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Need a vacation from our turbulent market? Go first-class with Vanguard’s Total International Stock Index Fund. Why do I need foreign stocks? After all, they’ve drastically underperformed the S&P in the last few years—and let’s face it folks—the world is in turmoil.
The whole idea of plunking some money down on foreign stocks gives many investors the heebie-jeebies. You’re not a victim of home country bias, you’re just being prudent, right? Aren’t almost all foreign economies—especially government-heavy and bureaucratic Europe—weaker than ours and so grow more slowly? And what about political upheaval? Those are valid concerns, but in fact over time and across many different periods of international unrest, foreign stocks have fared almost as well as our own.
So what would I gain? Two big advantages. You’ll have less bouncing around in your portfolio. Although international and domestic stocks are highly correlated, sometimes our market zigs when the rest of the world’s markets zag.
You also benefit from increased diversification. Don’t be a wise guy. I know many highly regarded investment advisory services maintain you can achieve the same desired result by simply investing in large-cap U.S. stocks that derive substantial revenue from overseas operations. I protest that’s just not so. For one thing, exporters’ products may not be affected by local developments in quite the same way as their international counterparts. Another twist is that small companies don’t conduct as much business on foreign soil as large ones, so the stay-at-home investor steeped in small caps does not partake in as much of the benefits (and risks) of a global reach.
But if I deploy new cash or shift some money from U.S. funds into international ones, aren’t I just trading? Not necessarily, though I know many readers will disagree here. I’d call it repositioning for the long-term. Several reputable market observers advocate as much as a 40% allocation to foreign companies. To be sure, Vanguard’s popular Total World Stock Index Fund (VTWAX) holds a 40% international weighting, which accurately reflects the current relative value of U.S. and foreign markets. That level may be too high for you, but maybe you’d feel comfortable with a 20% allotment to the Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund (VTIAX)
Let’s say you’re curious. How to proceed. Take a look at VTIAX. Besides the trademark low Vanguard fee, it gives you representation in the Far East as well as Europe and has two additional perks. Unlike many international funds it has a notable weighting in small and midcap stocks and also a reasonable stake in emerging markets.
Despite a strong showing out of the gate this year, foreign stocks may still be undervalued when compared with our own. It could be an opportune time to start or add to a long-term position. But remember, if you prefer a convenient and comprehensive one-stop vehicle for a global commitment, check out the total world fund mentioned earlier.
Bon voyage.
I really enjoyed your perspective — comparing investing in Vanguard’s Total International Stock Index Fund to traveling first class is such an interesting analogy. It makes sense that diversifying globally can feel like giving your portfolio that “premium comfort” while still being strategic.
One thing that often enhances both experiences — investing or travel — is planning ahead. Just like arranging a smooth ride before a trip can remove unnecessary stress, setting up your contributions and allocations thoughtfully can help the long-term journey feel seamless.
I’m curious: when you think about investing internationally, do you focus more on long-term stability or on capturing high-growth opportunities in emerging markets?
Is there a possibility of currency risk to consider? In foreign stocks I’m betting on both the currency and companies.
I’m not opposed to owning foreign stocks but I’m not keen on emerging market stocks and keep that at about 2.5% of equities. Nor am I fond of China. In fact, the ex-U.S. portion of my equities is about 26% and my spouse’s is about 25%; she does own Vanguard Target Date Funds. While these percentages may seem high, I’m excluding bonds and cash when calculating these percentages.
Is there a possibility of currency risk to consider?
Yes there is.The US dollar has dropped 11% just this year because of US policies.
The MSCI EAFE Index is up 25.2% through August 22nd while the S&P 500 is up 10.9%, and a large proportion of that gain is devaluation of the dollar versus foreign currencies.
Overall our equity allocation is 45%, 2/3 US, but our ROTH position is 100% Vanguard Total World as these funds may never be touched.
Addendum:
Just read an article by John Rekenthaler on Morningstar. Can you guess what countries, after the US, had the highest returns over the last ten years?
Taiwan, Hungary, and the Czech Republic!
To go along with the currency risk you get currency diversification.
I really appreciate the way you broke this down — especially how you framed international allocation as “repositioning” rather than trading. It’s a smart reminder that diversification isn’t just about chasing returns, but about managing risk across different markets and cycles. I had a similar realization during a recent trip planned through this service where flexibility ended up being more valuable than just sticking to one route.
I’m curious — when you talk about a potential 20% allocation to VTIAX, do you see that as a long-term sweet spot, or do you think it makes sense to adjust that weighting depending on where we are in the global market cycle?
I think the old saw “Invest in what you know” applies. Or in this case, “Don’t invest in what you know” also applies. My country count is now at 42 – Regarding international diversification… Not for me please.
A lot of folks feel just like you!
Thanks Steve. A third of our stock holdings are international, and probably 90% of that is in index funds, though not this particular one.
I think you’re in the right program!
very good piece. Thank you Steve
And thank you, Nick.
Hey Steve,
Why did you choose the mutual fund version over the ETF version VT?
Hi David,
I tend to think that more readers are in mutual funds than ETFs. Maybe that’s not the case. Of course, the ETF wrapper has several advantages over the mutual fund—transparency, tax efficiency, trading flexibility and lower cost. I do have a reservation though. If someone is making regular monthly investments, he has to be sure that the cost of the spread does not outweigh those advantages. Mutual funds are bought at net asset value, so there is no spread. The solution is to find an ETF with enough volume that it comes with a very small spread. For investors who want a comprehensive global position and prefer the ETF structure over the mutual fund, the total world ETF (VT) is hard to beat.
VT and VTIAX are not similar at all. Am I missing something? Just looking at the top holdings.
Yes, you’re right about the difference. But I didn’t compare them! If you read the article again carefully, you’ll see I referred to VT as a GLOBAL (includes U.S.) ETF and VTIAX as an INTERNATIONAL-ONLY mutual fund.
I have VT, that’s why I was asking
Hi David,
VT is a class global ETF whereas VTIAX is an international (no U.S.) mutual fund.
Sorry I meant VTI. I get them mixed up
VXUS is the ETF version of VTIAX.
Steve, I think you just copy/pasted your entire forum piece into the forum title block. Not sure if you can fix this.
Exactly, Thank you Jeff. I’ve got Jonathan on it.
Jonathan’s retired! 🙂