I’ve been investing since the early 1980s. I have a business degree and took investing classes. A close friend of my parents wrote the first investing book I read at age 10, called Stock Market ABC by Joanne K. Friedlander and Jean Neal, published in 1969 and given to me on my 10th birthday in April of that year. This started my interest in investing. I also have a background in technology, going back to 1982. I started a technology consulting practice 15 years ago and continue to be a successful player in the field. This combination of background and interests was the genesis of my interest in Bitcoin. I was searching for a way to mitigate risk in my portfolio. Bitcoin’s design makes it an interesting investment option for those seeking a hedge against currency debasement and the irresponsible fiscal governance most countries suffer. With a relatively small investment in Bitcoin, you can add alpha to your portfolio safely and innovatively. If you want to know more about it, please ask questions here, and I’ll respond with advice on books, websites, and podcasts you can consume to increase your understanding and appreciation of this new asset.
In the spring of this year I hired a young fellow named Matt to paint the walls of my basement in preparation for selling the house. He is a Bitcoin evangelist and would not stop pitching it as the road to astonishing riches. I took a look and discovered that the price of Bitcoins had dipped and it looked like an entry point so I bought $5,000 worth of the Fidelity Bitcoin ETF. A few weeks later, it had gone up around 20%, so I sold out and made around $1,000. So, you could say that based on the astronomical rate of return I earned it was the best “investment” I ever made. You could also say it is not an investment at all and I could have just as easily lost $1,000 or my entire $5,000. Even though I made a little money I decided Bitcoin is not for me.
I think of Bitcoin as a multilayer bet. The first punt being made is that the price will keep inflating over the long term. The second punt is you’ll find a counterparty in Bitcoin’s speculative inflated future. But underneath those bets is a deeper one: what if the current financial system has fundamental problems? What if governments debase currencies, banks freeze accounts, or payment processors become gatekeepers?
Bitcoin is an outside bet that a decentralized alternative has value and a hail Mary around future valuations- basically insurance against the existing system failing or overreaching and a FOMO soother…Whether that bet pays off is anyone’s guess. Although I’ve taken a bet, it’s with play money only. I think of it as buying an exotic call option, any other framing seems illogical to my mind.
I’m a tech guy. So here’s my $.02 opinion
Change my mind.
Some thoughts to add to the conversation: