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Many seniors think we paid for our Social Security benefits based on the FICA taxes we paid. Let’s dispel that myth- we didn’t

"There is so much false information out there so what can you do? This problem will only be fixed by those that are elected and hopefully they are educated and want the best for their constituents."
- Nick Politakis
Read more »

HD Reader’s Demographics

"Right. You don’t need a two comma income to achieve a two comma net worth. You get there one payroll deposit at a time, over a long period of time. "
- Dan Smith
Read more »

What’s in your portfolio ?

"I have touted my faith in Vanguard for decades to my wife. Hopefully I have a couple of decades left to manage our assets. After that the compounding fees will have less of an effect. Finally, and most importantly, since my wife has shown only a passing interest (most recently) I don’t think in her eighties she would want to be making a decision on a fee only advisor in her late eighties, and in that case Vanguard and their potential 5K is fee looks like a bargain."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

FIXING SOCIAL SECURITY IS NOT THAT HARD, HERE’S HOW

"Congress works 365 in some manner. Even committees continue most of their work during recesses."
- R Quinn
Read more »

Defining Enough

"How do you define “essential expenses” and would life be a joy living on that only and would it cover unexpected essentials?"
- R Quinn
Read more »

Can one “core” total bond ETF replace the complexity of your bond holdings?

"I'm still in the accumulation phase so keep things very simple with my bond holdings with a total bond market index fund as my single bond investment. In retirement I will add short-term bond index funds. I never intend on owning an actively managed fund, even in the bond space."
- Brent Wilson
Read more »

Gold and Diamonds

"Mark, another great piece - thanks. Two thoughts. Firstly, my wife has a very simple wedding ring that she likes. No idea how many karats of anything might be involved. But Cindy likes it, and that's all that matters. I didn't get a wedding ring, as I have never worn any jewelry. Cindy and I agreed that it was pointless to purchase something that I wouldn't wear. Secondly, I think your article makes a really nice point about gold, diamonds, Bitcoin and a range of other non-productive assets. There is no sensible methodology to determine what the fair value of any of these speculative assets should be. As many other comments have noted, investing in income-producing assets just makes a lot more sense to me."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

A Sunday Thought About Money

"Love this reflection, Mark. Every couple of weeks, when the weather is nice, I will take a seat on my top deck around 11pm with a small snifter of brandy for a session of wonder and gratitude. I look across the Sound at the lights of downtown Seattle and watch the distant airliners taking off from the airport, idly wondering where they're going at that late hour. It's a home and a view I never dreamed of affording when I was younger and broke and scrambling for underpaid jobs. Behind and below me sleeps a loving family I never expected that came to me rather late in life. Wife, Mama, sister-in-law are safe and comfortable because I can take care of them. I'm alive, remarkably, because of a medical breakthrough a decade ago that landed just when I needed it -- and for which I could afford to cover what insurance did not. I'm not wealthy by any means, but I never again have to worry about paying the bills, which is wealth in my book. And I truly don't know how it all happened. I can't figure out how I got this lucky. So with each sip of brandy I'm flooded with appreciation for being here to enjoy a simple life that is beyond what I ever aspired to have."
- Mike Gaynes
Read more »

The Market’s Unpredictability

EARLIER THIS SPRING, Emil Verner, an economist at MIT, made an observation: The stock market, he said, seemed to be exhibiting “excess tranquility.” Despite an ongoing war, inflation and other negative headlines, investors seemed surprisingly unfazed. The market was on track for its fourth year in a row of positive returns. Through May, it had gained 11%. But no sooner did Verner make this observation that the market did begin to wobble. Last Friday, the Nasdaq index dropped more than 4%, and several individual stocks sank more than 10%. How can we make sense of this—that, despite the headlines, the market was so resilient for so many months, but then reversed course so suddenly? Looking at this question can help us better understand the nature of the stock market and why its movements often seem so illogical. We can start by looking at the period prior to last Friday’s decline. Despite the ongoing war and resulting inflation, the market had risen steadily throughout April and May. Why? Three factors likely contributed. First, and probably most importantly: While the war with Iran caused gasoline prices to jump, the impact on the overall economy has been more muted than most people expected. Despite the negative impact on commodity prices and interest rates, corporate America has been doing well. Among companies that reported earnings in the first quarter of this year, 85% beat expectations. For reference, over the past 10 years, approximately 76% of companies typically beat estimates. So corporate earnings are growing, and they’re growing even faster than expected. Another factor that might have contributed to the market tranquility: More investors are participating in workplace retirement plans like 401(k)s. Because these plans make regular investments via payroll deductions, they serve as a sort of thumb on the scale, constantly buying, whether the market is up or it’s down. This has been a steady, multi-year trend. The third factor contributing to market tranquility: artificial intelligence. Yes, there are concerns about it, but so far, these seem mostly theoretical. Most notably, there’s been the worry that AI systems would replace jobs and cause widespread unemployment. Last year, Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, warned that “a lot of jobs will go away.” At least one company blamed AI in initiating a round of layoffs, reinforcing Altman’s warning. More recently, though, Altman has backtracked. In an interview in May, he acknowledged that he was “pretty wrong.” “I’m delighted to be wrong about this,” he said. “I thought there would have been more impact on entry-level white-collar jobs being eliminated by now than ​has actually happened.” The data seems in line with Altman’s updated view. A year or two ago, it was easier to dismiss the early versions of ChatGPT for their tendency to fabricate information, but sentiment has shifted. Instead of putting white-collar workers out of jobs, AI seems instead to be helping them be more productive. Lawyers use it to help with research, programmers use it to write code, marketers use it to create websites and finance people use it to build spreadsheets. The list goes on, and because of all that, I suspect, investors have a generally optimistic outlook on the economy. Many people view AI as being in the early innings, with far greater productivity gains in front of us. But then came last Friday, when the market began to sputter. Why the sudden shift? The proximate cause was a strong employment report released on Friday morning. The economy added 172,000 jobs in May, more than double what economists had expected. And the numbers for March and April were both revised upward. This was all good news. The problem for the stock market, though, is that investors tend to think a few steps ahead, and that can turn good news into bad news. The worry in this case is that a strong employment picture will result in inflationary pressures, because more workers will have more money to spend. Taken together with the already elevated inflation resulting from oil prices, the fear is that the Federal Reserve might be forced to raise interest rates this year, after dropping them several times last year. Reflecting this worry, interest rates rose last Friday to 16-month highs. And because stocks tend to fall when rates rise, stocks dropped. And thus, with just one press release, market sentiment soured. Benjamin Graham famously stated: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” From day to day, in other words, stock prices tend to be driven by sentiment, stories and emotion. But over the longer term, logic generally prevails, and stock prices will more rationally reflect companies’ profit levels.  I agree with Graham’s description of the market. What I would add, though, is that the stock market is also like a pinball machine. It isn’t so much that investors are irrational. Instead, the reality is that there’s simply too much news out there for even the most reasonable person to process at any given time. So people respond to whatever happens to catch their attention or whatever they see as most important. That differs from individual to individual and can also change from day to day. The result is the seemingly erratic ups and downs that we’ve being seeing recently, and that we see so often. This is another reason why I think the best approach for investors is to never react too strongly to the day’s news and instead to take the long view. History has shown that this is when Graham’s weighing machine should ultimately carry the day. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Beyond Bank Accounts

I OPENED MY FIRST bank account in the US at a local credit union (CU) close to my workplace. The CU had several convenient offers for employees of our company. With minimal effort, I opened checking and savings accounts, got free checkbooks and a credit card despite having no credit history in the US.

I was so pleased with the convenience that I handled all my banking needs through this CU for many years. That included direct deposit of my salary, payments and withdrawals, a car loan, and certificates of deposit (CDs) as my savings grew. I still maintain my checking account here and occasionally enjoy special favors as a longtime loyal customer.

Eventually, I realized that I earned very little interest from the bank deposits. I shopped around, found other banks with better rates, opened several accounts here and there, and moved my money around.

I felt good about being proactive and getting a better return on my cash reserve. But that feeling was short-lived as I started learning more about personal finance and investments. Tired of chasing yields in bank accounts, I eventually embraced US Treasurys (debt issued and backed by the US Government) as my alternative to savings accounts and CDs.

For those unfamiliar with US Treasurys, think of them as CDs with maturities ranging from four weeks to 30 years. They're widely used as a "safe investment" by individual, institutional and even sovereign investors around the world.

There are some key differences, though. Bank deposits are insured only up to $250,000. US Treasurys, on the other hand, are backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. Therefore, there is virtually no default risk regardless of the investment amount.

Treasury interest rates, both short-term and long-term, are heavily influenced by monetary policy actions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Treasury interest rates directly affect many interest rates we encounter in everyday life: bank accounts, CDs, mortgage, car loans, personal and business loans, and so on.

