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David Powell

David retired in December 2022 after decades of leading teams and building software for products you love (and a few you didn’t) at Apple, Microsoft, and Silicon Graphics. He loves hiking and cycling in the Pacific Northwest where he and his family have lived since 2001.

    Forum Posts

    Winning the Debt Game by David Powell

    21 replies

    AUTHOR: David Powell on 4/20/2025
    FIRST: DAN SMITH on 4/20   |   RECENT: Scott Dichter on 4/27

    Hope is Not a Plan

    37 replies

    AUTHOR: David Powell on 3/9/2025
    FIRST: Nick Politakis on 3/9   |   RECENT: David Powell on 3/17

    Wi-Fi 7: Hit Snooze by David Powell

    9 replies

    AUTHOR: David Powell on 12/1/2024
    FIRST: Rick Connor on 12/1/2024   |   RECENT: David Powell on 12/4/2024

    Comments

    • Love this, reminds me of the first year after my own sudden retirement and how weird it felt at times. I miss your editing so much, but it’s a fair trade to hear about your greater time with family and trips you’ve enjoyed.

      Post: Tasting Retirement

      Link to comment from April 25, 2025

    • Stay tuned: Mr. Clements says the new book will be out in paper in a few weeks.

      Post: Winning the Debt Game by David Powell

      Link to comment from April 22, 2025

    • You can save offline maps in Google maps for areas without cell service.

      Post: Car talk- Quinn likes friendliness

      Link to comment from April 21, 2025

    • We set up my mum with something like this, it works well where she lives. But here for us the terrain and trees seem to create too much interference.

      Post: Crossing the Stream

      Link to comment from April 13, 2025

    • This year, my wife gave me the best anniversary card ever. Its cover has a 1950s Chevy with a Still Married sign and streamers on the back. The message inside: A marriage with a little mileage is something to celebrate! We're both looking forward to many more miles to come. Congratulations on your anniversary, Marjorie!

      Post: A Diamond Wedding Anniversary

      Link to comment from April 12, 2025

    • In a word, no. But bigger shifts in U.S. bond prices/yields could be ahead. As we go through this, remember Adam Grossman's wise words: It's best to steer your investments towards the middle of the road, avoiding extremes. For me that means no rash steps like dumping all bonds to cash. But it also means driving the bond part of the portfolio with eyes open and on the road. Investors should be paid a reasonable risk premium for each piece in the bond part of their portfolio too, just as they expect a risk premium for the stock part. When that risk premium vanishes, it's time to review your bond allocation. Do you need to change the average duration of the bonds or funds you hold because the duration premium is gone? Should you be boosting the inflation indexed part and trimming the nominal part because inflation rates are rising? Bonds have default risk, duration risk, and income risk; nominal bonds also have inflation risk. If there's no premium for taking on those risks with a particular bond or bond fund, then you can expect a loss when one of those risks appears if you bought at a price with too little margin for surprises.

      Post: The bond market

      Link to comment from April 12, 2025

    • Ours is big enough to:

      1. Motivate our insurance company's law department to apply effective resources for our mutual defense in the unlikely event of a claim
      2. Protect a large enough chunk of assets that some very unlucky incident doesn't ruin our retirement lifestyle or our ability to help family when need arises.
      We do everything we can to avoid ever filing an umbrella policy claim. I hope the policy remains pure profit for our insurer by the time the last of us goes.

      Post: How Big is Your Umbrella?

      Link to comment from April 11, 2025

    • I get the relationship between price and yield and mark bonds held to market regularly. In November 2023, I preferred a seven-year T-note yielding 4.875% for the next seven years to VGIT/VSIGX yielding ~3.3%. I knew the fund would eventually catch up.

      Post: Seeking Certainty

      Link to comment from March 29, 2025

    • My first job at 16 involved stocking shelves and cutting, weighing, and bagging huge blocks or wheels of cheese for a hippie grocery store which is still thriving in Maryland. On your feet all day. After that I pumped gas (during an oil crisis with lines and fights), then bussed tables in a Mexican restaurant and worked a hotel front desk. So I have a measure of appreciation for work like your brief experiment with retail on-your-feet-all-shift, dealing with customers. It takes a toll. In college I became fascinated with computers and fell in love with writing software. Over time that turned into building and leading engineering teams who built products and services for millions or billions of people. Unless you’ve experienced that, you can’t imagine the pace, intensity, hours, and stress. I loved it. But it too takes a toll, of a different sort. The only way I would now sacrifice my precious time to again spend time for money would be in my own business and doing something I find deeply meaningful. Three years into retirement, which started a bit earlier than planned, I really enjoy life without work.

      Post: Going Back to Work (Briefly)

      Link to comment from March 29, 2025

    • Buying and holding individual Treasurys in a Vanguard account is not much harder than holding a bond fund like VGIT or VTIP. And for the past two years it has done so with higher yield and lower costs than the fund counterparts, each with billions of dollars of inertia in their portfolio. That’s true for nominal and inflation-indexed bonds, bought at auction or secondary market. When yields rise sharply it takes years to buy that higher yield from a fund. If you’re living through the valley of Social Security deferral, that better yield is useful. People who disagree in personal finance are often playing different games, and concerned about different time horizons.

