Private Matters
Robin Powell | May 28, 2019
WISH YOU COULD invest in one of those exclusive investment funds that buy private companies? Maybe it’s lucky you can’t. It’s easy to see why institutional investors and wealthy individuals are so keen on private equity. It’s a useful diversifier. It also offers the potential for higher returns than publicly traded companies at a time when, for a variety of reasons, pension plans, university endowments and other bigtime investors are under pressure to improve investment performance. But that old mantra “buyer beware” is just as relevant to private equity as it is to public equity, and arguably even more so. It might seem obvious—but needs stating anyway—that private equity fund managers have a vested interest in selling their products. They naturally want to make their merchandise appear as desirable as possible. There’s considerable temptation to make past performance look better than it is and to disguise the full extent of their fees and charges. The latest concerns about transparency—or the lack thereof—have been voiced by none other than Warren Buffett. “We have seen a number of proposals from private equity funds where the returns are really not calculated in a manner that I would regard as honest,” Buffett told this year’s annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. “If I were running a pension fund, I would be very careful about what was being offered to me.” Buffett was especially critical of the way, when calculating management charges, that firms generally include money that’s sitting in government bonds waiting to be deployed. That same money, however, is often excluded when calculating the so-called internal rate of return, which is the performance measure by which most funds are judged. “It makes their return look better if you sit there a long time in Treasury bills,” Buffett told Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. “It’s not…
Read more » The Good Advisor
Robin Powell | Aug 13, 2020
WHAT ARE PEOPLE paying for when they seek out a financial planner? Where’s the real value? The answers may surprise you. Financial planners typically tout their advice on asset allocation, retirement planning, cash flow analysis, insurance, wealth protection, estate planning and so on. But is that really the benefit they bring to consumers? Consider an entirely different business. When you take your car to get serviced, what are you paying for? Brake repair, transmission diagnosis, tire rotation, oil change? Actually, what most people want is a car that gets them safely, reliably and efficiently from A to B. They want the car serviced in good time, they want a fair estimate of what it will cost, an itemized bill, and a guarantee on parts and repairs. Likewise, the value of a good financial planner—at least in the eyes of most clients—will often differ from the advertised services. To be sure, asset allocation and portfolio advice are important components. But these are just means to desired ends. What people are paying for, in the final analysis, are guidance to help them meet their goals, peace of mind, a sense of security, a feeling that someone has their back and an assurance that they'll be okay whatever the world throws at them. People value having a sense of structure about their financial life and a grasp of the choices available to them. The technical tools that a financial planner employs—knowledge of the tax system, what drives investment returns, the role of diversification, rebalancing techniques—are without doubt critical components in delivering those desired outcomes. But they aren’t what people are paying for. In fact, good financial planners will play a number of pivotal roles for their clients, none of which is found on the typical job description. Here are seven of those roles: Guide. Most people know what they…
Read more » Why We Try
Robin Powell | Jan 20, 2020
BEATING THE STOCK market over the long term is no mean feat. Only a tiny proportion of investors—professional or otherwise—manage to do it. So why do so many people think they can? Meir Statman, a finance professor at Santa Clara University, cites eight key reasons. In a new monograph titled Behavioral Finance: The Second Generation, he slots these reasons into two broad categories—five cognitive and emotional errors, followed by three expressive and emotional benefits: 1. They forget that trading is competitive. Statman suggests the first mistake that investors make is a so-called framing error. Specifically, investors assume that trading is analogous to an activity such as plumbing. A plumber’s work improves the more experienced he or she becomes. But the analogy with investing is flawed because “pipes and fittings do not compete against the plumber, inducing her to choose the wrong fitting,” Statman writes. A trader, on the other hand, “always faces a competing trader on the other side of his trade, sometimes inducing him to choose the wrong trading strategy.” 2. They don’t compare their returns to the market. This is another framing error. Many investors, Statman says, frame their returns relative to zero, rather than relative to the market return—the performance they could have earned by investing in a low-cost index fund. “A 15% annual return is excellent,” he says, “but it is inferior when an index fund delivers 20%.” 3. They don’t properly calculate their returns. Another reason investors mistakenly believe that markets are easy to beat: They tend to form a general impression of their results, instead of properly calculating them. This leads to confirmation errors, whereby they focus on the winners in their portfolio and overlook the losers. A study of amateur investors in the U.S., for instance, found that they overestimated their investment returns…
Read more » Take Courage
Robin Powell | Mar 2, 2020