Treasury interest rates are often higher than comparable bank products. Why? Because the intermediary financial institutions take their cut for operational costs and profits. Result? Suboptimal, or sometimes almost non-existent, interest on bank deposits.

But wait. What if I need my money back?

With bank deposits, I can walk in and withdraw cash from my account. If my money is locked in a CD, I may have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal, but I can still access it fairly quickly. What happens if I'm holding Treasurys? Do I need to wait until maturity?

That leads us to another important aspect of US Treasurys: their extremely high liquidity.

I can certainly buy newly issued Treasurys and wait until maturity, but I don't have to wait for these events. Investors around the world buy and sell Treasurys in the open market every day, making them one of the most liquid investments in existence.

Their liquidity, safety and meaningful return make Treasurys a compelling alternative for both short- and long-term cash reserves.

Sounds interesting? That's exactly how I felt after doing my own research. All I needed to figure out was the best way to invest in them.

Instead of buying Treasurys directly from the US Treasury, I use my brokerage accounts and buy and sell individual Treasurys or Treasury exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the open market, just like stocks or funds. (I used to participate in Treasury auctions through the brokerage account to buy new issues and set my holdings to auto-roll upon maturity, but I eventually stopped doing that to keep things simple.)

For annual expenses and short-term cash needs, I like short-term, highly liquid, Treasury ETFs with a practically negligible expense ratio.

For money expected in three to four years, I favor short- and intermediate-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) ETFs. TIPS have a lower interest rate compared to equivalent regular Treasurys, but their principal is adjusted with inflation, helping mitigate the risk of unexpected inflation.

For cash reserves further into the future, five years or more, my preference is a ladder of individual TIPS bonds, each maturing in a specific future year. Bond trading is slightly more involved than ETFs or stocks, so target-maturity TIPS ETFs can also be a reasonable alternative despite their slightly higher management fees.

Is there a catch compared to keeping money in conventional bank accounts?

I can't think of any, but there are two noticeable differences worth understanding.

First, unlike money sitting in bank accounts, Treasury investments fluctuate in value because they constantly change hands in open markets. For short-term Treasurys, the fluctuations are usually tiny. For intermediate- and long-term Treasurys, the swing can be more noticeable, especially when there's a major change in the interest rate expectation. Thankfully, these fluctuations are usually modest, and over time Treasurys often come out ahead compared to bank deposits.

The second difference deserves a bit more attention.

With a bank account, you can get hold of your money almost immediately. Treasury investments, however, may take a couple of business days to turn into spendable cash. You need to sell the ETF or bond during market hours. Once the transaction settles, usually the next business day, the proceeds can then be transferred out to the checking account for spending. In some cases, you may be able to carry on your spending activities directly from the brokerage account.

Over time, I shifted most of my liquid savings to Treasurys because of the improved result. Yet I still see many people leaving large cash balances in bank products or chasing yields from one bank to another.

I suspect the main reason is simple: lack of familiarity with US Treasurys.

  Sanjib Saha retired early from software engineering to dedicate more time to family and friends, pursue personal development and assist others as a money wellness mentor. Self-taught in investments, he passed the Series 65 licensing exam as a non-industry candidate. Sanjib is the president and cofounder of Dollar Mentor, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization offering free investment and financial education. Follow his nonprofit on LinkedIn, and check out Sanjib’s earlier articles.
Read more »

Many seniors think we paid for our Social Security benefits based on the FICA taxes we paid. Let’s dispel that myth- we didn’t

"There is so much false information out there so what can you do? This problem will only be fixed by those that are elected and hopefully they are educated and want the best for their constituents."
- Nick Politakis
Read more »

HD Reader’s Demographics

"Right. You don’t need a two comma income to achieve a two comma net worth. You get there one payroll deposit at a time, over a long period of time. "
- Dan Smith
Read more »

What’s in your portfolio ?

"I have touted my faith in Vanguard for decades to my wife. Hopefully I have a couple of decades left to manage our assets. After that the compounding fees will have less of an effect. Finally, and most importantly, since my wife has shown only a passing interest (most recently) I don’t think in her eighties she would want to be making a decision on a fee only advisor in her late eighties, and in that case Vanguard and their potential 5K is fee looks like a bargain."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

FIXING SOCIAL SECURITY IS NOT THAT HARD, HERE’S HOW

"Congress works 365 in some manner. Even committees continue most of their work during recesses."
- R Quinn
Read more »

Defining Enough

"How do you define “essential expenses” and would life be a joy living on that only and would it cover unexpected essentials?"
- R Quinn
Read more »

Can one “core” total bond ETF replace the complexity of your bond holdings?

