but both qualities have waned, as investors rushed to take advantage. The same may be true for the high excess return from owning value stocks, smaller companies and stocks in general.

think

REBALANCING. For major market segments—emerging markets, high-quality bonds, small-cap stocks and so on—we should have target portfolio percentages. Every so often, we should bring our portfolio back into line with these targets, preferably making any sales in a tax-deferred account. Rebalancing controls risk—but it can also boost returns.

humans

NO. 25: WE LIKE the idea of choice—but we’re often happier when we have less of it. Welcome to the so-called paradox of choice: If we’re presented with too many options, we can become paralyzed and fail to make a decision, plus all the choice leads to added anxiety. Exhibit A: 401(k) plans, where more options often cause employees to make poorer investment decisions.

Pay down debt

Manifesto

NO. 60: WE SHOULDN’T necessarily be investment contrarians, but we should be leery of crowds. When “everybody” is buying, that’s a warning sign—and we should resist joining the stampede.

Spotlight: College

Four College Lessons

HELPING YOUR CHILD choose a college that’s a good fit—and that you and your teenager can afford—can be a confusing process. The right fit can be a life- and paycheck-enhancing experience. The wrong fit can be a waste of time and money.
In the past two years, my wife and I have helped our son and daughter pick colleges. Along the way, we’ve learned four lessons I wish we’d known at the start of the process.

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Falling Short

I SERVED ON a scholarship committee for a local foundation. We offered awards to college students entering their sophomore year. Our coordinator had the unhappy job of explaining to some students and parents that, even though their students had a full freshman schedule and passed all their classes, they didn’t actually have sophomore standing. How can this be? The answer is remediation.
Almost 24% of entering college freshmen at Ohio universities required remediation in English or math and 6% needed both.

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Budgeting 102

IT’S BEEN A MONTH since I dropped off my twins at college, one east, one west. Each has a debit card for an account with the credit union here in our hometown. One has downloaded the credit union’s mobile app. Both are already developing their own ideas and strategies for managing college life on a shoestring budget.
I got them their debit cards some time ago. I also opened a teen account for their brother,

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College in Retirement

I RECENTLY COMPLETED a course called England: From the Fall of Rome to the Norman Conquest. Before that was Books That Matter: The Federalist Papers. Okay, I’m a nerd, I’ll admit it.
Since I retired, I’ve looked for avenues to broaden and deepen my understanding of subjects that I was taught in high school and at the liberal arts college I attended. Back then, there were college courses,

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Strings Attached

WITH NO DISRESPECT TO our representatives in Congress, a new rule taking effect in January reminds me of a scene from The Jerk, an old Steve Martin movie. Playing the role of a carnival huckster, Martin shows off a wall of attractive prizes, but then narrows the choices to an impossibly small set of options.
Congress did something similar when it instituted a new rule governing 529 education savings accounts. The rule in question opens up greater flexibility in how surplus 529 funds can be used.

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Finding Merit

THERE’S NO SINGLE, right way to legally crack the college admissions and financial aid systems. It’s up to teenagers and their parents to do the necessary work.

Still, it helps to have a tour guide—which is what you get with The Price You Pay for College, the new book from New York Times financial journalist Ron Lieber. Lieber’s book discusses why college costs so much, digs into the allure of elite schools,

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Spotlight: Rohleder

Silver Lining

Back in the day when people actually got magazines in the mail, there was an axiom that said: “When Time magazine has a bull on the cover, it is time to sell; when it has a bear on the cover, it is time to buy.”   This was an easy-to-follow contrarian indicator. If the bull or the bear are so clear that the non-financial press picks up on it, the trend must be long in the tooth. I thought of this recently as all sorts of online news feeds are referencing the run up in silver and gold with the headline: “Is it time to buy?” Well, of course it’s not the time to buy. It is the time to sell. Dig out grandma’s silver and turn it into cash. I was also reminded of growing up in the 1960-70s. My father, who only used cash, collected his change in a bank on his dresser. When it got full, my job was to roll the coins for depositing in the bank after carefully extracting the pre-1964 dimes and quarters. He told me: “They will be valuable someday.”  As it happened, gold and silver both peaked in 1980. Not realizing that was the time to sell, I held and they later dropped. I tucked those coins away until shortly after my house was burgled in 2018. Fortunately, the burglar didn’t find the coins but I decided that having them lying around wasn’t so smart. I turned twenty some dollars of face value silver coins into $600 at the local gold/silver exchange. I’d held them close to 40 years, so I’m not sure it was a great return. But, unlike some stocks I have owned, neither silver nor gold will ever go to zero. I also read the recent HD article by Adam…
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Lining Up Money

EARLY LAST YEAR, just as the pandemic was starting, we were looking to buy a new home in an area where houses sold quickly—but we feared selling our existing home would be far slower. In addition, home prices in the new area were substantially higher. We had no first mortgage on our existing house and no desire to take one out for the new home. Still, we wanted to strike quickly if we found the right place to buy, and that would mean coming up with cash at short notice. I began to consider which investments to sell. Problem is, selling would mean triggering taxes and potentially missing out on investment gains, so we wanted to limit the amount of investments we sold—which we did by borrowing the maximum possible on our HELOC, or home equity line of credit. HELOCs can play a crucial role as part of a family’s emergency plan. But they can also be used to transfer equity from your current home to a new house. We had a 10-year line of credit as an emergency source of funds. We hadn’t tapped the HELOC during the first nine years we had it. But last year, it was the emergency cash we needed—even if we weren’t facing a true emergency. By borrowing the full amount allowed by the credit line, we reduced the amount of investments we had to sell. It worked like a charm: We were able to buy the new house for cash. Our investments continued to grow, while we paid minimal interest on the borrowing. As soon as our old home sold, we repaid the loan. Intrigued by our strategy? Make sure you apply for the HELOC while you still have a paycheck coming in—because you’re far more likely to be approved.
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Home Help

