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Black Friday blues come February

"So, when Mark produces data that pokes some holes in your speculations, identifying his sources, you somehow know that his picture is inaccurate and so don't "buy it." The standard seems to be (where have we seen this before?), if it doesn't align with your assumptions, it must be wrong. How about providing some evidence to support your position, not just asserting things. Otherwise, all of this discussion is useless. Surely you must agree that credit-card companies are not in business to fund unending shopping sprees by a population incapable of paying for what it buys. So how is it that spending continues at the clip it does, year after year after year?"
- Chris Rush
Read more »

You DRIP?

"AS I wrote: "I simply move the money from my IRA to taxable, rebalancing if necessary on the way". I have stock funds in both places. There is no reason to hold cash in an IRA, although holding bonds in an IRA rather than taxable would improve the tax situation. See also JoBo's post below. And yes, I have taxes withheld if necessary."
- mytimetotravel
Read more »

How Has Living in a CCRC Affected Your Monthly Bills?

"Look for a non-profit, financially sound CCRC. There are many, if you do your due diligence. Be wary of situations like these."
- smr1082
Read more »

My Contact Info

"Bogdan thanks for this. I had tried reaching you a couple of times a while back at newsletter@humbledollar.com but never got a response. Glad you now have a dedicated email address."
- Andrew Forsythe
Read more »

Tech Part II: How to buy a printer/scanner, accessories and more

"I just purchased a printer yesterday. I have a somewhat different view of printers than expressed here. My old printer, which I am taking to be recycled, was a wonderful HP laser jet, and maybe ten years old. When Win11 came out HP decided not to create a printer driver for it. And, so for the last several years I ran it with a generic Windows printer driver. The issue with this generic driver was that it would print unending copies of multi-page print jobs, and if you weren't watching carefully, you would end up with an inch high stack of waste paper. Anyway, I need to confess that I also have an ink jet color printer. Both types of printers are useful to have. Why have both??? Well, you can use your color ink jet to make B &W print jobs, but you cannot do this when you need Permanent, Durable, documents. Ink jet ink is not waterproof. So, every time you need to print a copy of a will, a contract, etc. that you need to have for sure for the next 20 years, you need it to be printed on a laser printer. This need seems fairly clear to me. Laser = permanent. Okay, I also want to admit that I have a color laser printer. And, just like a color ink jet printer, both color ink jet and color laser printers have their uses. So, if you have a color laser printer, when you use it to print in B & W, you get a permanent document. And, while it can do color print jobs, it cannot print photo quality pictures. Furthermore, color laser toner replacement cartridges are expensive. Color ink jet cartridges are also expensive. But, in the last couple of years, ink jet color printer which have large ink tanks built in allowed them to greatly reduce the cost of color printer ink. So, if you want to print lots of photos you want an ink jet printer with ink tanks. If you want colored Xmas letters, address labels, colored calendar pages, colored ad flyers, you need the colored laser printer. Back to the purchase of a B&W laser printer yesterday. For home use, both Canon and Brother offer a cheap laser printer. These really good printers do 30 pages a minute, and have built in duplex (2-sided) printing. Like razor blades they want to make money from selling you toner carts. Typically, their cheapest printer comes with a small capacity cart which they say will print 700 pages, compared to the 2500-3000 of a standard cart. So, what you need to do before buying one is to make sure that after-market toner carts are already available for what you are buying. That is why my new printer is a Canon. I can get 3 after-market carts for the price of one authentic Canon cart. Unfortunately, both the Canon and the Brother can be difficult when you try to set up the wifi. I am planning to skip that and just connect to the Canon with a USB cable. Both types of printers offer some kind of cable connection. I am somewhat cheap, so I don't buy MS Word. Instead, I use free LibreOffice which can read and write Word documents. It has a great address label template. However, if you use your ink jet color printer to do labels, especially in the PNW, your letter/card might not get there if it gets wet....."
- stelea99
Read more »

Would You Raid the Piggy Bank or Mortgage the House?

