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I’m depressed, not very optimistic about retirement by R Quinn

I read Adam Grossman’s article Riding the Rails with great interest. He gave a well balanced perspective on retirement income strategies, but I came away thinking it’s complicated and scary no matter which approach is used – the point is these strategies are beyond the ability of many people and perhaps more so as we age.

There must be a better, that is, simpler way although I admit I don’t know what it is. Does anyone want to live in retirement knowing that to sustain their income at some point they may have to cut back on spending, perhaps even on core expenses? I doubt it. 

Dealing with inflation is hard enough. Dealing with the amount of income available is downright frightening.

I view this from the outside looking in, I don’t live off investments. I know the simplicity and calm of a steady income – plus investments accumulated in and out of retirement plans. 

We need to do a better job of integrating annuities into 401k plans. Today few employers offer them and fewer employees use them, but the law permits them, even attempts to encourage them by limiting employer liability.

Taking a chunk of money you saved and turning it over to an insurance company for the future, even your future, is not easy for sure, but what if that was not necessary? 

What if one option in a 401k could be used as a form of pension. The contributions gradually purchase an annuity over many years? The worker could see the annuity value growing each year. No major lump sum investment required. 

What if the employer match could be designated for an annuity? Needless to say this probably requires new types of annuities from insurers. 

Another possibility:

I once strongly disagreed with this, but I’m starting to think the retirement security answer for most Americans is greatly enhanced Social Security income – with taxes sufficient to keep it solvent indefinitely – a form of forced savings and a guaranteed annuity. We could require employers to pay more than 50% of the cost, especially those that don’t offer any retirement vehicle. 

Can the majority of workers plan and execute financing their retirement decades in the future? Individual responsibility sounds good, I often promote it, but I think the evidence is clear, most Americans are not, can not and will not do so.

Make no mistake, the HD community is not representative of the general population. Talk about the 4% rule, bond ladders, guard rails, Monte Carlo calculations even asset allocation, heck spreadsheets never mind SWRs with a friend and more often than not you will see a blank stare. 

Financial literacy and education need to be enhanced, but even that won’t do the job when living for today, immediate gratification and all else encouraging us to spend money now dominates our lives. 

Am I being too pessimistic? I hope not, but much of the research and surveys indicate otherwise. Where is the good news about retirement for the great majority of Americans? 

For decades we have not even been able to address the ongoing solvency of Social Security. Yet we expect average Americans to do better on their own. 

I think not😢

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BenefitJack
1 year ago

Yes, there is a better, simpler way to address retirement income needs.

You are correct that “the HD community is not representative of the general population. Talk about the 4% rule, bond ladders, guard rails, Monte Carlo calculations even asset allocation, heck spreadsheets never mind SWRs with a friend and more often than not you will see a blank stare.”

But, enhanced financial literacy won’t work. Here is what you are dealing with.

“… Across all age groups, … and fewer than a third (30 percent) get all three questions correct” See: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w17108/w17108.pdf

Nearly two decades ago, we corrected three of the four major issues in retirement savings via deployment of automatic features – (1) No access to a plan – IRAs available to all since 1982, and, 95+% of American workers are paid electronically, allowing for split paychecks, (2) Not saving – widespread automatic enrollment in 401k and IRAs (in some states), (3) Not saving enough – automatic increases, and (4) Leakage (which we haven’t solved as Congress keeps expanding pre-retirement withdrawal options).

So, the solution in decumulation/retirement income is to change the default from a lump sum to … I vote for deferred commencement of Social Security. See: https://401kspecialistmag.com/auto-everything-including-auto-decumulation/

For those who need additional guaranteed, inflation-indexed income in retirement, defer commencement of Social Security at least to Full Retirement Age, if not to age 70. 

Then, if that is not enough guaranteed, inflation indexed income, chances are that individuals should consider alternatives other than RMD.  

Margaret Fallon
1 year ago

Blackrock is working on turning part of 401ks into annuities for future retirees. Retirement income solutions for the next generation | BlackRock

bbbobbins
1 year ago

Wow that’s a triumph of marketing over substance. As far as I can make out it is the option to buy an annuity at a target date from a couple of prearranged insurers. Like you can do today.

This is a revolution indeed. Meaningless until an individual sees what the numbers look like for them.