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Taxes

Shouldn’t property taxes be a realistic part of retirement planning? Sorry, I think this is a major financial and social issue.

"What I think is wrong with property taxes is they can be very regressive. They are a wealth tax that hits working and middle classes much harder than the rich. Say someone is paying property taxes of 1% on an assessed house value of $600K. They just started out, so have only $20K equity in the house, and maybe $80k other net worth. So they are paying a 6% wealth tax -- $6K on $100K net worth. No multi-billionaire pays even close to a 6% wealth tax."
- Bruce Trimble
Read more »

Behavior

The Art of Making Do

"I remember my mum using a little dab of nail polish to stop a run in her nylons... although that's one frugal tip I've never had to use!"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

In Retirement

Widow’s Penalty Redux

A RECENT post by achnk53 about the impact of a spouse’s death on the survivor’s taxes piqued my interest.  The post referenced an interesting Kiplinger article about the “Widow’s Penalty”, or the negative tax implications on a surviving spouse after the death of a spouse. A surviving spouse can file Married Filing Jointly (MFJ) in the year of their spouse’s death. In the full year following the spouse’s death you must file Single.  There are some beneficial filing rules for surviving spouses who have dependent children, but that is beyond this post. Nine days later John Urban published an article running the tax numbers for 3 different retiree scenarios, and using the data to provide some excellent suggestions for readers.  In between these two articles I had run some similar case studies to understand the impacts. I ran some case studies using the 2026 Dinkytown 1040 Calculator.  I considered a “lower" income retired couple.   The impact of one spouse passing is very dependent on the sources of income. Assume the retired couple were each receiving $36,000 in annual SS benefits. They have no other sources of income.  The couple filing jointly would have no taxable income, and no tax for 2026.  Had the husband died in 2025, the surviving widow would have seen her income reduced to $36,000. If she needed the lost income, and found a job that paid $36,000, her income would match the original $72,000. But $21,500 of her SS benefit would be taxable, her taxable income would be $33,350, and her annual tax bill would be $3,757.  The table below shows the details of this analysis: Tax Calculation After accounting for the reduction in Medicare related spending, she has similar spending power. But she had to go back to work to achieve that.  This, and the previous examples, reinforce the importance of understanding a couple’s financial details before and after the passing of a spouse. Income will likely be reduced, but expenses may also be reduced. Lower income retirees who depend primarily on both partners SS benefits may see the biggest impact. I also ran a comparison of our tax return for 2026, for both MFJ and if my wife filed single.  I assumed our income consisted of my pension, my wife’s SS benefit, and my SS benefit had I claimed it on January 1, 2026. When I die my wife will receive 75% of my pension, and my higher SS benefit.  The results were not surprising.
  • Her total income would be 68% of our combined pre-death income.
  • Her annual tax bill would be $1,250 more than our joint tax bill.
  • Her effective tax rate would increase by 4.2%.
  • 85% of her SS benefits would be taxable
  • Her spendable income after taxes would be about 65% of the joint amount.
  • She would lose about 20% of the new Senior Deduction
  • She would have no NJ State Tax liability
I then ran an additional scenario with the same assumptions, but also assuming we were 4 years older and would both have to take initial RMDs in 2026.  This scenario reflects one of the concerns frequently expressed when discussing this topic – what happens when the surviving spouse is responsible for reporting the income from both RMDs on her Single tax return. The results changed to reflect the scenario. 
  • Her total income would be about 79% of our combined pre-death income.
  • Her annual tax would be $708 more than the joint tax filing.
  • Her effective tax rate would increase by 3.8%.
  • Her spendable income after taxes would be about 80% of the joint amount.
  • She would lose all of the new Senior Deduction.
  • Her NJ State Income tax would be $540 more than the joint tax filing.
  • She would be pushed up one IRMAA bracket in 2028.
These results are a simplified look at our finances today.  My pension and my wife’s SS benefit cover our non-discretionary, and a decent portion of our discretionary, expenses. The wild card is travel – how much we spend in any year is our choice and may require additional income. I’m about 11 months from claiming my SS benefit, at which point virtually all of our expenses will be covered in a fairly tax-efficient way.  RMDs are still 4 years away. This was a good exercise to get a feel of how my demise would impact my wife’s finances. It would have some financial impacts, but I believe our plan can handle them. I’m considering running some more detailed projections varying the age at death to assess the impacts, but a quick look made me reasonably confident our retirement savings will be adequate, even considering long term care. I will also continue to look at Roth conversions each year.   Richard Connor is a semi-retired aerospace engineer with a keen interest in finance. He enjoys a wide variety of other interests, including chasing grandkids, space, sports, travel, winemaking and reading. Follow Rick on Twitter @RConnor609 and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

In Retirement

Keep an eye on Medigap policies

"Keep up the good work keeping us informed Dick. We’re all better off because of your knowledge and diligence in this arena."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

From HumbleDollar Founder Jonathan Clements

Lists

Why HumbleDollar?

IN OUR 20s, WE TEND to be a confident lot: We figure we know what we want from our life, that the goal is…
Read more »

Behavior

Time Is Priceless

"Jeff, thank you for the kind words. I think giving our time to help and encourage others is one of the most meaningful ways we can spend it. We may never fully know the difference we make in someone else’s life, but that time and kindness can stay with them long after the moment has passed. I hope we both have many years ahead to keep doing just that"
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Spending

Anyone For S.K.I.ing?