"I'm still in the accumulation phase so keep things very simple with my bond holdings with a total bond market index fund as my single bond investment. In retirement I will add short-term bond index funds. I never intend on owning an actively managed fund, even in the bond space."
- Brent Wilson
Read more »

Gold and Diamonds

"Mark, another great piece - thanks. Two thoughts. Firstly, my wife has a very simple wedding ring that she likes. No idea how many karats of anything might be involved. But Cindy likes it, and that's all that matters. I didn't get a wedding ring, as I have never worn any jewelry. Cindy and I agreed that it was pointless to purchase something that I wouldn't wear. Secondly, I think your article makes a really nice point about gold, diamonds, Bitcoin and a range of other non-productive assets. There is no sensible methodology to determine what the fair value of any of these speculative assets should be. As many other comments have noted, investing in income-producing assets just makes a lot more sense to me."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

Beyond Bank Accounts

I OPENED MY FIRST bank account in the US at a local credit union (CU) close to my workplace. The CU had several convenient offers for employees of our company. With minimal effort, I opened checking and savings accounts, got free checkbooks and a credit card despite having no credit history in the US.

I was so pleased with the convenience that I handled all my banking needs through this CU for many years. That included direct deposit of my salary, payments and withdrawals, a car loan, and certificates of deposit (CDs) as my savings grew. I still maintain my checking account here and occasionally enjoy special favors as a longtime loyal customer.

Eventually, I realized that I earned very little interest from the bank deposits. I shopped around, found other banks with better rates, opened several accounts here and there, and moved my money around.

I felt good about being proactive and getting a better return on my cash reserve. But that feeling was short-lived as I started learning more about personal finance and investments. Tired of chasing yields in bank accounts, I eventually embraced US Treasurys (debt issued and backed by the US Government) as my alternative to savings accounts and CDs.

For those unfamiliar with US Treasurys, think of them as CDs with maturities ranging from four weeks to 30 years. They're widely used as a "safe investment" by individual, institutional and even sovereign investors around the world.

There are some key differences, though. Bank deposits are insured only up to $250,000. US Treasurys, on the other hand, are backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. Therefore, there is virtually no default risk regardless of the investment amount.

Treasury interest rates, both short-term and long-term, are heavily influenced by monetary policy actions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Treasury interest rates directly affect many interest rates we encounter in everyday life: bank accounts, CDs, mortgage, car loans, personal and business loans, and so on.

Treasury interest rates are often higher than comparable bank products. Why? Because the intermediary financial institutions take their cut for operational costs and profits. Result? Suboptimal, or sometimes almost non-existent, interest on bank deposits.

But wait. What if I need my money back?

With bank deposits, I can walk in and withdraw cash from my account. If my money is locked in a CD, I may have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal, but I can still access it fairly quickly. What happens if I'm holding Treasurys? Do I need to wait until maturity?

That leads us to another important aspect of US Treasurys: their extremely high liquidity.

I can certainly buy newly issued Treasurys and wait until maturity, but I don't have to wait for these events. Investors around the world buy and sell Treasurys in the open market every day, making them one of the most liquid investments in existence.

Their liquidity, safety and meaningful return make Treasurys a compelling alternative for both short- and long-term cash reserves.

Sounds interesting? That's exactly how I felt after doing my own research. All I needed to figure out was the best way to invest in them.

Instead of buying Treasurys directly from the US Treasury, I use my brokerage accounts and buy and sell individual Treasurys or Treasury exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the open market, just like stocks or funds. (I used to participate in Treasury auctions through the brokerage account to buy new issues and set my holdings to auto-roll upon maturity, but I eventually stopped doing that to keep things simple.)

For annual expenses and short-term cash needs, I like short-term, highly liquid, Treasury ETFs with a practically negligible expense ratio.

For money expected in three to four years, I favor short- and intermediate-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) ETFs. TIPS have a lower interest rate compared to equivalent regular Treasurys, but their principal is adjusted with inflation, helping mitigate the risk of unexpected inflation.

For cash reserves further into the future, five years or more, my preference is a ladder of individual TIPS bonds, each maturing in a specific future year. Bond trading is slightly more involved than ETFs or stocks, so target-maturity TIPS ETFs can also be a reasonable alternative despite their slightly higher management fees.

Is there a catch compared to keeping money in conventional bank accounts?

I can't think of any, but there are two noticeable differences worth understanding.

