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Patrick Brennan

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    • I've been wondering this week if the Space X IPO along with those coming from Anthropic and OpenAI will mark the peak of a manic market cycle sort of like the AOL/Time merger in Jan, 2000. Underlying all this is the passive bid which keeps powering the market higher, higher earnings revisions, etc., so it's impossible to call the top. That said, I don't want to be exit liquidity for all the VCs that bought into Space X. My hunch is that Space X will see a pop after the open and then a decline down to a more reasonable valuation as those who can sell will. That's my 3 cents, which is up from 2 cents due to inflation. 😊

      Post: SpaceX IPO: Is Margin Optional?

      Link to comment from June 6, 2026

    • I've come to the conclusion that we U. S. citizens simply do not like to pay taxes. Remember the Whiskey Rebellion? And here we are today, 250 years as a nation, unable to collect the taxes we need to fund our spending.

      Post: Billionaires, taxes and you

      Link to comment from May 30, 2026

    • Thanks Mark. The first big step towards saving for retirement is to find employment whereby one can earn enough to spend less than they make. Then, they need to compound as much money as possible, for as long as possible, at the highest rate possible. Easy, right? Well, I'm 65 years of age and it was, I believe, much easier when I was adulting to reach the objectives above than for my 4 adult children today. From 1982 to 2022, for the most part, interest rates went down, asset prices went up, and those of us able to buy assets profited greatly. Unfortunately, I don't think the future will be anything like the past for many reasons, and I also don't believe Social Security will be able to provide nearly as much support as retirees receive now. Thus, the rising generations may need to save even more to have a decent retirement.

      Post: Don’t Kick The Can Down The Road

      Link to comment from May 30, 2026

    • I was never good at mechanical things, fixing things, etc. This provided a great deal of frustration over the years as I lacked the confidence to take on many tasks. Then came Youtube. By watching videos and saying to myself, "I can do that", I've been able to complete the following tasks on my own engendering much positive surprise in my spouse. Removed and installed new dishwasher Installed new garbage disposal Replaced dryer heating element (at least three times until I unclogged vent duct) Replaced leaking water flow control valve on refrigerator Replaced side mirror on 2003 Yukon XL Replaced seat movement controller on Yukon XL Replaced toilets Yes, Youtube is really quite helpful. And one more thing. As I get older, I stay off ladders. If it requires a ladder, I get help.

      Post: The Rent is Too Damn High!

      Link to comment from May 16, 2026

    • Nice article DJ. What sticks out to me from your article was the fact that a decent job for a young man or woman, in those days, provided enough income to pay for college. My older sister and brother, from about 1974-1981, were able to fund college by working as a life guard and lumber mill worker (respectively) and fund their college expenses. My brother's union mill job, which he only worked in the summer, paid all his college tuition and living expenses for the whole year including his fun money. When my kids were getting ready for college, good ACT scores could garner much more in scholarship funds than they could ever earn working. I wish it were like the old days because, in many ways, it was more fair.

      Post: First Job, Lasting Impact

      Link to comment from May 16, 2026

    • I buy the Kirkland Signature House Blend, 2.5 lb bag for about $18. It's essentially Starbucks coffee but for a fraction of the price. They did away with the store grinders so I grind it myself and it's excellent coffee for the price. I enjoy it every morning I'm home. On road trips, I'll take a 5 cup coffee maker with me and brew my own.

      Post: Dickie and his magic beans

      Link to comment from May 10, 2026

    • Ed, great article. Thank you. Don't forget to stop and smell the roses when you can. Interestingly, I heard Michael Green of Simplify Asset Management, say on a podcast this week that many boomers are hoarding their stock portfolios afraid to draw down at 4%. Because they are living longer they are now, in many cases, only withdrawing 2 or 3%. Sounds like you have a great plan and will be fine. But just to warn you, by owning the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund you'll also own a little of Adam Grossman's Gamestop. 😅. Have a great weekend.

      Post: Slow on the Draw

      Link to comment from May 9, 2026

    • Great article today Adam, thank you. CNBC has a great deal of time to fill every day. For me, it's nothing but noise from talking heads. I only tune in now if there is something really, really big going on. There is no real signal there, even if I had a great antenna. I've read all of Nassim Taleb's books backwards and forwards and he emphasizes, regarding people and their opinions, that he only listens to the opinions of people who have skin in the game. I find that to be pretty good advice.

      Post: Wall Street Trap

      Link to comment from May 2, 2026

    • Amen brother. The Social Security decision would be an easy one if we know how long we'll live, how our needs might change later in life, etc. but we don't. After many years of my adulthood involving delayed gratification, I'm now trying to get into a mindset of freeing up a little spending. Best wishes to you on your decision.

      Post: Rethinking the “Right” Time for Social Security

      Link to comment from April 25, 2026

    • A good night's sleep is everything. Back in 1994, I sold equities to get ready to buy my first house later in the year. I put the money in a short term bond fund. My plans were to enough cash for a down payment, a new minivan for my growing family, and cash to furnish the house. Then Alan Greenspan rubbed his belly and jacked interest rates up. A lot. I lost about $750 in that ST bond fund teaching me a very real lesson; even a short term bond fund has real risk and a money market may be a much better option for short term holdings.

      Post: Staying Rational

      Link to comment from April 18, 2026

    Articles

    Searching for When

    Patrick Brennan   |  Dec 4, 2023

    DURING MY FINAL NINE years with the Coast Guard, I was involved in decisions regarding search-and-rescue operations. We were almost always working with imperfect information. For three of those nine years, I was responsible for all missions in one section of the Great Lakes and, in my last year, I made the final decision on when to suspend search-and-rescue operations in an even larger area.
    To lower risk, we often assumed the worst, and threw copious operational resources at the situation.

    Why We Get Fooled

    Patrick Brennan   |  Feb 8, 2023

    IN JANUARY 1987, I was an unmarried junior Coast Guard officer just beginning the flight stage of U.S. Navy flying training. I decided to see a financial advisor who’d been recommended by friends.
    This wasn’t just any advisor, but rather a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel and fighter pilot. He worked for a firm whose advisors were comprised mostly of retired military officers, and they marketed their services primarily to military officers. If there was anyone I could trust,

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