Risky Option
Sanjib Saha | Jan 7, 2020
AS A KID, MY MOST revered manmade invention was not a train or a record player, but rather the Swiss Army pocketknife. When I saw it for the first time at a friend’s home, I was fascinated that it could cut paper, open bottles, file nails and more. I marveled at the engineering beauty and wished I had one of my own. Years later, I was in Switzerland for a short business trip and had some free time for souvenir shopping. I saw a Wenger Swiss Army knife and fondly remembered my childhood wish. Without a second thought, I bought one that had a dozen or so attachments. After returning home, I was eager to show off my new toy to my wife and daughter. I used it wherever I could. My daughter was amused to discover the child in her dad. My wife teased me about my sudden interest in kitchen chores. Sadly, a minor mishap soon ended my excitement. My wife was trying to open a jar that was stubbornly jammed. I offered to help and took out my pocketknife to showcase its versatility. The first few attempts failed, and yet I didn’t want to give up on my favorite tool. I opened more blades and applied pressure. The knife slipped and I badly cut my hand. I recalled this incident a few years ago, when I was learning about financial derivatives, and specifically stock and index options. I was intrigued by Warren Buffett’s view of derivatives as “financial weapons of mass destruction.” I researched online, attended webinars and even studied a 1,000-page book. It struck me that options were the Swiss Army knife of investment tools. They’re elegant, versatile and nifty, but also deceptively dangerous even for experienced investors. Their elegance lies in the simplicity of the basic…
Read more » Final Chapter
Sanjib Saha | Jan 8, 2024
SIX YEARS AGO, I MADE a big life decision: I opted to scale back my work week with an eye to easing into early retirement. I stayed in the same role, but reduced my hours and responsibilities, took a proportional pay cut, and bid farewell to potential future promotions. Essentially, my human capital shifted from a growth investment to an immediate-fixed annuity for the remainder of my part-time employment. The change turned out to be far more fulfilling than I’d anticipated. With a four-day weekend every week of the year, I found ample time to unwind from work and indulge in my passions. Even with fewer hours, I consistently met the reduced job expectations and felt valued for my contributions. The ongoing paycheck, though smaller, spared me from dipping into my nest egg, enabling it to grow and add to my financial cushion. Most important, I remained connected with my teammates and enjoyed the social interaction. Still, my new setup had one major drawback. While I managed to take occasional short vacations, my family circumstances demanded longer spells away from work. My aging mother lives alone in India and is reluctant to travel abroad. To spend more time with her, I needed to visit her often and stay for prolonged periods. To be clear, my mother doesn’t require me to live with her and look after her. Throughout her life, she’s been self-sufficient, and my brother and his family live just a few miles away, offering their support as needed. Instead, it’s my desire to spend time with her and do things together, while she’s in good health. My aspirations required the flexibility to take longer, unplanned leaves a few times a year. Sadly, this isn’t feasible in my current role as an engineering manager overseeing a growing software product.…
Read more » My Preference
Sanjib Saha | Jun 16, 2022
I WAS PLEASANTLY surprised recently when a lump-sum dividend payment showed up in my brokerage account. It was from a preferred stock I bought a few years ago to boost my investment income. The windfall reminded me of the three criteria I’d used to screen preferred shares: Taxation. Unlike bond payments, which are taxed as ordinary income, the income payments from most—but not all—preferred stocks enjoy the favorable tax treatment given to qualified dividends. Since my investments were in a taxable brokerage account, I avoided preferred stocks that didn’t offer this favorable tax treatment. Callable. Preferred stocks typically don’t have a set maturity date, but many of them are callable at the issuer’s discretion. I decided not to pay more than face value for a preferred stock if the call date had already passed or was approaching soon. A few of my preferred stocks have been called away over the years. But since I bought them at a discount, the extra buffer—the difference between the face value and my purchase price—was a consolation. Cumulative. If a bond misses a coupon payment, the creditors can go after the company. Not so with preferred shares. The board of directors can suspend all dividend payments indefinitely to preserve capital. When things look up, and the company can afford dividend payments again, it must resume the preferred stock dividend before that of the common stock. But what about the missed payments in the intervening period? This is where the cumulative feature comes into play. All unpaid dividends of a cumulative preferred stock must be paid before resuming common stock dividends. I opted to exclude noncumulative preferred stocks from my holdings. My surprise lump-sum payment was from the cumulative preferred shares of Pacific Gas and Electric, the San Francisco-based utility. The company got into legal…
Read more » Honeymoon At Last
Sanjib Saha | Jun 13, 2024
I'VE BEEN MARRIED TWICE, yet neither time could I take my newlywed wife on a proper honeymoon, let alone a lavish one. Hearing the honeymoon stories of others always left me feeling wistful, tinged with a hint of envy. My first marriage was a bit rushed. My first wife—now my ex—and I wanted a no-frills civil marriage followed by a simple reception. But my parents insisted on a traditional Bengali wedding with its array of rituals, many of which seemed meaningless to me. The clash between my youthful arrogance and my parents’ orthodox stance blew this seemingly minor disagreement out of proportion, and it didn’t end well. Long story short, I left amid a heated argument and decided to do things my way. My fiancée and I exchanged vows in the office of a marriage registrar in Kolkata. A few close friends attended the modest celebration that followed, but none of my family. Disappointed and disheartened by how things unfolded, we weren’t in the mood for a honeymoon. Thankfully, sanity prevailed after a few months. Faced with the consequences of our stubbornness and momentary lapse of reason, both my parents and I hurried to reconcile and mend the emotional wounds. It took some time to move past the bitter experience. By the time the dust settled, it was too late for a honeymoon. My second wedding wasn’t entirely devoid of tension, albeit for a different reason. Divorce and remarriage are still uncommon and frowned upon in our culture and family. For undertaking such a step, both Bonny—my soon-to-be second wife and a single mother—and I were pioneers in our respective families. As the wedding day neared, we felt the apprehension of “what would people say” hovering over our parents and elders. The wedding turned out to be less dramatic than…
Read more » The Art of Spending
Sanjib Saha | Apr 17, 2021
I GREW UP IN a middle-class family in Kolkata, India. Like most folks, my relationship with money was shaped by my parents’ financial habits. They were on different sides of the saver-spender continuum. My homemaking mother strove to live beneath our family’s means and never seemed to feel deprived. By contrast, my father—even with a modest salary from his government job—was focused on the art of spending. At my mother’s insistence, my father bought most of our household supplies from wholesalers and cooperative stores, instead of the pricier local bazaar. Branded condiments and drink concentrates were missing from our grocery list, because my mother considered them overpriced. Instead, she joined a community food-processing center to learn how to make tomato ketchup, rose syrup and the like. She used to make enough for our family, as well as neighbors and relatives. My childhood friends still reminisce about the homemade mango-flavored drinks that she served them on hot summer days. Meanwhile, my father had no problem paying up for convenience and life-enhancing extras. He wasn’t extravagant, but he wouldn’t be deterred by the price tag if he felt an item was worthwhile. Years before television became mainstream, he bought a black-and-white set for our home. A few years later, a basic refrigerator appeared in our kitchen to give my mother a break from daily cooking. To manage these expensive purchases, he’d set a financial goal and then save regularly toward the cost. When I first started working, I continued to live with my parents and—similar to my father—made a few big purchases. I installed an inverter power generator to combat the frequent electricity cuts at that time. I learned to drive and bought a used car—our family’s first ever vehicle—for occasional commutes when public transport was inconvenient. Each purchase emptied my accumulated savings…
Read more » Diminished Value
Sanjib Saha | Sep 18, 2021
A CRUCIAL STEP WHEN buying a preowned car is to scrutinize its Carfax report. A single-owner car with a regular maintenance history and which was driven solely for personal use should be a safe bet, while an accident record gives most people pause. All things being equal, a car that was in an accident, however minor, ought to cost less than a similar one with a clean history. Some bargain hunters don’t mind taking a chance on a car with an accident history as long as it drives well. After all, the discount can be quite attractive. This might seem unfair for a seller who wasn’t at fault for the accident. Even if the car was repaired to perfection and the tab was picked by the other party’s insurance, how does the owner recover the value lost? A recent accident forced us to find out the answer. We flew across the country to spend the Labor Day week with my brother-in-law. While driving us around in his almost-new car, he was rear-ended by a pickup truck. Thankfully, no one was hurt, and the car was still drivable. The pickup’s apologetic driver accepted fault and assured us that his insurance would cover all repairs. Still, we worried about the car’s market value. It turns out that my brother-in-law can recoup some of the loss through a diminished value claim. First, he needs to get a fair estimate of the loss of market value due to the accident. This might involve researching prices of similar used cars with and without an accident history, or even getting a free estimate. Next, he must contact the other driver’s insurance company and specifically request diminished value compensation. This amount would be on top of the repair and rental costs. The claim should be made in a…
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William Ehart | Jan 26, 2021
MY OLD INVESTING self was like the guy in the meme who twists around to ogle a woman in a red dress, while his girlfriend looks ready to break his neck.