"A classic example of health far outweighing wealth. I'm curious, would that situation be normal in the US? A genuine health insurance claim being refused because you had a procedure in the recent past?"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

The Point of Diminishing Returns

"It is actually manufactured in the Lexus plant in Japan utilizing some of their parts."
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Guardianship

"Ah, I think I misunderstood your post- thought that 's what you were looking for. If you're looking to appoint a family member or friend as guardian, I would think a durable POA as someone else mentioned may work, in lieu of a guardian appointment. The main issue may be that if the POA was not in place before the Alzheimer's diagnosis, you may have to seek guardianship. An Elder Care lawyer should be able to guide you on this."
- Bill C
Read more »

The annuities are coming, the annuities are coming‼️

"Hung, are there any insurance companies that will issue a deferred annuity to someone that old?"
- DAN SMITH
Read more »

I CAN SOLVE THE SOCIAL SECURITY AND RETIREMENT CRISIS IN AMERICA

"Both me and my wife retired from State. My wife retired more than 12 years ago from State with a pension of 60K/year for life plus full medical benefit. She took another job with the county (define contribution plan) and qualify for another retirement check from the county when she choose to retire. I got a check from State when I turn 60 more than 4 years ago for working with the state first 13 years after college. (State also will pay for my secondary medical insurance when I am qualify for Medicare.) When I first work with the State we only contribute 3% of our salary, now it is almost 10% (mandatory). Even we are the beneficial of define benefit plan, I do not think it is feasible for the future of the country. The insurance cost by itself almost more than 1K/month per retiree. (I remembered back in 1985, insurance are so cheap that most employer cover 100% premium, co-pay for doctor is $5, brand name $10). I do not remember the exact number, but I think my retirement account balance is less than 35K when I left, but I get a check for 1.6K for life when I turned 60. That make no financial sense."
- Hung Nguyen
Read more »

Happy Hour, or The Panic Button? Why Early Retirement Anxiety Is Real.

"Absolutely you can cultivate passions. Otherwise we are condemned to be the same narrow horizon people we were when constrained by 40-70+ hours of work per week necessarily. I'm hoping to have time to paint, cook, spend more time exercising in the outdoors and of course travel. And make new, meaningful social connections particularly as I relocate. If we don't cultivate passions what do we do - lie in bed longer, allow chores to fill the day, get through TV box sets faster, while away hours watching even more sport?"
- bbbobbins
Read more »

Index Fund Bubble

CRITICS OF INDEX FUNDS are pursuing a new line of attack. Passive investing, they argue, is distorting market prices and creating an unhealthy bubble. To be sure, the market today is expensive. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the S&P 500 stands at about 22. That’s substantially above its long-term average of about 16. Of more concern, that metric is approaching a level not seen since the market peak in 2000, just before stocks dropped 57%. The concern today is that the market is similarly skating on thin ice, and some feel that index funds are the proximate cause. Here’s how a recent writeup in The Atlantic presented the argument: “A market dominated by passive investors naturally becomes more concentrated… Because they allocate funds based on the existing size of companies, they end up buying a disproportionate share of the biggest stocks, causing the value of those stocks to rise even more…” To support this argument, critics note that the so-called Magnificent Seven technology stocks are now valued at more than $1 trillion each. Nvidia alone is worth more than $4 trillion. To put that in perspective, Nvidia is worth more than the smallest 235 companies in the S&P 500 combined. In an effort to pin the blame on index funds, The Atlantic explains how actively-managed—that is, non-index—funds operate. Traditional funds are “highly sensitive to company fundamentals and broader economic conditions.” The managers of these funds “pore over earnings reports, scrutinize company finances, and analyze market trends…” In other words, according to this argument, traditional active managers do more to keep markets healthy. Index funds, on the other hand, are presented as an unhealthy influence because they buy stocks robotically and sell them only infrequently. And since index funds have been steadily gaining market share, the implication is that they are responsible for driving prices to irrationally high levels. Should we be concerned? In my view, there’s a kernel of truth to some of these arguments, but I’m not sure they’re entirely accurate. Let’s start with The Atlantic’s first point: It argues that index funds are creating unhealthy market concentration because they allocate funds “disproportionately” to the largest stocks. The logical flaw here is that index funds actually do the opposite: They allocate money proportionately. If Amazon, for example, represents 4% of the S&P 500, then $4 out of every $100 invested in an S&P 500 index fund will be allocated to Amazon. Index funds, in other words, are an entirely neutral factor in the market. Index fund critics also fret about the fact that there are fewer public companies today than there were 25 years ago. The implication, according to this argument, is that more dollars are chasing fewer stocks, thus further driving prices up. That sounds like a valid argument, but it ignores an important reality: Companies today are so much larger and more profitable than in the past that the aggregate value of public companies is, as a result, much larger. Apple and Nvidia, for example, each earn about $100 billion per year. So the fact that there is a smaller number of public companies today is more of a side point and not really relevant. Critics of index funds also confuse correlation and causation. The reality is that this isn’t the first time that market valuations have risen. At many points in the past, stocks have been even more expensive than they are today. During the 1990s, for example, when valuations rose dramatically, index funds represented less than 10% of mutual fund dollars. Looking back further, index funds didn’t even exist before the 1970s, and yet market bubbles have occurred throughout history. The market might be high today, but it’s ahistorical to say that index funds are the cause. For these reasons, I don’t think we can blame index funds for today’s share prices, and I still think they’re the best way to invest. That said, investors should always keep an eye on risk. As the end of the year approaches, it’s a good time to conduct a portfolio audit. Here are some steps I recommend: First, review your asset allocation. As I’ve noted in the past, I suggest asking three questions: How much risk do I need to take? How much risk can I afford to take? And how much risk am I comfortable taking? An alternative you might consider is the popular “bucket system.” Either way, you want to set aside sufficient dollars outside the stock market to carry you through a market downturn, if that’s the way things go. Then, look to diversify within the stock portion of your portfolio. Owning just the S&P 500 has been a winning formula for many years, but in light of today’s market concentration and valuation, it makes sense to diversify into smaller stocks, into value stocks and into international stocks. Another strategy would be to own a fund tracking the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. As its name suggests, this version of the S&P 500 holds each of the 500 stocks in equal amounts—about 0.2% each. Result: The Magnificent Seven as a group would hold just a 1.4% weighting—far less than their 35% weight in the standard index. This isn’t my preferred approach because it can be tax-inefficient, and equal-weight funds are a bit expensive. But it’s worth considering. A final point: While I suggest taking precautions with your portfolio, I don’t mean to unnecessarily sound the alarm. Even though stocks are expensive today, that doesn’t necessarily mean that they have to drop. We should always be prepared in case they do. But the market could also return to Earth in a much more gradual fashion. If corporate earnings were to grow over the next five or so years at their historical average rate of about 7%, then the market’s P/E ratio would naturally drop back to a normal level without any sort of dramatic or unpleasant market downturn. Investors, in other words, should take precautions but shouldn’t panic.   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Black Friday blues come February

