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Artificial Intelligence and Payroll Tax

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AUTHOR: Dan Smith on 1/02/2026

I don’t know about your state, but in Ohio, if you drive a hybrid or electronic vehicle, expect to cough up between $100 and $200 extra for license plates, in order to offset the loss of gas tax revenue. Gas tax revenue helps keep our roads in good condition, so it’s only fair that vehicles using less gas, or no gas at all, do their part to maintain the roads.

Even before Henry Ford invented the assembly line, machines have been eliminating jobs. Today we have self service gas stations, self checkout lanes, spreadsheets, and Turbo Tax. All things that have cost people jobs. 

Now comes Artificial Intelligence (AI). AI is replacing workers. Workers, and their employers, pay a total of 12.4% into Social Security, and 2.9% into Medicare. Fewer workers means less income.

Currently, Social Security is funded by the payroll tax, interest earned from Treasury Bonds, and income tax paid on benefits. Should a tax on AI become a 4th source of income based on the jobs it eliminates? I truly don’t know.

Is it time to think outside the box when it comes to funding Social Security and Medicare? I can think of arguments both for and against. What’s your opinion?

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William Dorner
24 days ago

AI will change many, many things. Sure it will replace jobs, but then again it will increase jobs, and in my mind it will be different, but not so sure the human mind will go extinct. Unfortunately, I will not be around to experience it, 20 years from now, but my children and grands will. To my knowledge in all of time, there are more workers today than ever, so not so fast. The landscape will change, but not so sure anyone can predict the real future.

Nick Politakis
26 days ago

It’s not thinking outside the box but taxing carried interest as regular wages might be a start. Of course it will never happen because those private equity folks think they deserve a tax break.

Mark Crothers
26 days ago

I won’t comment on your Social Security issues, but if history repeats itself, the jobs won’t truly be lost—assuming AI delivers on its promises. Massive productivity gains typically create different employment opportunities rather than eliminating jobs altogether. We’ve seen this pattern before with previous technological shifts. Or maybe we can just sit back and let our new rulers, the AI overlords, sort the whole thing out 😉

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