First, unlike money sitting in bank accounts, Treasury investments fluctuate in value because they constantly change hands in open markets. For short-term Treasurys, the fluctuations are usually tiny. For intermediate- and long-term Treasurys, the swing can be more noticeable, especially when there's a major change in the interest rate expectation. Thankfully, these fluctuations are usually modest, and over time Treasurys often come out ahead compared to bank deposits.

The second difference deserves a bit more attention.

With a bank account, you can get hold of your money almost immediately. Treasury investments, however, may take a couple of business days to turn into spendable cash. You need to sell the ETF or bond during market hours. Once the transaction settles, usually the next business day, the proceeds can then be transferred out to the checking account for spending. In some cases, you may be able to carry on your spending activities directly from the brokerage account.

Over time, I shifted most of my liquid savings to Treasurys because of the improved result. Yet I still see many people leaving large cash balances in bank products or chasing yields from one bank to another.

I suspect the main reason is simple: lack of familiarity with US Treasurys.

  Sanjib Saha retired early from software engineering to dedicate more time to family and friends, pursue personal development and assist others as a money wellness mentor. Self-taught in investments, he passed the Series 65 licensing exam as a non-industry candidate. Sanjib is the president and cofounder of Dollar Mentor, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization offering free investment and financial education. Follow his nonprofit on LinkedIn, and check out Sanjib’s earlier articles.
Read more »

The Market’s Unpredictability

EARLIER THIS SPRING, Emil Verner, an economist at MIT, made an observation: The stock market, he said, seemed to be exhibiting “excess tranquility.” Despite an ongoing war, inflation and other negative headlines, investors seemed surprisingly unfazed. The market was on track for its fourth year in a row of positive returns. Through May, it had gained 11%. But no sooner did Verner make this observation that the market did begin to wobble. Last Friday, the Nasdaq index dropped more than 4%, and several individual stocks sank more than 10%. How can we make sense of this—that, despite the headlines, the market was so resilient for so many months, but then reversed course so suddenly? Looking at this question can help us better understand the nature of the stock market and why its movements often seem so illogical. We can start by looking at the period prior to last Friday’s decline. Despite the ongoing war and resulting inflation, the market had risen steadily throughout April and May. Why? Three factors likely contributed. First, and probably most importantly: While the war with Iran caused gasoline prices to jump, the impact on the overall economy has been more muted than most people expected. Despite the negative impact on commodity prices and interest rates, corporate America has been doing well. Among companies that reported earnings in the first quarter of this year, 85% beat expectations. For reference, over the past 10 years, approximately 76% of companies typically beat estimates. So corporate earnings are growing, and they’re growing even faster than expected. Another factor that might have contributed to the market tranquility: More investors are participating in workplace retirement plans like 401(k)s. Because these plans make regular investments via payroll deductions, they serve as a sort of thumb on the scale, constantly buying, whether the market is up or it’s down. This has been a steady, multi-year trend. The third factor contributing to market tranquility: artificial intelligence. Yes, there are concerns about it, but so far, these seem mostly theoretical. Most notably, there’s been the worry that AI systems would replace jobs and cause widespread unemployment. Last year, Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, warned that “a lot of jobs will go away.” At least one company blamed AI in initiating a round of layoffs, reinforcing Altman’s warning. More recently, though, Altman has backtracked. In an interview in May, he acknowledged that he was “pretty wrong.” “I’m delighted to be wrong about this,” he said. “I thought there would have been more impact on entry-level white-collar jobs being eliminated by now than ​has actually happened.” The data seems in line with Altman’s updated view. A year or two ago, it was easier to dismiss the early versions of ChatGPT for their tendency to fabricate information, but sentiment has shifted. Instead of putting white-collar workers out of jobs, AI seems instead to be helping them be more productive. Lawyers use it to help with research, programmers use it to write code, marketers use it to create websites and finance people use it to build spreadsheets. The list goes on, and because of all that, I suspect, investors have a generally optimistic outlook on the economy. Many people view AI as being in the early innings, with far greater productivity gains in front of us. But then came last Friday, when the market began to sputter. Why the sudden shift? The proximate cause was a strong employment report released on Friday morning. The economy added 172,000 jobs in May, more than double what economists had expected. And the numbers for March and April were both revised upward. This was all good news. The problem for the stock market, though, is that investors tend to think a few steps ahead, and that can turn good news into bad news. The worry in this case is that a strong employment picture will result in inflationary pressures, because more workers will have more money to spend. Taken together with the already elevated inflation resulting from oil prices, the fear is that the Federal Reserve might be forced to raise interest rates this year, after dropping them several times last year. Reflecting this worry, interest rates rose last Friday to 16-month highs. And because stocks tend to fall when rates rise, stocks dropped. And thus, with just one press release, market sentiment soured. Benjamin Graham famously stated: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” From day to day, in other words, stock prices tend to be driven by sentiment, stories and emotion. But over the longer term, logic generally prevails, and stock prices will more rationally reflect companies’ profit levels.  I agree with Graham’s description of the market. What I would add, though, is that the stock market is also like a pinball machine. It isn’t so much that investors are irrational. Instead, the reality is that there’s simply too much news out there for even the most reasonable person to process at any given time. So people respond to whatever happens to catch their attention or whatever they see as most important. That differs from individual to individual and can also change from day to day. The result is the seemingly erratic ups and downs that we’ve being seeing recently, and that we see so often. This is another reason why I think the best approach for investors is to never react too strongly to the day’s news and instead to take the long view. History has shown that this is when Graham’s weighing machine should ultimately carry the day. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