"So, when Mark produces data that pokes some holes in your speculations, identifying his sources, you somehow know that his picture is inaccurate and so don't "buy it." The standard seems to be (where have we seen this before?), if it doesn't align with your assumptions, it must be wrong. How about providing some evidence to support your position, not just asserting things. Otherwise, all of this discussion is useless. Surely you must agree that credit-card companies are not in business to fund unending shopping sprees by a population incapable of paying for what it buys. So how is it that spending continues at the clip it does, year after year after year?"
- Chris Rush
Read more »

You DRIP?

"AS I wrote: "I simply move the money from my IRA to taxable, rebalancing if necessary on the way". I have stock funds in both places. There is no reason to hold cash in an IRA, although holding bonds in an IRA rather than taxable would improve the tax situation. See also JoBo's post below. And yes, I have taxes withheld if necessary."
- mytimetotravel
Read more »

How Has Living in a CCRC Affected Your Monthly Bills?

"Look for a non-profit, financially sound CCRC. There are many, if you do your due diligence. Be wary of situations like these."
- smr1082
Read more »

My Contact Info

"Bogdan thanks for this. I had tried reaching you a couple of times a while back at newsletter@humbledollar.com but never got a response. Glad you now have a dedicated email address."
- Andrew Forsythe
Read more »

Tech Part II: How to buy a printer/scanner, accessories and more

"I just purchased a printer yesterday. I have a somewhat different view of printers than expressed here. My old printer, which I am taking to be recycled, was a wonderful HP laser jet, and maybe ten years old. When Win11 came out HP decided not to create a printer driver for it. And, so for the last several years I ran it with a generic Windows printer driver. The issue with this generic driver was that it would print unending copies of multi-page print jobs, and if you weren't watching carefully, you would end up with an inch high stack of waste paper. Anyway, I need to confess that I also have an ink jet color printer. Both types of printers are useful to have. Why have both??? Well, you can use your color ink jet to make B &W print jobs, but you cannot do this when you need Permanent, Durable, documents. Ink jet ink is not waterproof. So, every time you need to print a copy of a will, a contract, etc. that you need to have for sure for the next 20 years, you need it to be printed on a laser printer. This need seems fairly clear to me. Laser = permanent. Okay, I also want to admit that I have a color laser printer. And, just like a color ink jet printer, both color ink jet and color laser printers have their uses. So, if you have a color laser printer, when you use it to print in B & W, you get a permanent document. And, while it can do color print jobs, it cannot print photo quality pictures. Furthermore, color laser toner replacement cartridges are expensive. Color ink jet cartridges are also expensive. But, in the last couple of years, ink jet color printer which have large ink tanks built in allowed them to greatly reduce the cost of color printer ink. So, if you want to print lots of photos you want an ink jet printer with ink tanks. If you want colored Xmas letters, address labels, colored calendar pages, colored ad flyers, you need the colored laser printer. Back to the purchase of a B&W laser printer yesterday. For home use, both Canon and Brother offer a cheap laser printer. These really good printers do 30 pages a minute, and have built in duplex (2-sided) printing. Like razor blades they want to make money from selling you toner carts. Typically, their cheapest printer comes with a small capacity cart which they say will print 700 pages, compared to the 2500-3000 of a standard cart. So, what you need to do before buying one is to make sure that after-market toner carts are already available for what you are buying. That is why my new printer is a Canon. I can get 3 after-market carts for the price of one authentic Canon cart. Unfortunately, both the Canon and the Brother can be difficult when you try to set up the wifi. I am planning to skip that and just connect to the Canon with a USB cable. Both types of printers offer some kind of cable connection. I am somewhat cheap, so I don't buy MS Word. Instead, I use free LibreOffice which can read and write Word documents. It has a great address label template. However, if you use your ink jet color printer to do labels, especially in the PNW, your letter/card might not get there if it gets wet....."
- stelea99
Read more »