"John, maybe you're short-changing yourself. It's always possible you'll put enough extra miles on yourself — and on that nice car — that your kids will end up having to make do with just the house and land."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Life Events

It’s been one year

"Thank you for this. Jonathan was the BEST, and one of a kind."
- William Dorner
Read more »

Investing

Structuring Bonds

IT'S BEEN AN UNUSUAL week in the bond market, and not necessarily in a good way. This has many investors questioning the value of bonds, which is understandable. Bonds are supposed to be the “safe” side of a portfolio, but they’ve struggled in recent years. Arguably, the drama we’re seeing in the bond market today began more than 50 years ago. To put today’s situation in perspective, I’ll briefly summarize that long history. Then we can look at what steps you might take to better protect your portfolio from here. Back in the 1970s, as you’re probably aware, inflation rose above 10%. Policymakers struggled for years to bring it under control, but in the early 1980s a Fed chair named Paul Volcker finally succeeded. He accomplished that by raising the Fed’s benchmark rate to nearly 20%. With this step, Volcker succeeded in calming inflation, and that allowed the Fed to begin lowering rates, a gradual process that continued for most of the following 40 years. Because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, that entire stretch was extremely beneficial for bonds. As rates fell, bonds rose. Between 1980 and 2020, intermediate-term U.S. government bonds returned 7% per year, on average. That multi-decade run helped seal the reputation of bonds as an easy and reliable way to offset the risk of stocks. But then the other shoe dropped. Due to pandemic-related government spending and tangled supply chains, inflation began rising around 2021. Well aware of what the economy experienced in the 1970s, the Fed responded by raising rates aggressively. For a time, that appeared to bring inflation under control, and the government had even started to lower rates again last year. But then the war with Iran started. That caused energy prices to jump higher, and that, worryingly, has caused inflation to start creeping back up again. In response, the Fed this week was forced to take action, raising rates in an effort to contain inflation before it gains steam. Interest rates on long-term bonds are now at 20-year highs. And because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, bonds are having another difficult year. Total-bond market funds like Vanguard’s BND are now negative year-to-date. Where the bond market goes from here is anyone’s guess, but this history is important, in my view, because bonds are unlikely to see another long, positive stretch like the one investors enjoyed a generation ago. Instead, I believe investors need to be more cautious.  What steps might you take? Since we don’t know whether rates will go higher or lower over any given timeframe, the approach I recommend is to own bonds in each of several categories. That way, you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go up, and you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go down. Here’s how I’d structure a bond portfolio today: For me, the most important thing is to own mostly short-term bonds. Specifically, you might allocate 60% of your bond portfolio to short-term Treasurys, using a fund like Vanguard’s VGSH. This fund should be among the most stable investments available because it’s backed by the U.S. government, which, for better or worse, has the ability to print money to meet its obligations. And its short duration means that, all things being equal, it will be less susceptible to rising interest rates if rates do continue to rise. As a point of reference, in 2022, when rates rose quickly, this fund lost less than 4% of its value. That’s in contrast to total-bond market funds, which lost an extremely unpleasant 13% that year. If you’re in a high tax bracket (over 30%), you could split your short-term holdings between Treasurys, which are taxable at the federal level, and municipal bonds, which are exempt from federal tax. You might consider a short-term municipal fund like Vanguard’s VTES or VWSUX. Next, I’d allocate 20% to intermediate-term bonds. While these will be more susceptible to losses when rates rise, they’ll also gain more when rates fall. Last year, for example, when rates fell, intermediate-term government bond funds like Vanguard’s VGIT gained more than 7%. So I see them as worth the additional risk. That said, if this risk concerns you, there’s a relatively easy alternative: For this part of your portfolio, you could purchase a ladder of individual bonds covering maturities between five and 10 years. While it requires additional effort to purchase individual bonds, what you’ll receive in return is greater certainty. At the moment that you purchase an individual bond, you’ll know the yield to maturity. Barring a default—which is unlikely with a government bond—that’s precisely the return you will earn. For the final 20% of a bond portfolio, I recommend inflation-protected Treasury bonds, known as TIPS. Here again, you could purchase individual bonds or a bond fund, and there’s a lot of debate on this topic. But according to research I find convincing, the best way to protect against inflation is with short-term TIPS. So to keep things simple, I would opt for a fund rather than a ladder of individual bonds, which would require frequent trading. One good fund in this category is Vanguard’s VTIP. At the end of the day, the most important thing, in my view, is to build a bond portfolio that’s diversified enough that you could reliably draw on it in years when stocks are down. And recognizing that even short-term bonds carry some amount of risk, it’s worth also holding a “floor” of cash, using a government money market fund, as an additional element in your portfolio. These won’t gain in value when interest rates fall, but they’re designed not to lose any value if rates rise. Put it all together, and I see this as an effective sleep-at-night structure no matter where things go next. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
Read more »

In Retirement

The Security Money Can’t Buy

"I'm an introvert, but when I moved to a CCRC I made an effort to meet new people and to get involved in some of the (many!!) activities. I now have valued new friends, so I definitely endorse your plan."
- mytimetotravel
Read more »

Taxes

Does the new-for-2026 $1000/$2000 charitable deduction for non-itemizers reduce AGI?