MY LAST JOB IN mainstream journalism was in 24-hour TV news. When a big story broke, we dropped everything. The viewers, we were told, were only interested in one story. Today that story is COVID-19, better known as the coronavirus. Next week—perhaps even tomorrow—it could be something completely different. Human beings are finely attuned to what we see as immediate threats. It’s how we evolved. But it isn’t always helpful. The reality: The chances of any of us catching the coronavirus, let alone dying as a result, are extremely small. To be sure, we should take precautions and avoid unnecessary risks. But worrying about the coronavirus is a waste of time and energy. What about the impact on our investment portfolios? Stock markets fell heavily last week, and there’s no shortage of market “experts” warning of further “turmoil” to come. But the simple fact is, they just don’t know. Yes, coronavirus could develop into a global pandemic. Or it could blow over in a matter of months. Predicting what impact all this might have on the economy and the financial markets is all but impossible. So what should we do? An important principle in investing is to focus on what we can control and let the rest go. You have no control over the coronavirus or the markets. Unless you’re a professor of epidemiology, don’t kid yourself that you have any unique insight into how the virus might develop. Moreover, from here, markets could go sharply up or down for reasons totally unrelated to COVID-19. All that said, if you’re anxious about the markets—which is an entirely natural reaction—try asking yourself three questions. First, will you need money from your stock portfolio in the next five years? Second, do you feel very uncomfortable with the level of risk you’re taking? Third, has your…
Read more » Yesterday Once More
Robin Powell | Oct 30, 2020
YOU’RE SITTING IN your favorite restaurant, feeling famished. The waiter arrives and reads a long list of mouth-watering specials. Yet the moment he walks away, all you can recall is the last item on the list. Welcome to the recency effect. In psychology, the recency effect refers to the human tendency, when asked to remember a long list of things, to have sharper recall of the final items. No doubt you’ve experienced this at a party. When introduced to 10 people, you only recall the name of the last one or two. The recency effect occurs in finance, too, though the consequences can be more serious than forgetting who the man in the blue shirt was. Quite simply, if you’re making investment decisions based on what happened in the financial markets in the last week or the last day, you risk chasing past winners or perceiving as the greatest risk something that’s already occurred and is already reflected in market prices. We’ve seen that in 2020, with many people turning defensive in March at the peak of the coronavirus crisis, only to see stocks and other riskier assets bounce back sharply in this year’s second quarter. There’s an evolutionary reason for the recency effect. Thanks to our hunter-gatherer ancestors, our brains are programmed to respond to what we perceive as the most immediate threats. At the same time, we are likely to see the best opportunities as those that proved fruitful in the immediate past. During particularly traumatic markets or, alternatively, during rampant bull markets, this effect can be magnified. Our short-term memories dominate our decision-making, prompting us to extrapolate recent returns into the future. [xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"] The consequence: People often buy stocks at or near the top of the market cycle and sell at or near the bottom. In bull markets, this equates to fear of missing out, while…
Read more » Writing Wrongs
Robin Powell | Aug 20, 2019
“JOURNALISM IS printing what someone else does not want printed. Everything else is public relations.” It’s a quote that should be framed on the wall of every newsroom. Of course, every journalist knows this. We call PR—public relations—the dark side. But most of us journalists stray into it far more often than we like to admit. As a reporter, I cut my teeth at a group of regional newspapers in a prosperous part of England in 1989. One day each week, we worked on a weekly real estate guide. I hated it. I knew next to nothing about property or the property market, nor did I have any interest in it. I would arrive at work to find a huge pile of press releases on my desk. My task was to work though the pile and turn it into readable copy by the end of the day. It was hard work—there were several pages to fill—and sometimes whole sections of a press release would end up in the newspaper. I didn’t realize it at the time, but what I was doing wasn’t journalism at all. That real estate guide was effectively a mouthpiece for the property industry—homebuilders, mortgage brokers, mortgage lenders, lawyers and, most of all, real estate agents. It seemed to keep everyone satisfied. The PR people loved it, and so did the advertisers. Our shareholders welcomed the ad revenue; the property guide was probably the most lucrative title the company published. My colleagues and I who wrote this stuff thought we were providing a public service, and at least we got paid at the end of the month. The only people who were left shortchanged were the readers. They probably thought they were reading impartial journalism and assumed that the advice our experts offered was given with their interests at heart. But,…
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Mark Crothers | Jun 4, 2026
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Andrew Clements | Apr 23, 2026
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Jonathan Clements | Jun 5, 2026
Billionaires, taxes and you
R Quinn | May 26, 2026
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D.J. | May 21, 2026
The Quiet Failure of Good Advice
Javier Escobar | May 29, 2026
- I'm on my third advisor. The first two we AUM based and CFPs, and I let them go because they didn't quite meet my needs. For less than a year now, I've been with a flat fee advisor and so far so good. I'm not sure my financial position is any better as a result, but I have learned a bunch as I head toward retirement in the next couple of years.