Would You Raid the Piggy Bank or Mortgage the House?

"A classic example of health far outweighing wealth. I'm curious, would that situation be normal in the US? A genuine health insurance claim being refused because you had a procedure in the recent past?"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

The Point of Diminishing Returns

"It is actually manufactured in the Lexus plant in Japan utilizing some of their parts."
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Guardianship

"Ah, I think I misunderstood your post- thought that 's what you were looking for. If you're looking to appoint a family member or friend as guardian, I would think a durable POA as someone else mentioned may work, in lieu of a guardian appointment. The main issue may be that if the POA was not in place before the Alzheimer's diagnosis, you may have to seek guardianship. An Elder Care lawyer should be able to guide you on this."
- Bill C
Read more »

The annuities are coming, the annuities are coming‼️

"Hung, are there any insurance companies that will issue a deferred annuity to someone that old?"
- DAN SMITH
Read more »

Index Fund Bubble

CRITICS OF INDEX FUNDS are pursuing a new line of attack. Passive investing, they argue, is distorting market prices and creating an unhealthy bubble. To be sure, the market today is expensive. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the S&P 500 stands at about 22. That’s substantially above its long-term average of about 16. Of more concern, that metric is approaching a level not seen since the market peak in 2000, just before stocks dropped 57%. The concern today is that the market is similarly skating on thin ice, and some feel that index funds are the proximate cause. Here’s how a recent writeup in The Atlantic presented the argument: “A market dominated by passive investors naturally becomes more concentrated… Because they allocate funds based on the existing size of companies, they end up buying a disproportionate share of the biggest stocks, causing the value of those stocks to rise even more…” To support this argument, critics note that the so-called Magnificent Seven technology stocks are now valued at more than $1 trillion each. Nvidia alone is worth more than $4 trillion. To put that in perspective, Nvidia is worth more than the smallest 235 companies in the S&P 500 combined. In an effort to pin the blame on index funds, The Atlantic explains how actively-managed—that is, non-index—funds operate. Traditional funds are “highly sensitive to company fundamentals and broader economic conditions.” The managers of these funds “pore over earnings reports, scrutinize company finances, and analyze market trends…” In other words, according to this argument, traditional active managers do more to keep markets healthy. Index funds, on the other hand, are presented as an unhealthy influence because they buy stocks robotically and sell them only infrequently. And since index funds have been steadily gaining market share, the implication is that they are responsible for driving prices to irrationally high levels. Should we be concerned? In my view, there’s a kernel of truth to some of these arguments, but I’m not sure they’re entirely accurate. Let’s start with The Atlantic’s first point: It argues that index funds are creating unhealthy market concentration because they allocate funds “disproportionately” to the largest stocks. The logical flaw here is that index funds actually do the opposite: They allocate money proportionately. If Amazon, for example, represents 4% of the S&P 500, then $4 out of every $100 invested in an S&P 500 index fund will be allocated to Amazon. Index funds, in other words, are an entirely neutral factor in the market. Index fund critics also fret about the fact that there are fewer public companies today than there were 25 years ago. The implication, according to this argument, is that more dollars are chasing fewer stocks, thus further driving prices up. That sounds like a valid argument, but it ignores an important reality: Companies today are so much larger and more profitable than in the past that the aggregate value of public companies is, as a result, much larger. Apple and Nvidia, for example, each earn about $100 billion per year. So the fact that there is a smaller number of public companies today is more of a side point and not really relevant. Critics of index funds also confuse correlation and causation. The reality is that this isn’t the first time that market valuations have risen. At many points in the past, stocks have been even more expensive than they are today. During the 1990s, for example, when valuations rose dramatically, index funds represented less than 10% of mutual fund dollars. Looking back further, index funds didn’t even exist before the 1970s, and yet market bubbles have occurred throughout history. The market might be high today, but it’s ahistorical to say that index funds are the cause. For these reasons, I don’t think we can blame index funds for today’s share prices, and I still think they’re the best way to invest. That said, investors should always keep an eye on risk. As the end of the year approaches, it’s a good time to conduct a portfolio audit. Here are some steps I recommend: First, review your asset allocation. As I’ve noted in the past, I suggest asking three questions: How much risk do I need to take? How much risk can I afford to take? And how much risk am I comfortable taking? An alternative you might consider is the popular “bucket system.” Either way, you want to set aside sufficient dollars outside the stock market to carry you through a market downturn, if that’s the way things go. Then, look to diversify within the stock portion of your portfolio. Owning just the S&P 500 has been a winning formula for many years, but in light of today’s market concentration and valuation, it makes sense to diversify into smaller stocks, into value stocks and into international stocks. Another strategy would be to own a fund tracking the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. As its name suggests, this version of the S&P 500 holds each of the 500 stocks in equal amounts—about 0.2% each. Result: The Magnificent Seven as a group would hold just a 1.4% weighting—far less than their 35% weight in the standard index. This isn’t my preferred approach because it can be tax-inefficient, and equal-weight funds are a bit expensive. But it’s worth considering. A final point: While I suggest taking precautions with your portfolio, I don’t mean to unnecessarily sound the alarm. Even though stocks are expensive today, that doesn’t necessarily mean that they have to drop. We should always be prepared in case they do. But the market could also return to Earth in a much more gradual fashion. If corporate earnings were to grow over the next five or so years at their historical average rate of about 7%, then the market’s P/E ratio would naturally drop back to a normal level without any sort of dramatic or unpleasant market downturn. Investors, in other words, should take precautions but shouldn’t panic.   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