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Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 62: IF WE’LL SPEND money in the next few years, cash is the only prudent choice—but we shouldn’t hold more than necessary. Why not? After taxes and inflation, we’re likely losing money.

Truths

NO. 52: WE CAN’T forecast returns, but we can manage risk. Will stocks plunge? As the saying goes, “If you ask a stupid question, you’ll get a stupid answer.” Forget trying to guess whether stocks will nosedive. Instead, ponder the consequences: Would a sharp market drop imperil upcoming goals—or could you shrug off the short-term financial hit?

think

FLOW. We imagine what we want most is time to relax. But in truth, we get great satisfaction from work—provided it’s work we find challenging and interesting, and feel we’re good at. All this is captured by psychology professor Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi’s notion of flow. During moments of flow, we can become completely absorbed and lose all sense of time.

act

DECIDE WHICH DEBTS to pay off first. Looking to repay your loans more quickly than required? You’ll usually want to focus on ridding yourself of your highest-interest debt. But suppose you have a car loan that’s almost paid off. Even if the rate is low, you might pay extra toward that loan—because eliminating it will immediately improve your monthly cash flow.

Stocks bonds cash

Manifesto

NO. 62: IF WE’LL SPEND money in the next few years, cash is the only prudent choice—but we shouldn’t hold more than necessary. Why not? After taxes and inflation, we’re likely losing money.

Spotlight: In Retirement

Let’s revisit an important retirement living topic. How’s it going? Great expectations

I hear about this topic on YouTube retirement videos. It has also been a topic on HD from time to time. We all know about the process of preparing financially for retirement, but it seems that for many people facing a retirement lifestyle is equally challenging.
Honestly, I can’t relate. I never thought about what retirement living would be like. I had no expectations. Perhaps taking phased retirement for 18 months was a factor, but even when I decided on doing that it wasn’t with a plan to prepare for retirement,

Read more »

Going It Alone

When Rachel and I got married, I was already in my 60s. After our wedding, my sister said to Rachel, “You take good care of my brother.” My cousin Barb told her husband, Kent, “I don’t know what would have happened to Dennis if he had never met Rachel.”
I got the impression they didn’t think I could take care of myself in retirement — that it would be too difficult to go it alone. I get it.

Read more »

Sector Fund by Stealth

I’VE RECENTLY MADE the most significant change to my own portfolio in thirty five years. For the first time I’ve moved away from pure market-cap investing, tilting meaningfully toward Europe and Southeast Asia and bringing my US technology concentration down to around fifteen percent.
I’m retired. I don’t need to chase the outperformance that concentration might deliver, and I don’t need the potential volatility that comes with it. This is a personal position rather than any kind of recommendation;

Read more »

My Favourite Day: Retirement Payday Wednesday

I like Wednesday now; it’s my favorite day of the week. When I was organizing everything before selling my business and retiring, I was so uptight and stressed about sorting out a cash flow stream for our everyday spending. I decided to pay ourselves weekly, reasoning it would make things easier to track what we spent this way. If you think about it, it’s a silly thing to do. It’s not like it was a surprise to me what we spent;

Read more »

You Have My Admiration: A Brit’s Thoughts on US Pensions

I’ve been working to educate myself on the US pension system, particularly the retirement decumulation landscape. It’s a challenging endeavor, but through diligent research, I’m slowly grasping the essentials. From an outsider’s viewpoint, the complexity that various US administrations have introduced into this system is striking. As a UK citizen, I find several aspects particularly perplexing:
The Sheer Number and Variety of Retirement Accounts: In the UK, it’s largely about defined contribution and defined benefit pensions,