I RECENTLY WROTE about lifecare communities. These provide a continuum of services—independent living, assisted living, custodial care—to meet changing needs as a retiree ages. The lifecare contract guarantees that, no matter what happens to your money, there will be a place where you can receive the appropriate level of care. That brings me to a recent innovation offered by some continuing care retirement communities. Called lifecare at home, it’s much less costly than moving into a retirement community, and it addresses the needs of many seniors who are reluctant to leave their home. The service is offered by the lifecare community where I serve as a volunteer board member, and I expect its popularity will grow. As with lifecare communities, lifecare at home guarantees to meet a retiree’s future care needs in exchange for an entry fee, plus ongoing monthly payments. Lifecare services are provided at your home, including the equivalent of assisted living or 24-hour nursing care, if required. Home-based lifecare might cost 80% less than moving into a lifecare community. After all, you’re only buying care services—not the full overhead costs of shelter, staffing, food, activities, security, groundskeeping and everything else that goes into operating a lifecare facility and campus. To the extent you need help, an at-home program assists you with the activities of daily living, such as bathing, food prep, laundry, cleaning, shopping and medication management. The program is responsible for the cost of this care, while you remain responsible for the cost of your home. The entry fee and monthly charge are actuarially determined, so they’ll vary with age and sex. A married couple is treated as two individuals in these evaluations. As with lifecare community admissions, your current health status will be evaluated. The lifecare-at-home option is similar to long-term-care (LTC) insurance in that, to…
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Powering Up

SPRING TURNS A MAN’S fancy to... wait for it… outdoor power tools. Every April, I’d haul out the gas mower to prep it for the summer season. That meant a trip to the hardware store for oil, a spark plug and an air filter. Then I drove to the gas station for some new fuel. For an hour, I would pretend that I understood the manly art of maintaining an internal combustion engine. I would gap and change the spark plug, clean or replace the air filter, and then add the fresh oil and gas. Finally, it was time to pull the starter cord and hope to hear the engine roar. Or a cough followed by silence. There were times I’d forgotten to connect the spark plug or failed in some other significant fashion. After all was done, I’d wash at the laundry sink with gritty Lava soap, stripping grease, oil and little bits of my skin from my hands. This year was different. Now, I own a battery-powered mower. Late in the 2021 season, during a moment of inattention, my mower blade whacked an immovable object. With a loud clang, my 12-year-old gas mower stopped dead. Suddenly, I was in the market for a new model. I had to borrow a neighbor’s mower to finish my yard. Although I’d just destroyed my own, he bravely lent me his relatively new Toro self-propelled gas mower that adjusted its speed to your walking pace. Pretty nifty. I told him I was thinking of a battery model. He shook his head, expressing concern over whether an electric model would have enough power. My brother-in-law had already bought an EGO battery-powered mower. I called to get his view of it. He said he was happy with its performance, but then he lives in…
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Falling Short

I SERVED ON a scholarship committee for a local foundation. We offered awards to college students entering their sophomore year. Our coordinator had the unhappy job of explaining to some students and parents that, even though their students had a full freshman schedule and passed all their classes, they didn’t actually have sophomore standing. How can this be? The answer is remediation. Almost 24% of entering college freshmen at Ohio universities required remediation in English or math and 6% needed both. What this means is that the student must take remediation classes (and pay tuition for them) and yet get no college credits. The need for remediation is a key indicator that students are less likely to complete their college degree. Simply put, these students didn’t learn in high school what was minimally necessary to enroll in freshman English or math. After spending several years on a small town’s school board, I’m still trying to figure this out. Who do we hold responsible? There’s no shortage of suspects. I can make a case that it’s the school district’s responsibility, but I also recall the enthusiasm and creativity we saw in our teaching and administrative staffs. We could blame the victim: You can send a student to school, but you can’t make him or her learn. The students are not (choose your adjective) “motivated,” “disciplined,” “responsible” or “engaged.” And I certainly have strong feelings about the mandates from the state regarding curriculum, standardized testing, school choice and school “report cards,” which suck up administrative time and attention while detracting from educating students. In management class, we learn that if something is everyone’s responsibility then it's effectively no one’s responsibility—and it doesn’t get done. In the end, I put the primary responsibility on parents. An investment truism is that no one cares…
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Gaining Perspective

ON MONDAY, OCT. 19, 1987, stocks plunged more than 20%. I was relatively new to investing—and the crash shocked me. I realize now that, when you’re starting out, no matter how much you study, the trait you’re most lacking is perspective. When I began investing, I approached a successful investor and asked for tips to learn about the market. Part of his advice was to watch Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser on PBS. That Friday in 1987, Lou started the show with a monologue explaining that the world was not coming to an end. Over the next few weeks, bolstered by his words, I added to my stock funds. Prior to 1987, I had been scared out of some of my stock funds by normal market fluctuations, not realizing that drops in price were often the best time to buy more. Over the years, I learned that dollar-cost averaging and rebalancing help take the emotion out of investing. Looking back, I see that this was all part of a normal learning curve. As a new investor, you can gain perspective by talking to trusted mentors, listening to experts and reading up on market history. But there’s no substitute for actually living through multiple up and down markets, and learning from your own successes and failures. This highlights the value of starting to invest in early adulthood. A strategy of dollar-cost averaging into index funds may sound dull to your 20-something self. At that juncture, you might believe you can beat the market averages by picking stocks or timing the market. But as is often the case, the negative sting of lousy results will be your most valuable feedback. The good news: The earlier you get through your period of trial and error—and develop some perspective—the more time you’ll have…
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