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Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 50: WE SHOULD strive to raise financially responsible children. If our kids grow up to make foolish financial mistakes, we’ll likely ride to the rescue—and their problems will be ours.

act

DRAW UP A LETTER of last instructions—and tell your family where it’s located. This isn’t a legally binding document. Rather, think of it as a roadmap to your estate. You might list financial accounts, who should get personal possessions, what sort of funeral you want, where you keep usernames and passwords, and any final thoughts you have for your heirs.

Truths

NO. 90: HOME improvements are money losers. Yes, homes typically climb in price over time. But the only sure source of appreciation is the land. The house itself deteriorates and requires hefty expenditures just to maintain its value. Indeed, if you remodel your home, you might recoup just 50% to 90% of the money—and that assumes you sell within a year.

think

MORAL HAZARD. When we know someone else will pick up much or all of the financial tab, it’ll often change our behavior. For instance, those with health insurance are quicker to seek medical help, while those with long-term-care insurance are more inclined to enter nursing homes. The downside of this moral hazard: It means insurance costs more.

How to think about money

Manifesto

NO. 50: WE SHOULD strive to raise financially responsible children. If our kids grow up to make foolish financial mistakes, we’ll likely ride to the rescue—and their problems will be ours.

Spotlight: Retirement

Bewildering Benefits

WHEN I CLAIMED SOCIAL Security benefits, I had no idea how much there was to know—and how much I didn’t know. Bear in mind that the Social Security website didn’t exist until the late 1990s, and back then only minimal services were accessible through the site. In addition, most people didn’t fully appreciate the advantages of delaying benefits.

In my naïveté, I thought I would go to my local Social Security office to find out what options were available for claiming,

Read more »

Bashing the 401k scam – looking for a better idea. RDQ says it’s misunderstood

I recently read – again – that 401k plans are a scam. You can’t save enough, you can lose money, etc.
Consider these words of wisdom. “It is a scam. When I worked in corporate America I contributed the max amount each year. At the time it was $19k per year. It took 5+ years to hit $100k. When I stopped contributing it barely grew.”
We don’t know the years involved, but nevertheless it’s nonsense. Investing the $19,000 a year even in a GIC would get you over $100,000 in less than five years. 

Read more »

Retirement Preview

THE PANDEMIC HAS given many folks a taste of what retirement could be like. An abrupt end to work. A loss of social connection. Trying to make ends meet on a much lower income. Many haven’t been happy with the experience.
Worried that your retirement could be similar? Here are eight lessons we can learn from the pandemic, all drawn from my new book, Retirement Heaven or Hell:
1. Retirement can be a shock.