      Post: Seeking Certainty

      Link to comment from March 29, 2025

    Articles

    Rookie Year

    David Powell   |  Feb 7, 2024

    FANS OF PROFESSIONAL sports know the excitement and agony of watching each year’s fresh crop of rookies. These young players have to relearn a game they thought they knew.
    The fact is, the strategies, tactics, intensity and winning habits of big league sports teams are tougher than those of college and minor league teams. That can leave rookies wondering what hit them when they move up to the big leagues.
    That’s how I felt in December 2022,

    For Safety’s Sake

    David Powell   |  Jun 24, 2023

    ON JUNE 15, THE NEWS was broken by The Oregonian of a massive hack at Oregon’s Department of Motor Vehicles, apparently leading to the theft of sensitive details about most of Oregon’s 3.5 million holders of a driver’s license or ID card. Incidents like this, along with the huge 2017 Equifax hack, give criminals cheap and easy access to key personal information that many organizations routinely use to verify our identities and screen our credit applications.

    Kicking the Habit

    David Powell   |  May 17, 2023

    REDUCTION IN FORCE. Layoff. Redundancy. For months now, the media have been running articles about technology companies shedding workers.
    In October, the headlines became personal: My manager eliminated my position. It was the first layoff in my 37-year career and an early 60th birthday surprise. My last day would be in mid-December. After another year of positive performance reviews and accompanying financial rewards, the news was a shocker.
    After that fateful call with my boss,

    On Guard Online

    David Powell   |  Feb 27, 2022

    IN AN ARTICLE last year, I wrote about the importance of strong online account security wherever you keep your savings and investments. I shared habits that should help you avoid the potentially huge financial losses caused by a cybercrime. I also urged readers to weigh a company’s commitment to security when choosing a home for their money.
    I’d like to give kudos to Bank of America for providing a good example of this commitment.

    Phoning It In

    David Powell   |  Nov 14, 2021

    THOSE PAPER COVID-19 vaccination cards weren’t designed for heavy use. Yet many jurisdictions require proof of vaccination to enter a restaurant, theater, museum or sports event. How do we avoid wearing out the card when we’re constantly pulling it out of our purse, pocket or wallet? Simple. Provide digital proof of your vaccine status.
    There are some state-specific mobile apps that do this, like New York’s Excelsior Pass, as well as proprietary apps like Clear and Azova.

    Reversion Can Be Mean

    David Powell   |  Aug 13, 2021

    MONEY MANAGER GMO recently noted that, “There are no bad assets just bad prices.” The occasion was the S&P 500’s price outrunning earnings by 70% over the seven years through March. GMO’s punchline: The same thing happened in the seven years that ended with the dot-com peak in March 2000. This, of course, did not end well.
    Two decades ago, I remember a friend telling me of steep losses in his retirement savings, the result of moving his entire 401(k) into aggressive,

    Losing It All

    David Powell   |  Jul 5, 2021

    OVER A PRODUCTIVE 30-year career that ended in 1950, Willie Sutton robbed as many as 100 banks for gains worth $40 million today—without ever firing a shot. That sort of bank robbery is rare now and, when it happens, customers don’t lose a dime, thanks to FDIC insurance.
    Today, Sutton—the Babe Ruth of robbers—wouldn’t waste time knocking over banks. Trillions of dollars held in millions of internet-accessible retirement and brokerage accounts are much softer and more lucrative targets.

    Staying Wealthy

    David Powell   |  May 24, 2021

    A CLOSE FRIEND’S LONG career in the motion picture business recently came to an end when the studio eliminated her job. Even before the pandemic, the industry was changing, so she wasn’t surprised or, for that matter, especially sad about getting laid off. She was lucky to receive a good severance package and is now ready to do something different. But finding the right job will likely take time, so carefully managing her cash through the transition period is crucial.

    Crossing the Stream

    David Powell   |  Feb 15, 2021

    IT BEGAN AS A TRICKLE. Now, it’s a flood—and my family’s been swept up in it. For the past decade, we’ve streamed on-demand movies and Netflix shows, but we also continued to pay far too much for live TV using either cable or satellite services. No longer.
    As Jannette Collins noted in a recent article, there are now numerous internet streaming services, including some free options. Our family has used some of these, but we still kept costly TV service for live broadcasts of news,

    Toys for Techies

    David Powell   |  Dec 14, 2020

    IF YOU’RE ONE OF THE lucky ones in this COVID-19 economy, with a job and the wherewithal to buy holiday gifts for friends or family, here are five eclectic tech gift ideas for budgets small, large and XXL:
    1. Ergonomic Desk. The pandemic has many of us working from home. After a couple months of this, my back, neck and forearms cried out for the ergonomic desk I had at the office.

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