Short-term trading is an act of great arrogance: You assume you know better than the market—and that you’ll quickly be proven right.
David Powell has written software or led engineering teams for 35 years. He enjoys work, vegan fine dining, cycling and travel with his spouse. His previous article was Playing Defense. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]NO. 74: WHATEVER the nightmare scenario—recession, inflation, deflation—the answer’s the same: We need stocks to notch long-run gains, with enough bonds and cash to survive the rough spell.
NO. 42: IT’S HARD to distinguish skill from luck. Suppose that, after all investment costs, there’s a 45% chance of beating the stock market each year. Over a dozen years, probability suggests that, out of a million investors, 69 “investment geniuses” would beat the market in all 12 years. But were these stock pickers truly skillful—or just very lucky?
NO. 14: WITH EVERY dollar we spend, we’re seeking to tell others how we want to be perceived. The big house says we’re financially successful. The Prius says we’re environmentally aware. The theater subscription lets others know we’re cultured. The irony: Even as we use money to signal our success to others, we can end up damaging our financial future.
FIXED COSTS. Our fixed monthly expenses include items like mortgage or rent, car payments, insurance premiums, utilities and groceries. The higher these costs, the less we'll have for savings and for discretionary spending. The latter includes things like vacations, concerts, eating out and hobbies—typically the spending that brings the greatest happiness.
NO. 74: WHATEVER the nightmare scenario—recession, inflation, deflation—the answer’s the same: We need stocks to notch long-run gains, with enough bonds and cash to survive the rough spell.
Ever have one of those moments? You you’ve been reading HumbleDollar for a couple years and your 26 year old son calls and says “Dad, work is going to start kicking in %5 for a 403(b), what should I do?” “Well, son, let me tell you about low cost index funds…”
Anybody else had softballs teed up like this ? 🙂
I’ve been thinking about family dynamics and how they affect financial decisions, and this will be the first of several posts on various applications of this topic.
This first one is a hard one to talk about: It’s family estrangement, specifically a family member(s) going “no contact” with or otherwise walking away from other family member(s). It’s not as unusual as you might think–there is growing research on the topic, and some estimate that more than 30% of American families have an estranged family member.
We are in this time of life. One of our elderly parents who lives alone has memory issues. How did you know when it was not safe for your parents to be in their home anymore? Chris
WHEN IT COMES to financial decisions, there are, as I’ve argued before, two answers to every question: what the calculator says, and how you feel about it. There’s a fly in the ointment, though: Calculator answers might appear to be based in logic, but they’re still imperfect.
Why?
Ian Wilson, a former executive at General Electric, explained it this way: “No amount of sophistication is going to allay the fact that all knowledge is about the past,
BASIC ECONOMICS teaches us that scarce commodities are more precious. This holds true for metals, rocks, food—and time. Which brings me to today’s topic: Time spent with my daughter and only child has reached the rare and precious stage.
In summer 2023, scarcity was far from my mind. My daughter and I traveled to visit Grandmama—my mother—five hours’ drive south of our home. The visit itself was short and mundane, with just the usual catching up with my mother and tending to her business.
If you thought my posts on family estrangement and supporting adult children were doozies, wait until you dig into this one.
My musings on all three of these topics are specifically related to how complicated the interaction between family dynamics (especially if it’s a “difficult” family) and our finances can be. This one focuses on how caring for parents as they age can raise challenging questions.
Like many of you, I’m at the stage of life where I view these questions both as a daughter and as a parent.
Farrell Behavior
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Beefing Up Security
ArticleDavid Powell | Mar 21, 2019
- Up-to-date access to your password vault on all devices, regardless of the device’s operating system.
- Updates to your vault as you create new accounts or update existing passwords.
- A random password generator that creates really strong, unique passwords. Those passwords will meet each site’s requirements for length and allowed characters.
- A security challenge which guides you through the work of replacing existing poor passwords—those which are known to be compromised, weak or easily guessed, or which you’ve used more than once.
- Emergency access to your vault by someone you choose, as well as password sharing with, say, family members for your Amazon Prime or Netflix account.
- Two-factor authentication for extra vault security.
Some of these are only available in paid versions of the service. Despite knowing better, I procrastinated in evaluating password managers. That changed the day I tried to picture life for my spouse after I leave this vale of tears. I visualized the chores I handle: Banking, bill paying and investment management all involve online accounts. That brought my password problem into focus. A list of passwords in a binder, next to our wills, isn’t secure and it’s a pain to keep up. After experimenting with a free trial, I bought a family subscription. Moving my password vault from low-ranked to the top 1% took a couple of weekends. Each weekend, I’d spend an hour or two changing passwords, guided by the security challenge and with help from the password generator. Do this on your home PC or Mac, not an office computer. I started with high-value accounts: email, cellular carrier, and then banks and brokerages. Why email? Most web sites let you reset a password by emailing a link to the address on file. If hackers have access to your inbox, they’ll use it to access every online account. The cellular account is also important if you’ve enabled two-factor authentication that triggers text messages with secure codes. What if someone hacks into your password manager’s vault? If you pick a great vault password, the odds of this are low. But when you have all your eggs in one basket, you want to ensure that basket stays safe. That’s what led me to the YubiKey 5 series hardware keys. When you use a YubiKey with a password manager, the manager encrypts your vault twice, once with your vault password and again with a secret it gets from the YubiKey. For convenience, I’m using two models of YubiKey. I use YubiKey 5 Nano with my PC and Mac. Meanwhile, YubiKey 5 NFC stays on my keyring for use with my phone. The latter should work with an iPhone 7 or newer, as well as an Android phone with NFC (near field communication).Don’t Kick The Can Down The Road
Mark Crothers | May 27, 2026
Percentage that “age in place”
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Deeply Rooted
ArticleMark Crothers | May 23, 2026
Mark Crothers is a retired small business owner from the UK with a keen interest in personal finance and simple living. Married to his high school sweetheart, with daughters and grandchildren, he knows the importance of building a secure financial future. With an aversion to social media, he prefers to spend his time on his main passions: reading, scratch cooking, racket sports, and hiking.