Read more »

Rookie Mistakes

I LIKE TO THINK of myself today as a pretty savvy investor. But I wasn’t savvy when I started out. Despite attending business school and earning a master’s degree in computer science, I knew nothing about managing money or saving for retirement, so I initially made a number of blunders—but also one particularly lucky choice.
My first real job after college was in 1987, as a systems programmer for the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill.

Read more »

Decisions, Decisions

I’VE BEEN EMPLOYED fulltime for nearly three decades—and retirement is now on the horizon. That means I’m spending more time trying to figure out how best to generate retirement income.
One obstacle: I keep getting bogged down by the seemingly endless choices. Despite knowing how critical these decisions are, I often find myself throwing up my hands in frustration and opting to do nothing. My experience isn’t uncommon. Welcome to the paradox of choice: When faced with a host of options,

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Seven Mistakes

ONE OF THE BIGGEST financial mistakes people make is not contributing to their employer’s 401(k). Nearly 20% of Americans are guilty of this. But that’s hardly the only mistake that folks make. As you strive for a comfortable retirement, here are seven other missteps you’ll want to avoid:
1. Poor tax planning. Try to estimate whether your tax bracket will be higher or lower in retirement. If you think it will be higher,

Read more »

Spotlight: Berard

Two New Headlines

Chickens are being euthanized because they are starving , chicken feed in short supply. Fowl play is suspected. 2) A phenomenon has occurred in Chicago, billionaire Ken Griffin just sold some properties at a 44% loss, from less than 10 years ago. hmmm. Also, an office tower in East St. louis was listed for three million large ,recently. 8 years ago, it commanded 300 million. A 99% loss. hmmm. As The late Bob Newhart might say, " Oh Boy." No exclamation point. Alas, another very common belief has gone the way of Betamax, the dodo, and water bubblers.i.e.,  You never lose money in real estate. And we will  not forget the square miles of abandoned houses in Detroit, properties are available for often just the cost of the paperwork....!
Read more »

Truth is Often Stranger Than Fiction

I just received my annual water bill, a tiny 158 dollars. It informed me that I will pay .00375 cents per gallon. When bottled water is even 5 a pint or 40 per gallon, that is roughly 10,000 times higher. It is often at 30,000 times higher.as many venues charge 15 a pint. Even at a buck a pint  , that is still thousands of times more , for exactly the same stuff that falls, every time it rains. I do have a water filter through the fridge, but, the water straight from the faucet is fine. I could see if bottled water was maybe ten cents a pint, for the packaging and the like, but….! For the 40 percent of the population that is good at math, please, check my figures  to ensure accuracy. I am a part of the 80 percent that are not good in math. Please, before we talk stocks and bonds, etc., cease getting ripped off buying water.  And I will not talk about wasting money on green hair, body piercings,  tattoos and the financially challenged buying expensive German brand SUVS , financing them for eight years, etc.
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Why, Oh , Why ?