"William, you might want to check the comments below, including Bill Perry's link to the draft 2026 1040. It has line 12f showing this deduction is anticipated to be below-the-line (after AGI is calculated)."
- Andrew Forsythe
Read more »

Investing

Financial Lessons

WHAT'S THE MOST important idea in personal finance? It’s hard to single out just one, but over the years, I’ve found the following dozen ideas to be among the most useful.
  1. Whether it’s on TV or online, there’s never any shortage of market prognosticators. Especially during a bull market, everyone seems to have an opinion on where things are headed. The reality, though, is that people can only guess about how the economy, the market or any individual investment will perform. Convincing as they might sound, no one has a crystal ball. That’s why, when it comes to investing, I suggest taking an evidence-based approach, one that relies as much as possible on data and research rather than on the simple stories, anecdotes and sayings that are so prevalent among market commentators.
  2. What does the data tell us? Among the most significant research in recent years is the work of Hendrik Bessembinder. In looking at the historical returns of stocks, he found that just a tiny fraction—only 4%—have accounted for the vast majority of the market’s gains over and above what Treasury bills paid, and the median stock actually delivered a negative return. This is one of the key reasons I recommend index funds rather than picking individual stocks or investing in an actively-managed fund. Identifying that 4% is almost impossibly difficult. But if you invest in a broad-based index fund, you’ll have a high likelihood of owning the next Apple or Nvidia.
  3. Be careful not to miss the forest for the trees. The most important driver of investment risk and return for most people, most of the time, is asset allocation. In other words, the dollars you have in stocks vs. in bonds or in cash will almost always be the most consequential decision. It’s easy to lose sight of that, though, because so much of the investment commentary from day to day focuses on details like small differences in fund expenses or small differences in bond yields. To be sure, details can be important, but only after considering the big picture.
  4. Another challenge in investing is that certain rules of thumb gain so much popularity that they end up being seen as rules rather than just guidelines. For example, some say that the percentage of a portfolio allocated to bonds should be equal to an investor’s age. To me, that’s illogical. Consider Bill Gates. He’s 70 years old, but it stands to reason that he shouldn’t have the same asset allocation as any other 70-year-old. Rules of thumb are useful as points of reference, but we shouldn’t lose sight of the fact that everyone’s situation is different, and our investments should reflect that. More to the point, don’t worry if you’re doing something different from the next person.
  5. Buy insurance, but only to protect against losses you couldn’t absorb on your own. What does this mean in practice? In many cases, it’s possible to significantly cut insurance premiums by increasing deductibles. For example, if you have a seven-figure net worth, you might consider raising the deductible on your homeowner’s insurance to $5,000 or $10,000 or even more. Similarly, you might re-evaluate your life insurance as your net worth grows. You’ll likely become “self-insured” at some point, and then you could reduce or drop that coverage.
  6. Personal finance is quantitative, but we should never make decisions based only on the numbers. For example, a common question is how much cash to keep on hand. While we could work out an optimal number on a calculator, that shouldn’t be the final answer. You should also consider what would provide you with peace of mind. That is equally important.
  7. Be wary of the psychological pitfall known as recency bias. This is the tendency to extrapolate from recent experience and to downplay the possibility that things might change. The most famous example? In the late-1920s, when the stock market was booming, Yale University economist Irving Fisher declared that the stock market had reached a “permanently high plateau.” Just nine days later, the market crashed, ultimately dropping 89% from its peak.
  8. Avoid high fees. The research firm Morningstar once wrote, “If there’s anything in the whole world of mutual funds that you can take to the bank, it’s that expense ratios help you make better decisions. In every single time period and data point tested, low-cost funds beat high-cost funds.”
  9. Keep things simple. Most importantly, I would be wary of investments that aren’t easily understood. Not only can this help keep investment costs down, but it also makes it much easier to monitor your financial picture. Legendary fund manager Peter Lynch said it best: “Never invest in any idea you can't illustrate with a crayon.”
  10. Avoid “interesting” investments. So far this year, Wall Street has introduced more than 1,000 new exchange-traded funds (ETFs). How many of these are worth your attention? My guess is you could probably count them on one hand. More than 80% of these new funds are actively-managed, and more than 30% employ leverage. And there are more to come. Fund companies recently filed paperwork to create ETFs that will track the performance of major league sports teams. They won’t actually own shares in the teams; instead, they’re expected to rise and fall in response to each team’s wins and losses.
  11. For years, I’ve argued that bitcoin isn’t a valid investment. Even though it’s gone way up since I first made that argument, I still feel the same way, and for the same reason: because it lacks intrinsic value. Unlike stocks or bonds, it doesn’t generate any dividends or interest. Bitcoin’s price is not anchored to anything measurable or tangible, and that’s why, in my opinion, its price is so volatile.
  12. When it comes to investment risk, investors’ attention usually turns to the stock market. That makes sense, but as we’ve seen this year, bonds are not without risk. And unfortunately, the total-bond market index, which is often seen as the simplest, set-it-and-forget-it option, is one that carries quite a bit of risk. If you’re choosing bond investments, my recommendation is to pay attention to a metric known as duration. This tells you how sensitive a bond, or bond fund, will be to interest rate changes. In my view, investors should hold a sizable portion of their bond investments in a fund, or in individual bonds, with a duration of less than two years.
Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Taxes

Shouldn’t property taxes be a realistic part of retirement planning? Sorry, I think this is a major financial and social issue.