Read more »

Breaking even? Why should anyone care? I don’t

We have discussed many times when to start Social Security and pretty much concluded the decision is personal and need based. I don’t have a problem with any of that, but what bugs me is concern over breaking even considering amount received and years of benefits.
It seems to me the monthly benefit, the income when needed most is all that matters. Since I once again find myself in the minority, I asked a neutral party,

Read more »

Spotlight: Gartland

Make That Choice

I'M NOT THE SMARTEST guy. That used to bother me when I was in school. The smart guys were making their teachers happy. They were named to the National Honor Society. They went to the best colleges. They seemed to have it all. As I got older, and began to make more and more decisions on my own, I had to come up with a method that would allow me to make good decisions, given the limited gray matter I was working with. My strategy: I like to narrow down my choices, identify the key variables, avoid decisions with really bad potential outcomes—and then get on with my life. Remember, every decision comes with risk—the risk of being wrong—and every decision will lead to an outcome, good or bad. The first thing I do is settle on my priorities. What am I trying to achieve? I then think about the options available to me, and try to narrow that list. I believe limiting choice reduces anxiety. If there are fewer choices to consider, it’s also easier to study each choice and make a good decision. Among the choices I’m considering, I think about what’s the worst that could happen if I chose one option over another—and I then avoid the one with the worst possible outcome. What if the choices seem pretty much equal? I don’t worry too much about which one I choose. I once spoke with a guy who was affiliated with my employer. He was trying to decide how to spend his money. He said his options were to buy a new truck or remodel his home. I asked him which would be best for his relationship with his wife. He chose the remodeling project. Identifying the most important variable is the key to making good decisions.…
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Don’t Build Without It

YEARS AGO, I SAW a Looney Tunes cartoon starring Daffy Duck and Elmer Fudd. As always, good old Elmer was trying to kill a duck for dinner, only to be outsmarted by the much cleverer Daffy. In this particular episode, Daffy is playing a game of catch with his duck friends outside Elmer’s house. An overthrown ball crashes through a window. Elmer comes out and says, “Who broke that glass? Someone is going to pay for that.” The ducks all bump into each other in their efforts to run away. Elmer gets outfoxed, of course, but you don’t have to be a patsy like him when it comes to home repairs or remodeling. Imagine you’ve hired a contractor to work on your house. What happens if the contractor breaks a window or, worse still, drops a load of roofing shingles onto your new car? You may have done your due diligence in selecting a contractor by getting a recommendation from your neighbor, obtaining numerous quotes and reviewing the contractor’s Better Business Bureau ratings, so you might assume that your contractor will replace the broken glass or pay for your car’s bodywork. But instead, you may get the runaround. Maybe the contractor is broke. He may keep making promises without undertaking the repairs. He might even abandon your job without warning. To keep from getting fleeced, request a certificate of insurance from the contractor before he steps foot on your property. This one-page document typically tells you if the contractor or his subcontractor has three insurance policies in force: a general liability policy, a worker’s compensation policy and a commercial auto policy. What do these three policies cover? First, the general liability policy will cover any damage the contractor does to your property, such as a broken window or dented car.…
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He Spent, I Saved

I HAVE MY MOTHER to thank for my good savings habits. She opened a savings account in my name when I was a kid. She also made sure I had a Christmas Club savings account every year. I was required to make deposits regularly. I didn’t mow my neighbor’s lawn, have a newspaper route or sell lemonade on my front lawn. Instead, the money I saved came from the allowance my mother paid me. My brother was the opposite. He was an entrepreneur with a newspaper route. But he was a spender, not a saver. When I was age nine, my brother drew a hot rod for his high school art class and got an “A.” In the course of showing off his artwork to my parents’ friends, he announced he was going to build this hot rod for me to ride down the hill in front of our home. In private, he asked me how much money I had in my savings account. After I told him, he said to take it all out to pay for the hot rod’s components. I made the withdrawal. He and I went to the lumberyard, and bought two-by-fours and screws. We spent the afternoon building this incredible riding machine. At the end of the day, my brother announced he had somewhere else to go, but we’d continue another day. We never did. My father ended up breaking the mock-up for firewood. The hot rod project was a harbinger of things to come. As an entrepreneur, my brother was a brilliant problem solver, a gifted prototype builder and an enterprising salesman. The problem was, he was an impatient business owner. He saw dollar signs dancing in his head before they reached his bank account. Instead of producing the products he’d convinced his customers…
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Cat’s in the Cradle