Please, why would anybody buy any actively traded fund, especially in the large market cap category and especially in conventional accounts? As a whole, every investor , large and small, must collectively earn less than the market's return.  For every buyer there is a seller, of course, and once bid-ask spreads, fees, etc., are factored in, there has to be a slight loss. Also,  the active funds, due to the frequent trading , often have returns that are often  30, 40 or 50 percent lower, after taxes and sale of shares.   In  traditional, non tax sheltered venues, the difference between gross and net,  is tremendous.  Even in tax sheltered accounts, you are still paying much higher annual fees. I don't know if it still exists, but a few years ago, there was an S and P 500 fund that charged a 3 % load, and an annual fee of 1.2 percent. Why are there still funds that charge sales loads, period? If no one bought them, would they not go extinct? 2) Why do so many people buy or lease very expensive vehicles, take out, in many cases, 8 year loans, and then complain about the "high" price of the premium fuel it requires?    Why don't they care about the hundreds of bucks in monthly payments, the high insurance costs, the high repair and service costs. And the depreciation of the very fancy, fussy German brands , and Jaguar, Land Rover,etc., is much worse than the much more reliable Japanese car makers, just compare the resale value of a used MB, Audi to virtually any Toyota product. I know why the politicians mention gas prices constantly, they know that is an issue with so many Americans, and they are trying to relate. A lot of consumers  are angry that their fancy BMW , or Audi or Jeep, ( A Jeep Grand Wagoneer can easily set you back 120 k, plus the financing), is far less reliable than a ten year old Toyota Corolla with 150 grand miles on it. In this case, all of that extra money buys you more electronics, more computer modules, 10 speed aut0matic transmissions, etc., but, makes the car less reliable. Sometimes just doing a brake job on a fancy  car requires reprogramming multiple computers, before the car will move. This one really takes the cake. Most automakers have eliminated the dipstick to check transmission fluid, because no one ever checked it anyway. Now, many are eliminating the oil dipstick, and having the owner rely on scrolling through multiple complicated computer interfaces, etc. This has led to many engine failures and much profit for the auto makers. Something as basic as checking the oil should not rely on computers. And, finally, for anybody whom has read all so far, not many, I bet, I say: When I get a tad overwhelmed by everything, and I sometimes feel I have not lived up to my expectations, and so forth,and I think of my far too many mistakes , I will call the dog for a walk. As we walk our  usual route, and she happily trots, very rarely lifting her nose from the ground, tail wagging, she is having the  time of her life. When she spots a cat or wood- chuck or a rabbit, she has the strength of Hercules and one day I shall don roller skates so she can pull me. She has no bank account , no money, or bills. As long as her dish is filled, and she eats exactly the same food every day, and she has water,she  is content. She also rides in the car as often as possible , indeed, as soon as I grab the keys she starts bouncing , and heads for the garage at full tilt. There is also at least one group of people that live in Papua, New Guinea, and their lifestyle has not changed in thousands of years. They also have no money,  or anything other than very basic shelter. They have zero contact with outsiders, and are perfectly happy the way they are. The shelters are built 80 feet high in trees, as protection from ant enemy. I am getting a bit long winded as usual, but, the point I am trying to make is sometimes simpler is better. I am not suggesting we live like dogs or tribes residing in isolation. I just feel better, by just attempting to keep things simpler, and if I have a house that suits my needs, and I can get to the places I need to go with my car, that's fine. I don't need to continue on the hedonistic treadmill, because there will always be someone with a nicer house, a faster car, and so forth. When my wife and I go away for a few days, and a family member takes care of Jill, the dog, she refuses to eat, will not go for a walk, and stays on her bed, for a few days. Then she will reluctantly take a short walk, eat a bit, but she is  not her usual self. When we return, she acts like I am the greatest thing ever, and she will not leave me alone for at least 30 minutes. It is a tremendous feeling to know how much I mean to her, it really is, and did I mention that the tribe in Papua also have no psychiatrists, psychologists, and no suicides?  
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The USA, an Amazing Nation. And the UK, Also Amazing

As a country with only a couple of centuries under its belt, I think that our nation has beaten the odds. When the intrepid souls left England and crossed the pond to start a new country, what were the odds of success? England was a tremendous world power, a strong navy, territories covering the globe, etc., and it must have seemed foolhardy to fight that. Yet, here we are, and thanks to the native Americans, and the millions of immigrants that have come here from 200 nations, we are the world leader in many categories. Our business friendly policies, and our government so willing to help new businesses and entrepreneurs and the like, have enabled so many to start businesses and thrive, from mom and pop pizza parlors and service stations, to high tech companies and so forth. My favorite restaurant is owned by people born in Greece, computer repair by a great guy from Japan, and my house was built by nice people born in Portugal. The general contractor that built the small addition is from Italy. My kin came from Canada, France, Russia and Finland and they never regretted it. In New York City, something like 800 languages are used, showing the variety of the population. Of course it is vital to have allies, and when a mad man tried to conquer the world about 80 years ago, we all banded together , and defeated The Third Reich , and lets hope that no more wars costing the lives of 80 million people should occur. Winston Churchill, the brilliant Prime Minister, was very worried about the outcome of the war, prior to the Pearl Harbor attacks. He traveled across the Atlantic, pleading with FDR , to have us enter the war. Roosevelt refused, but after December 7, 1941, our congress voted for war. Churchill wrote," Only after hearing of the attacks on Pearl Harbor was I able to sleep fitfully, through the night, as I knew once America entered the fray, the outcome was no longer in doubt". Our stock market cap is 60%  of the worlds total, even though we are only 4% of theat nations. a  population. Our 3 largest companies are 10% of the total.The dollar is the reserve currency and our treasuries are the gold standard for safety , stability and liquidity. In my opinion, The United Kingdom is tied with us, for great nations ,as are  others, no, not North Korea. It is amazing that with countries like Sweden and Norway and dozens more, that we hear so much about not so terrific places, and much less about good places, and I will leave it at that. Bad news makes the money, I guess. Now , another vital topic, the number of superbly talented musicians that are from The United Kingdom. The  Beatles, The Rolling Stones, The Kinks, Rod Stewart. Led Zeppelin, Pink Floyd, Robert Palmer and Elton John. Joe Cocker. Dire Straights. The Who. Graham Nash. And so many more. The number of musical talents is way out of proportion to the population, and I, for one, am grateful. There is something there that ensures England produces such a wealth of talent. It is similar to the number of superb long distance runners that come from a very small part of Africa, way too many for it to be chance. Whatever it may be, please, continue. Finally, and you are welcome, I recently added a bit of umbrella insurance liability coverage. I had a million dollar policy that cost a modest 800,yearly, and for  a mere 169 dollars more,I doubled it to 2 million.  The horrific proliferation of personal injury ads on tv and print media spurred me into action. I am shocked and also horrified, it appears that a litany of  lawyers are so driven by money! Who would have thought that? Now, I am barely 5' 8" tall , but a whopping 251 lbs, ( I prefer to use kilograms, actually, then I am "only" 114),so, a  doubling of the rain umbrella was necessary, also*. My doctor wants me to shed some significant tonnage, insulted, I  asked for a second opinion. " Sure, your nose is too big!", she replied.   *A few years ago, after having surgery, I was walking the halls, helped by 2  nurses, and another one near, alas, the little dinky johnny they force you to wear opened in the back. There were many people behind me, and I heard gasps of shock and horror ,people fainting ,etc.. So far, no lawsuits, but, one cannot be too careful. More secure ties are now required on hospital gowns.  
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Advertisements, Commercials, etc.