"What I think is wrong with property taxes is they can be very regressive. They are a wealth tax that hits working and middle classes much harder than the rich. Say someone is paying property taxes of 1% on an assessed house value of $600K. They just started out, so have only $20K equity in the house, and maybe $80k other net worth. So they are paying a 6% wealth tax -- $6K on $100K net worth. No multi-billionaire pays even close to a 6% wealth tax."
- Bruce Trimble
Read more »

Behavior

The Art of Making Do

"I remember my mum using a little dab of nail polish to stop a run in her nylons... although that's one frugal tip I've never had to use!"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

In Retirement

Widow’s Penalty Redux

A RECENT post by achnk53 about the impact of a spouse’s death on the survivor’s taxes piqued my interest.  The post referenced an interesting Kiplinger article about the “Widow’s Penalty”, or the negative tax implications on a surviving spouse after the death of a spouse. A surviving spouse can file Married Filing Jointly (MFJ) in the year of their spouse’s death. In the full year following the spouse’s death you must file Single.  There are some beneficial filing rules for surviving spouses who have dependent children, but that is beyond this post. Nine days later John Urban published an article running the tax numbers for 3 different retiree scenarios, and using the data to provide some excellent suggestions for readers.  In between these two articles I had run some similar case studies to understand the impacts. I ran some case studies using the 2026 Dinkytown 1040 Calculator.  I considered a “lower" income retired couple.   The impact of one spouse passing is very dependent on the sources of income. Assume the retired couple were each receiving $36,000 in annual SS benefits. They have no other sources of income.  The couple filing jointly would have no taxable income, and no tax for 2026.  Had the husband died in 2025, the surviving widow would have seen her income reduced to $36,000. If she needed the lost income, and found a job that paid $36,000, her income would match the original $72,000. But $21,500 of her SS benefit would be taxable, her taxable income would be $33,350, and her annual tax bill would be $3,757.  The table below shows the details of this analysis: Tax Calculation After accounting for the reduction in Medicare related spending, she has similar spending power. But she had to go back to work to achieve that.  This, and the previous examples, reinforce the importance of understanding a couple’s financial details before and after the passing of a spouse. Income will likely be reduced, but expenses may also be reduced. Lower income retirees who depend primarily on both partners SS benefits may see the biggest impact. I also ran a comparison of our tax return for 2026, for both MFJ and if my wife filed single.  I assumed our income consisted of my pension, my wife’s SS benefit, and my SS benefit had I claimed it on January 1, 2026. When I die my wife will receive 75% of my pension, and my higher SS benefit.  The results were not surprising.
  • Her total income would be 68% of our combined pre-death income.
  • Her annual tax bill would be $1,250 more than our joint tax bill.
  • Her effective tax rate would increase by 4.2%.
  • 85% of her SS benefits would be taxable
  • Her spendable income after taxes would be about 65% of the joint amount.
  • She would lose about 20% of the new Senior Deduction
  • She would have no NJ State Tax liability
I then ran an additional scenario with the same assumptions, but also assuming we were 4 years older and would both have to take initial RMDs in 2026.  This scenario reflects one of the concerns frequently expressed when discussing this topic – what happens when the surviving spouse is responsible for reporting the income from both RMDs on her Single tax return. The results changed to reflect the scenario. 
  • Her total income would be about 79% of our combined pre-death income.
  • Her annual tax would be $708 more than the joint tax filing.
  • Her effective tax rate would increase by 3.8%.
  • Her spendable income after taxes would be about 80% of the joint amount.
  • She would lose all of the new Senior Deduction.
  • Her NJ State Income tax would be $540 more than the joint tax filing.
  • She would be pushed up one IRMAA bracket in 2028.
These results are a simplified look at our finances today.  My pension and my wife’s SS benefit cover our non-discretionary, and a decent portion of our discretionary, expenses. The wild card is travel – how much we spend in any year is our choice and may require additional income. I’m about 11 months from claiming my SS benefit, at which point virtually all of our expenses will be covered in a fairly tax-efficient way.  RMDs are still 4 years away. This was a good exercise to get a feel of how my demise would impact my wife’s finances. It would have some financial impacts, but I believe our plan can handle them. I’m considering running some more detailed projections varying the age at death to assess the impacts, but a quick look made me reasonably confident our retirement savings will be adequate, even considering long term care. I will also continue to look at Roth conversions each year.   Richard Connor is a semi-retired aerospace engineer with a keen interest in finance. He enjoys a wide variety of other interests, including chasing grandkids, space, sports, travel, winemaking and reading. Follow Rick on Twitter @RConnor609 and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

In Retirement

Keep an eye on Medigap policies

"Keep up the good work keeping us informed Dick. We’re all better off because of your knowledge and diligence in this arena."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

From HumbleDollar Founder Jonathan Clements

Lists

Why HumbleDollar?

IN OUR 20s, WE TEND to be a confident lot: We figure we know what we want from our life, that the goal is…
Read more »

Behavior

Time Is Priceless

"Jeff, thank you for the kind words. I think giving our time to help and encourage others is one of the most meaningful ways we can spend it. We may never fully know the difference we make in someone else’s life, but that time and kindness can stay with them long after the moment has passed. I hope we both have many years ahead to keep doing just that"
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Spending

Anyone For S.K.I.ing?