Just as jumping from one relationship to another introduces new risks, the same holds true for jumping in and out of different investments. For me—and for most people, I’d wager—investing in individual stocks and narrowly focused funds involves a certain amount of trading, and we know such trading is an exercise in futility. Even the vast majority of professional fund managers can’t consistently beat the market averages. If your reaction to that is, “Yeah, but maybe I can, I’ve got a good handle on the way the world works,” you may need professional help with your portfolio.
Despite ample evidence that most investors trail the market averages, we all tend to “feel lucky,” like the ill-fated villain staring down Clint Eastwood in Dirty Harry. Why? A key reason: Stock market averages get a big boost each year from a minority of stocks that post big gains, and those huge winners make beating the market look easy. So how about buying those big winners? Unfortunately, yesterday’s winners aren’t necessarily tomorrow’s top dogs.
In fact, past performance has no predictive power. It may seem obvious today that we should have bought Facebook, Apple, Netflix, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla and Google’s parent company Alphabet. But these “obvious” winners only seem that way in hindsight.
On top of our unjustified confidence in our own stock-picking abilities, we have a host of other behavioral faults, including impatience, a desire for quick gratification and the feeling that the grass is always greener somewhere else. Result? In our efforts to beat the market, we flit back and forth among different investments, as our latest stock picks lose their luster.
After taking fliers over the years on gold and energy funds, biotech and telecom stocks, and emerging markets specialty funds that focus on consumer companies, I’ve learned three key lessons:
I came by these lessons the hard way. I would make a new investment and be excited, thinking I’d made a good bet. I’d anticipate my potential gains and the validation that I’d outsmarted the market. I would tell myself I understood the potential downside, but really, I was practically counting my winnings.
But the thrill would soon fade, along with my original investment rationale. Perhaps the idea had come from some legendary portfolio manager or from something I read. But when my new holdings struggled, I lacked a frame of reference by which to decide whether to sell or hold.
A star manager might have said a drug company’s clinical trials were going well or that certain companies were going to gain market share. But then these things didn’t happen, and the stocks underperformed. Was this bad news now fully priced in? It’s nobody’s job on Wall Street to answer that, least of all the managers who touted the investments in the first place, and they probably wouldn’t know anyway.
Another example: About six years ago, I read a series of articles that convinced me that the next big trend was emerging markets consumer spending growth. That prompted me to buy some high-cost niche exchange-traded funds. But the two funds I bought consistently underperformed. One has continued to do so since I sold, while the other folded last May. Again, no one can tell you when or if such performance will turn around. Wall Street gets paid to sell you high-expense funds and keep you in them. Those high fees pay for a lot of research, writing and marketing, which in turn filters its way into the financial press, which then encourages you to buy.
There are two sources of investment risk: systematic risk, which is the danger that the broad market will fall, and unsystematic risk, which is the danger that your particular investments will lag behind the market.
Investors in individual stocks and sector funds face both risks. By contrast, owners of broad stock market index funds face only systematic risk. Indexing lacks the allure of sexy strangers and the prospect of quick investment scores, but the strategy’s risks are also far lower.
Success in broad market-cap-weighted index funds hinges on fewer variables. You just need aggregate share prices—driven ultimately by corporate profit and dividend growth—to rise at well above the rate of inflation, as they have for more than a century in the global stock market, despite two world wars, hyperinflation, stagflation, market crashes, panics and depressions. In other words, with broad stock market index funds, you’re making just one bet—and it’s a pretty good one for globally diversified investors with long time horizons.
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