As I keep getting older, I strive mightily to at least slow down the process, alas,  all of my heroic efforts are in vain, those darn birthdays just keep on coming, like clockwork, and I have finally thrown in the towel and accept it. However, as I age, I find myself getting increasingly annoyed at things that just waste so much time. Specifically, ads of any type, and at the top of the list are  pop up ads, which do nothing positive for me. Until recently, I would just hit the x, but every day it is worse than a game of whack-a mole. I now write down the name of the sponsor, and vow to never buy or use any of their products, if I have a choice. Second are the truly maddening amount of ads during television sporting events, especially football and baseball. It has gotten so bad, sometimes during pauses, , the ads are on a split screen , sharing space with the game. Are not the ads between every inning in baseball and the tremendous number and length of them during football games sufficient? In boxing, every 3 minutes comes horrible commercials. To make matters worse, sometimes plays are missed, as the commercial is too long and the TV station drops the ball, and doesn't return quickly enough. To all of you advertisers, if I have a choice , I will never buy any of your products, as long as you continue to drive me crazy with your horrible, deceiving and BORING ads. The ads are also way too loud, and many have them people singing, usually, terribly off key, about the virtues of prescription drugs and so forth. I did find out why the ads are so annoyingly loud. The shows, events and ads all have a maximum volume level allowed, which is the same for everybody. However, the entire ad is usually played at the highest level allowed, while the shows have only occasional max levels. For example, a gunshot on a cop show, the crowd roaring , etc., are high volume,and the rest of the show is usually quieter,  but , on the ad, especially a certain guy screaming in a raspy voice about pillows, the entire ad is played at close to max levels. And no, to all of the beer and hard liquor people, you will never convince me that drinking alcohol, no matter the venue, will make me a more attractive person, will allow me to have more fun, etc.  I do enjoy a drink a few times a week, but I know far too many people whom messed up their lives and lives around them, by drinking way too much alcohol. The tobacco people have been sued, they cannot advertise on TV, etc., but beer, wine and whiskey ads are far too common, in my view. How about some limitation on the alcohol ads? To the ad people, are you really convinced that pop up ads , etc., intruding constantly , is a wise method to get people to buy your products? Why do you feel that way, please? I have often discussed with my bride of five years, my desire to move to Vermont, some day. It is a very rural state, no large or even medium sized cities, beautiful scenery, great people, and, I don't know if Vermont is unique in this regard, but, billboards are not allowed!
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SOS, MAYDAY,HELP, etc. concerning What Type Bonds Should I Consider Social Security?

I implore the much more astute for information concerning Social Security benefits, mainly, what is the duration, maturity, credit rating and so forth, please? My bond knowledge is limited to knowing which actor starred as James Bond, Sean or Timothy and the like. I have read here that Social Security retirement money should be a part of the fixed income allocation, etc. Thank you. And now , on to a much less difficult question, " Is the inertia of a body a measure of its energy content?" ( E = MC 2 and other mundane and simple stuff) I am joking. Apologies to Albert Einstein.
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