"John, maybe you're short-changing yourself. It's always possible you'll put enough extra miles on yourself — and on that nice car — that your kids will end up having to make do with just the house and land."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Life Events

It’s been one year

"Thank you for this. Jonathan was the BEST, and one of a kind."
- William Dorner
Read more »

Investing

Structuring Bonds

IT'S BEEN AN UNUSUAL week in the bond market, and not necessarily in a good way. This has many investors questioning the value of bonds, which is understandable. Bonds are supposed to be the “safe” side of a portfolio, but they’ve struggled in recent years. Arguably, the drama we’re seeing in the bond market today began more than 50 years ago. To put today’s situation in perspective, I’ll briefly summarize that long history. Then we can look at what steps you might take to better protect your portfolio from here. Back in the 1970s, as you’re probably aware, inflation rose above 10%. Policymakers struggled for years to bring it under control, but in the early 1980s a Fed chair named Paul Volcker finally succeeded. He accomplished that by raising the Fed’s benchmark rate to nearly 20%. With this step, Volcker succeeded in calming inflation, and that allowed the Fed to begin lowering rates, a gradual process that continued for most of the following 40 years. Because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, that entire stretch was extremely beneficial for bonds. As rates fell, bonds rose. Between 1980 and 2020, intermediate-term U.S. government bonds returned 7% per year, on average. That multi-decade run helped seal the reputation of bonds as an easy and reliable way to offset the risk of stocks. But then the other shoe dropped. Due to pandemic-related government spending and tangled supply chains, inflation began rising around 2021. Well aware of what the economy experienced in the 1970s, the Fed responded by raising rates aggressively. For a time, that appeared to bring inflation under control, and the government had even started to lower rates again last year. But then the war with Iran started. That caused energy prices to jump higher, and that, worryingly, has caused inflation to start creeping back up again. In response, the Fed this week was forced to take action, raising rates in an effort to contain inflation before it gains steam. Interest rates on long-term bonds are now at 20-year highs. And because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, bonds are having another difficult year. Total-bond market funds like Vanguard’s BND are now negative year-to-date. Where the bond market goes from here is anyone’s guess, but this history is important, in my view, because bonds are unlikely to see another long, positive stretch like the one investors enjoyed a generation ago. Instead, I believe investors need to be more cautious.  What steps might you take? Since we don’t know whether rates will go higher or lower over any given timeframe, the approach I recommend is to own bonds in each of several categories. That way, you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go up, and you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go down. Here’s how I’d structure a bond portfolio today: For me, the most important thing is to own mostly short-term bonds. Specifically, you might allocate 60% of your bond portfolio to short-term Treasurys, using a fund like Vanguard’s VGSH. This fund should be among the most stable investments available because it’s backed by the U.S. government, which, for better or worse, has the ability to print money to meet its obligations. And its short duration means that, all things being equal, it will be less susceptible to rising interest rates if rates do continue to rise. As a point of reference, in 2022, when rates rose quickly, this fund lost less than 4% of its value. That’s in contrast to total-bond market funds, which lost an extremely unpleasant 13% that year. If you’re in a high tax bracket (over 30%), you could split your short-term holdings between Treasurys, which are taxable at the federal level, and municipal bonds, which are exempt from federal tax. You might consider a short-term municipal fund like Vanguard’s VTES or VWSUX. Next, I’d allocate 20% to intermediate-term bonds. While these will be more susceptible to losses when rates rise, they’ll also gain more when rates fall. Last year, for example, when rates fell, intermediate-term government bond funds like Vanguard’s VGIT gained more than 7%. So I see them as worth the additional risk. That said, if this risk concerns you, there’s a relatively easy alternative: For this part of your portfolio, you could purchase a ladder of individual bonds covering maturities between five and 10 years. While it requires additional effort to purchase individual bonds, what you’ll receive in return is greater certainty. At the moment that you purchase an individual bond, you’ll know the yield to maturity. Barring a default—which is unlikely with a government bond—that’s precisely the return you will earn. For the final 20% of a bond portfolio, I recommend inflation-protected Treasury bonds, known as TIPS. Here again, you could purchase individual bonds or a bond fund, and there’s a lot of debate on this topic. But according to research I find convincing, the best way to protect against inflation is with short-term TIPS. So to keep things simple, I would opt for a fund rather than a ladder of individual bonds, which would require frequent trading. One good fund in this category is Vanguard’s VTIP. At the end of the day, the most important thing, in my view, is to build a bond portfolio that’s diversified enough that you could reliably draw on it in years when stocks are down. And recognizing that even short-term bonds carry some amount of risk, it’s worth also holding a “floor” of cash, using a government money market fund, as an additional element in your portfolio. These won’t gain in value when interest rates fall, but they’re designed not to lose any value if rates rise. Put it all together, and I see this as an effective sleep-at-night structure no matter where things go next. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
Read more »