- I think an important answer here revolves around the emotional feelings that people have about their money. This isn't a pretty picture, but I think it's true for many. Often we are our own worst enemy.
a. Men in particular, at times can behave very self-sufficient, unwilling to get help, and unwilling to admit that they made mistakes or bad decisions. Why would I want to present my most intimate financial details to someone who would belittle what I've done? I'm fine, I don't need any help. b. Trust issues. There are countless stories of those (usually famous people like Billy Joel) who have been used and abused financially. If I give you access to my money why should I believe you'll do the best thing for me and not steal from me?"Country Club Venture Capital
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Money and Me
ArticleAdam M. Grossman | May 30, 2026
JONATHAN CLEMENTS’S final book was released this week. Titled Money and Me, it traces the arc of Jonathan’s nearly four-decade career as a personal finance columnist.
Money and Me starts with the story of a man named George Cope, who was a nineteenth century tobacco baron. At the time of his death in 1888, Cope was one of Britain’s richest men. But within just two generations, his fortune was gone. Why? Cope’s daughter was the sole heir to her father’s fortune, but she lived what Jonathan described as a Downton Abbey lifestyle, on an estate in the Cotswolds with five homes and eight children. Before long, the fortune was gone.
This story was of interest to Jonathan because George Cope was his great-great-grandfather. He called it the “big family story” and explains that this hard financial lesson was imprinted on everyone in his family from a young age.
In part because of this family story, Jonathan got interested in personal finance, and, among his peers, was early in focusing on the psychology of money. “I like to think I’m rational in the way I spend my dollars, and I suspect most readers do, too. We are, of course, deluding ourselves,” he wrote.
Early in his career, Jonathan covered mutual funds for Forbes, then The Wall Street Journal. Each week, he'd review a different fund and interview the fund’s manager. From that vantage point, he was early in recognizing a reality about Wall Street: that they’re great marketers but not such great investment managers. After reviewing scores of actively-managed funds, Jonathan came to the conclusion that index funds were a better way to go for most investors.
Since the investing question was “solved,” as he put it, by index funds, Jonathan turned his attention to other domains in personal finance. The relationship between money and happiness was of particular interest. Though he acknowledged that each of us has a happiness “set point” that is largely fixed, he pointed out that our happiness level isn’t entirely fixed. There’s plenty we can do to move the needle.
A chapter titled “15 Ways to Happy” includes a number of practical suggestions. Among them: Jonathan always recommended making plans—especially vacation plans—far in advance. Why? “Often, the best part of a purchase or experience is the anticipation,” he explained.And since it doesn’t cost more to book early—indeed, it often costs less—that was his recommendation.
Jonathan leaned heavily on academic research and helped translate its findings for everyday investors. In Money and Me, he explains concepts from psychology including the hedonic treadmill, eudaimonic happiness and many others. Jonathan acknowledged that there’s no magic wand for achieving happiness. On the other hand, he explains why a million-dollar salary isn’t a necessary ingredient for financial contentment.
Jonathan also wrote a lot about spending. On the one hand, owing to his family’s experience, he developed frugal habits early in life, and he was grateful that those habits led to financial independence by age 50. On the other hand, he knew that frugality could be taken too far. In a chapter titled “Don’t Overdo It,” Jonathan offers a menu of ideas to help others who might similarly struggleto loosen the purse strings.
Jonathan had two children and thought a lot about how best to convey money values to them. He knew the risk in helping too much. “Money doesn’t necessarily kill all ambition. But it seems to put a big dent in financial ambition,” he wrote. For that reason, Jonathan mostly emphasized education rather than direct financial assistance.
He describes, however, one important way in which his own parents helped him: They always made it clear that they were there for him as a backstop. Though he might have never needed it, simply knowing this support was in the background gave Jonathan the confidence to always invest heavily in the stock market. He describes maintaining an allocation to stocks that was regularly above 80% or even 90%. That kind of aggressive investing ran contrary to the textbook. But recognizing the benefit it had provided during strong markets over the years, Jonathan offered a similar backstop to his own children, thus allowing them to take risks that they might not have otherwise.
In choosing a heavy allocation to stocks, Jonathan explains some of the other factors that went into his thinking. For starters, he points to the role of financial forecasters. They’re often wrong, but that doesn’t stop them from waking up the next day with something new to say. As a result, during both stock market rallies and routs, prognosticators can be found on TV telling stories that often cause investors to overreact. In the chapter “Not Scared of Bears,” Jonathan walks through the math that should give investors the courage to ignore forecasters, to keep their feet on the ground and to stay fully invested regardless of what bad news happens to be in the headlines.
Jonathan was willing to pile on even more risk in his portfolio when markets declined. He acknowledged that this opened him up to the accusation of being a market timer—“pretty much the nastiest insult you can hurl”—but he explains a subtle difference between his approach and true market timing, then offers a helpful strategy for profiting from downturns.
Jonathan Clements was one of a kind. Like all of his readers, I miss his kindness, wit and good cheer. For decades, he helped readers navigate the potholed road known as Wall Street. With his final work, Jonathan leaves us with a timeless guide to thinking about money in uniquely sensible ways.
Shopping carts again…but not what you think
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Peter Cancro from age 14 to 69 covered in oil and vinegar
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