MY WIFE WAS STILL waking up from the general anesthesia. She’d had a Cesarean, or C-section. Meanwhile, I was in the nursery, helping the nurse record my newborn son’s vitals. The Harry Chapin song Cat’s in the Cradle came over the loudspeaker. For readers unfamiliar with the song, it tells the story of a dad who is more interested in his job than his son. Having kids was never my priority. Making money was, so I took this as a sign from above. I looked up and said, “I got it.” Now, I wish I could tell you that, from that moment on, I was Super Dad. I wasn’t horrible, but I also wasn’t a model father. Money was still what was most important to me, much to my wife’s chagrin. According to the Social Security Administration, our son is a DAC, or disabled adult child. To be classified as a DAC, you must have a permanent disability which impedes your ability to function, and the disability must have occurred prior to age 22. A DAC is entitled to a parent’s earnings record for purposes of Social Security. The sum a DAC receives can, however, be reduced if others are receiving benefits based on the earner’s lifetime income, notably the earner’s spouse. Knowing this limitation, I calculated at what age my wife’s own earnings record would result in a higher benefit than her spousal benefit, which would be equal to 50% of my benefit as of my full retirement age. Using that information, we waited until that age for her to begin collecting Social Security, leaving my son as the only family member claiming benefits based on my earnings record. It used to be that IRA beneficiaries—including the original account owner’s children—could draw down an inherited IRA over their lifetime.…
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Overcoming My Fears

I PASSED ON MANY activities when I was younger because I didn’t think I could do them. I simply didn’t have a great deal of self-confidence. It was only after I had some accomplishments to my name that my attitude changed and I became bolder in my efforts. Along the way, a saying I came across helped me overcome my lack of self-confidence. It’s attributed to Henry Ford, the father of the first broadly affordable mass-produced American automobile, the Model T: “Whether you believe you can do a thing or not, you are right.” Look at the logic of this statement. He doesn’t mention your skills, abilities, gender, height or parents’ wealth. Ford considered your attitude—your willingness to try—as the most important contributor to success. Think of phrases we frequently use. “I can’t do that.” “That’s too hard.” “We can’t afford that.” As soon as we say such things, we stop trying, and once we stop trying, success is no longer possible. One way around negative thinking is to be open to possibilities. Instead of “we can’t afford that,” we might turn it around and say, “How can we afford that?” See how our thinking changes from closed-minded thoughts to possibilities? It’s magical. During my time working in training and development, I learned about a tool that also helped me achieve my objectives: a job aid. It provides clear instructions on how to complete a task. A job aid helps me work in an organized, logical manner. A common example of a job aid is a pilot’s checklist. No matter how many times a pilot has flown, he or she must follow the checklist to be sure all the requirements are in place for a safe flight. Many pilots could complete the steps from memory, but they’re required to use…
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Sharing the Excess

ANDREW CARNEGIE emigrated from Scotland as a boy, began working at a young age in a telegraph office, and eventually started Carnegie Steel. When J.P. Morgan bought the company, Carnegie found himself with a lot of time on his hands—and a lot of money. Obviously, he was wealthy, with homes in both the U.S. and Scotland. But it’s what he did with his money that always intrigued me: He gave it away. Instead of building monuments to himself, he started public libraries, universities and music halls to benefit others. Carnegie wasn’t just intelligent. He also had street smarts. According to Dale Carnegie—no relation of Andrew—he was a master of human relations. The combination allowed him to advance in jobs that he held, plus make the necessary connections in business to succeed. I always believe smart people will figure it out, whatever “it” is. Andrew Carnegie was no exception. I’d like to think I am one of those smart guys, but I’m not. My approach is to avoid costly mistakes rather than make brilliant financial moves. In 2024, I’ll turn age 73—the golden age when required minimum distributions (RMDs) must begin. I’ve been blessed, such that I haven’t so far had to withdraw money from my IRA to live on. But with RMDs, withdrawals will indeed begin. I could make the required withdrawal, pay the taxes and invest the balance in my regular taxable account. This would increase my taxable income for 2024, which—in turn—would increase how much I pay in Medicare premiums. Inspired by Andrew Carnegie’s example, I’m thinking of sidestepping taxes on my RMD by making a qualified charitable distribution (QCD). This would involve notifying my IRA provider and asking the firm to cut a check in the name of the charity I want to support. I’d then need…
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