Investing

Financial Lessons

WHAT'S THE MOST important idea in personal finance? It’s hard to single out just one, but over the years, I’ve found the following dozen ideas to be among the most useful.
  1. Whether it’s on TV or online, there’s never any shortage of market prognosticators. Especially during a bull market, everyone seems to have an opinion on where things are headed. The reality, though, is that people can only guess about how the economy, the market or any individual investment will perform. Convincing as they might sound, no one has a crystal ball. That’s why, when it comes to investing, I suggest taking an evidence-based approach, one that relies as much as possible on data and research rather than on the simple stories, anecdotes and sayings that are so prevalent among market commentators.
  2. What does the data tell us? Among the most significant research in recent years is the work of Hendrik Bessembinder. In looking at the historical returns of stocks, he found that just a tiny fraction—only 4%—have accounted for the vast majority of the market’s gains over and above what Treasury bills paid, and the median stock actually delivered a negative return. This is one of the key reasons I recommend index funds rather than picking individual stocks or investing in an actively-managed fund. Identifying that 4% is almost impossibly difficult. But if you invest in a broad-based index fund, you’ll have a high likelihood of owning the next Apple or Nvidia.
  3. Be careful not to miss the forest for the trees. The most important driver of investment risk and return for most people, most of the time, is asset allocation. In other words, the dollars you have in stocks vs. in bonds or in cash will almost always be the most consequential decision. It’s easy to lose sight of that, though, because so much of the investment commentary from day to day focuses on details like small differences in fund expenses or small differences in bond yields. To be sure, details can be important, but only after considering the big picture.
  4. Another challenge in investing is that certain rules of thumb gain so much popularity that they end up being seen as rules rather than just guidelines. For example, some say that the percentage of a portfolio allocated to bonds should be equal to an investor’s age. To me, that’s illogical. Consider Bill Gates. He’s 70 years old, but it stands to reason that he shouldn’t have the same asset allocation as any other 70-year-old. Rules of thumb are useful as points of reference, but we shouldn’t lose sight of the fact that everyone’s situation is different, and our investments should reflect that. More to the point, don’t worry if you’re doing something different from the next person.
  5. Buy insurance, but only to protect against losses you couldn’t absorb on your own. What does this mean in practice? In many cases, it’s possible to significantly cut insurance premiums by increasing deductibles. For example, if you have a seven-figure net worth, you might consider raising the deductible on your homeowner’s insurance to $5,000 or $10,000 or even more. Similarly, you might re-evaluate your life insurance as your net worth grows. You’ll likely become “self-insured” at some point, and then you could reduce or drop that coverage.
  6. Personal finance is quantitative, but we should never make decisions based only on the numbers. For example, a common question is how much cash to keep on hand. While we could work out an optimal number on a calculator, that shouldn’t be the final answer. You should also consider what would provide you with peace of mind. That is equally important.
  7. Be wary of the psychological pitfall known as recency bias. This is the tendency to extrapolate from recent experience and to downplay the possibility that things might change. The most famous example? In the late-1920s, when the stock market was booming, Yale University economist Irving Fisher declared that the stock market had reached a “permanently high plateau.” Just nine days later, the market crashed, ultimately dropping 89% from its peak.
  8. Avoid high fees. The research firm Morningstar once wrote, “If there’s anything in the whole world of mutual funds that you can take to the bank, it’s that expense ratios help you make better decisions. In every single time period and data point tested, low-cost funds beat high-cost funds.”
  9. Keep things simple. Most importantly, I would be wary of investments that aren’t easily understood. Not only can this help keep investment costs down, but it also makes it much easier to monitor your financial picture. Legendary fund manager Peter Lynch said it best: “Never invest in any idea you can't illustrate with a crayon.”
  10. Avoid “interesting” investments. So far this year, Wall Street has introduced more than 1,000 new exchange-traded funds (ETFs). How many of these are worth your attention? My guess is you could probably count them on one hand. More than 80% of these new funds are actively-managed, and more than 30% employ leverage. And there are more to come. Fund companies recently filed paperwork to create ETFs that will track the performance of major league sports teams. They won’t actually own shares in the teams; instead, they’re expected to rise and fall in response to each team’s wins and losses.
  11. For years, I’ve argued that bitcoin isn’t a valid investment. Even though it’s gone way up since I first made that argument, I still feel the same way, and for the same reason: because it lacks intrinsic value. Unlike stocks or bonds, it doesn’t generate any dividends or interest. Bitcoin’s price is not anchored to anything measurable or tangible, and that’s why, in my opinion, its price is so volatile.
  12. When it comes to investment risk, investors’ attention usually turns to the stock market. That makes sense, but as we’ve seen this year, bonds are not without risk. And unfortunately, the total-bond market index, which is often seen as the simplest, set-it-and-forget-it option, is one that carries quite a bit of risk. If you’re choosing bond investments, my recommendation is to pay attention to a metric known as duration. This tells you how sensitive a bond, or bond fund, will be to interest rate changes. In my view, investors should hold a sizable portion of their bond investments in a fund, or in individual bonds, with a duration of less than two years.
Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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Manifesto

NO. 77: TO BUY ourselves happiness, often the best strategy is to not buy anything at all. That can leave us with a plump bank account and the sense of financial security it offers.

humans

NO. 53: WE FEAR spoiling our kids, and yet the next generation almost always seems spoiled because rising living standards mean our children typically live better than we did at their age. In fact, we may want to “spoil” our kids by giving them money and then nudging them to use it responsibly. Think of this as a trial run before they receive any inheritance.

act

EXPLORE EASING into retirement. Could you work fewer hours at your current job or switch to a new career that’ll carry you through your initial retirement years? By phasing into retirement, you can limit your portfolio withdrawals and put off claiming Social Security, while also giving yourself time to figure out what a fulfilling retirement might look like.

Truths

NO. 100: THE BIGGEST “death tax” paid by your family will probably be the income taxes still owed on your retirement accounts. One possibility: Pay the tax to convert part of your traditional IRA to a tax-free Roth IRA, and then bequeath that account—an especially smart move if your heirs are likely to be in a higher income-tax bracket than you.

Saving diligently

Manifesto

NO. 77: TO BUY ourselves happiness, often the best strategy is to not buy anything at all. That can leave us with a plump bank account and the sense of financial security it offers.

Spotlight: Charity

Wall Street Journal Article about Jonathan’s New Initiative

Today’s WSJ has a Jason Zweig article about the the Jonathan Clements Initiative.
This will be paywalled. https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/the-wsjs-jonathan-clements-wants-to-leave-a-living-legacy-19f1738d
Intrepid readers can also find a link or two about how to donate if you are not buying the excellent new book.

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Easy DAF (e.g. Daffy.org) for Donation of Appreciated Stocks

Hello, Humble Dollar community!!  This is my first post, please excuse me in advance if not as articulate as so many of you who contribute to this site.
I am wondering if any of you have recommendations or thoughts on simple DAF platforms for charitable contributions
I have some highly appreciated stock (APPL at ~$250/share with a very low basis) and use this for most of my larger charitable gifts.  I am a devoted Vanguard customer and make direct donations thru Vanguard but tend to find the process a bit tedious –

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Give Yourself a Gift

SEVERAL YEARS AGO, I had lunch with a longtime friend, Jim. Over the course of 30 years, he’s had a tremendous impact on my life through his wise counsel and fine example. That day, Jim wanted to treat me to lunch, but I stepped in front of him in line and paid for us. After I’d paid, I could see the disappointment in Jim’s face. He turned to the woman behind him and proceeded to pay for her lunch.

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Bearing Gifts

GIVING GIFTS DELIVERS significant emotional and health benefits, or so says the research. But I find much depends on how the actual giving takes place.
My best giving lesson occurred many years ago. At a rural busstop on the island of Crete, off the coast of Greece, I sat next to an old local woman dressed in ragged clothing and torn shoes. Neither of us spoke the other’s language. She carried with her a small bag of fresh peaches and motioned for me to take one.

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Our annual give it away meeting

Connie and I just had our annual financial meeting- how best to give money away. 
Every since I discovered QCDs – you know what that is, right, I enjoy avoiding taxes on a RMD. 
As long as I have to take the money out of my IRA, I like putting it to good use – tax-free if possible.
Where does it go? A chunk goes to church and several religious organizations- Connie’s call. 
We give to a food pantry on Cape Cod and one local.

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Spotlight: McGlynn

He Gets, She Gets

IF YOU DESIGNATE beneficiaries for your retirement accounts, that’s usually a surefire way to pass those assets directly to your desired heirs without going through probate—but not always. Because those beneficiary designations are so important, you should verify your choices every year in case there’s a change due to, say, marriage, birth, divorce or death. Especially marriage and divorce. Which brings me to a crucial issue: When dealing with IRA and 401(k) beneficiary designations, there’s a key difference when it comes to your spouse. In general, a spouse who hasn’t been named beneficiary of an IRA isn’t entitled to inherit it. Unlike 401(k) plans, IRAs aren’t governed by ERISA—the Employee Retirement Income Security Act—so these accounts don’t have the same protections for spouses. You’re free to name whoever you wish as your IRA beneficiary, even if you’re married, provided you don’t live in a community property state. Indeed, IRAs are excluded from ERISA coverage, even if the funds originated in a 401(k). By contrast, under ERISA, if the owner of a 401(k) account is married when he or she dies, his or her spouse is automatically entitled to receive money, regardless of what the beneficiary designation says. The exact percentage seems to be a matter of some disagreement—some lawyers say 50%, while others put it at 100%. If there’s no beneficiary listed, the spouse is entitled to 100% of the account. The spouse can sign a waiver, giving up his or her claim to the account, but only if the spouse is at least 35 years of age. It isn’t enough just to name someone else on the beneficiary form that your employer gives you. The waiver must be filled out, with the spouse consenting to the participant’s choice of beneficiary. If your spouse signs the waiver, which should be…
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Fending Off Inflation

I REMEMBER 40 YEARS ago listening to Salomon Brothers economist Henry Kaufman bemoaning government deficits and predicting higher interest rates as a result. We institutional investors would gather in a room to listen to his declarations through a “squawk box” intercom system—because conference calls weren’t yet a thing. Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker was in the process of wringing inflation out of the financial system by raising the federal funds rate so high that investors would rather hold cash investments than spend money. For everyday investors, money-market mutual funds were the go-to investment. I would mail checks to Fidelity Investments, whose money fund yielded more than 15% while also offering complete liquidity. If short-term interest rates rose—which they did—I would earn even more. Stodgy bank accounts and certificates of deposit were no match. Today, it seems Series I savings bonds are the modern-day equivalent of the 1980s money market fund. Even though buyers are limited to $10,000 per calendar year, the 7%-plus yield on offer seems as popular today as the money market funds of 40 years ago. Many commentators also recommend Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, as a great inflation hedge. But since the Federal Reserve purchased these bonds as part of its efforts at quantitative easing, they’re currently priced to return less than inflation, unlike I bonds, which should climb in lockstep with the Consumer Price Index. What else can you do, besides buying Series I savings bonds, to protect yourself from inflation? Here are four other things I’ve done or plan to do. First, I refinanced my mortgage with a 15-year loan at 2.375%. That rate is well below the inflation rate, plus I’ll be repaying the mortgage with depreciated dollars and the home itself should act as an inflation hedge. Since I refinanced, 15-year mortgage rates…
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Prepare for Care

YOUR LIFE’S FINAL costly chapter may be paying for long-term care. Indeed, the odds of needing care if you’re age 65 or older are around 50%. Two key questions: Will you need care for an extended period and how will you pay for it? If the duration is short—which it is for many seniors—paying probably won’t be much of a problem. But if long-term care is needed for many years, financial decisions today might protect the legacy you hope to bequeath decades from now. Long-term-care (LTC) insurance can take the form of either traditional standalone coverage or a hybrid policy. It’s possible that current standalone policies, after being underpriced for many years, are now priced correctly. Still, I never wanted to make a long-term investment in a policy where premiums could jump if the insurer’s “costs” rose. That’s why I opted for a hybrid policy that “guarantees” no increase in premiums. The company I chose for my hybrid policy hasn’t raised premiums on its hybrid LTC policies in more than 30 years, which I find encouraging. A hybrid LTC policy is one that’s built around either a life insurance policy or a tax-deferred annuity. The basic idea: If you don't need long-term care, your heirs will receive either a tax-free death benefit or the tax-deferred annuity. If you do need care, you’ll receive the benefits tax-free and, in some cases, the monthly benefit can be of unlimited duration. Intrigued? This is a good time to be looking. For the first time in a few years, the cost of hybrid policies has declined, thanks to rising interest rates. [xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"] When I bought my policy some years ago, I paid a large lump sum for a second-to-die life insurance policy. Yields on cash investments were incredibly low at the time, so…
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Social Security Survivor Benefits for Spouses

I recently explained some facts about Social Security spousal benefits and upon doing so discovered there were some questions related to the linkage of spousal and survivor benefits. I delved deeper into survivor benefits and found some interesting facts about them as well. Survivor vs spousal benefits. Survivor benefits are separate from spousal benefits. While spousal benefits are capped at 50% of the workers full retirement amount (FRA), survivor benefits can pay up to 100 % of what the deceased was receiving or entitled to receive. Taking a reduced spousal benefit earlier than FRA does not reduce the survivor benefit you may receive later. Survivor Benefits Marriage Duration. A current spouse must have been married at least 9 months to qualify for survivor benefits. A divorced surviving ex-spouse must have been married at least 10 years. Flexibility in choosing benefits. Survivors can choose which benefit to take first. You may claim a survivor benefit as early as age 60 (50 if disabled) and allow your own benefit to grow until age 70,or claim your own benefit as early as age 62 and file for the maximum survivor benefit at FRA. This flexibility allows you to maximize long-term income. Effect of the deceased spouse's filing age. If the deceased filed early, your survivor benefit is protected by an 82.5% floor of their FRA when you claim at your own FRA. If the deceased died before filing and before FRA, your survivor benefit is based on 100% of their FRA amount if you claim at your FRA or later. If the deceased died after FRA without filing, you inherit any delayed retirement credits they earned up until the month of death. Remarriage rules. Remarriage after age 60 (or age 50 if disabled) does not affect eligibility for survivor benefits from a deceased spouse. Remarriage before age 60 generally ends eligibility. Maximizing your benefit. Your spouse's filing age sets the ceiling…
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Danger: Cliff Ahead

MEET IRMAA. YOU WON'T like her. IRMAA is short for income-related monthly adjustment amount. It’s a premium surcharge levied on those covered by Medicare Part B and Part D—and who have income above certain thresholds. In 2020, the standard premium for Part B, which covers outpatient care, is $144.60 a month. That’s what you pay if you file taxes as a single individual and your modified adjusted gross income is $87,000 or less, or if you’re married filing jointly with annual income of $174,000 and below. What if your income, including tax-free municipal bond interest, exceeds these levels? You may be subject to the IRMAA surcharge. The Part B premium is set so that it pays for 25% of Medicare’s actual cost. The remaining 75% is effectively subsidized by the federal government’s general revenue. The IRMAA surcharge is designed to remove this subsidy for those able to pay—those whose income is above the $87,000 and $174,000 thresholds. The IRMAA surcharge only affects 5% of Medicare recipients, but—depending on what happens with the inflation adjustments to the IRMAA income brackets—this 5% could increase over time. In 2020, there are five different IRMAA income tiers. The Part B surcharge starts at $57.80 per month, equal to $693.60 annually, and gets as high up as $347 per month, or $4,164 annually. Keep in mind that the IRMAA surcharge is per person, so couples pay double these amounts. If your income bumps you into the next income tier, you trigger the new tier’s full surcharge. For instance, income that moves you into the second tier—which starts at $109,000, versus $87,000 for the first tier—will trigger the second tier’s higher rate, even if you exceed the threshold by just $1. This so-called cliff penalty means that $1 of extra income triggers an additional IRMAA surcharge…
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Fourth Time Lucky

I HAD PLANNED a trip to Vietnam for 2020—which coincided with the start of the pandemic and got scratched. I naively rescheduled the trip for this summer. Unfortunately, countries that lack vaccines have been forced to lock down and keep out even vaccinated tourists like me, so that trip also got nixed. Ever the optimist, I rescheduled for Europe in July. This time, it was the delta variant and changing travel restrictions that ended my third international trip before it even began. I asked my tour group what my options were. The folks there mentioned four countries: Iceland, Croatia, Costa Rica and Egypt. I chose Egypt. The positive: There were very few tourists at the pyramids and the temples. The negatives, however, were numerous: wearing a mask on 10-hour flights, the risk of frequent flight cancellations, and COVID testing when both entering and leaving airports, even though I’m fully vaccinated. This last requirement was the hardest to understand. For my flights, I had to have a negative COVID result within 72 hours. I also learned that there are two types of test—the rapid antigen test and the less rapid but more accurate PCR test. The PCR test was required to fly through London on the way to Egypt. I paid $220 for same-day PCR test results to ensure I could board the plane. My daughter, who was accompanying me, was able to get her PCR test at no charge from her university. The testing went smoothly for us. But others in our tour group were forced to take more tests at the airport because their results needed to be within 48 hours of departure. Just before returning from Egypt, our tour group provided us with another COVID test for $150. The results were delivered to our hotel just three hours…
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