Want to succeed financially? Control what you can and ignore what you can’t.
HOW DO YOU COMPETE in an investment contest when you’re a firm believer that investors can’t consistently beat the market averages? That was my dilemma several years ago.
A school not far from where I taught was given money by an alumnus to endow the St. Louis Area Collegiate Investment Contest. All colleges and universities in the area are invited to participate in the competition, which is held regularly. Each is given a hypothetical $1 million and asked to select 20 value stocks. An outside investment firm oversees the contest. They “invest” $50,000 in each of the 20 stocks. Whoever’s portfolio is worth the most two years later wins $10,000—real dollars, that is.
How do we select the 20 stocks for our entry? When I explain the contest to students, I also discuss the evidence that most investors don’t outperform the market. I suggest we could tape the stock pages of The Wall Street Journal to the wall and literally throw darts at it. Several students like this option.
But instead, I distribute Value Line’s current list of 100 stocks most likely to outperform the stock market over the next year. To focus on value stocks, I take these 100 stocks deemed most likely to outperform, circle the 40 or so companies with the lowest price-earnings ratios and ask students to select stocks from this list.
Value Line Investment Survey, which is often available at larger libraries, evaluates approximately 1,700 stocks. Value Line gives each stock a timeliness rating from one to five, indicating its belief that the stock will outperform the market over the next year. My initial list for the students draws on those stocks rated one for timeliness.
Rating Number of Stocks Meaning
1 100 Most likely to outperform
2 300
3 900
4 300
5 100 Least likely to outperform
Value Line has a full-page analysis of each of these 1,700 stocks. Each stock gets a full review every 13 weeks, which means each week it updates this detailed analysis for about 130 stocks. But each week, all 1,700 stocks are evaluated for timeliness.
Some 30 or 40 years ago, there were a few academic studies indicating that Value Line could outperform the market averages. I have seen no recent independent studies of Value Line. My guess is that any advantage Value Line might have had decades ago no longer exists.
While I don’t believe Value Line will outperform the market, it’s one way to narrow down the list of potential stocks. It’s definitely safer than letting college students throw darts in a classroom.
Six schools entered the first contest. We won, receiving $10,000 and an oversized check. I took the check to our next faculty meeting and bragged about our business students. Most faculty assumed I had superior stock-picking skills, and I did not disabuse them of that view. But in my heart, I firmly believed it was just luck.
Six years later, we won again. If six schools enter each year, we ought to win about every six years. I didn’t point out that obvious fact when I went to the faculty meeting with that oversized check.
The very next year, we won again. Did that indicate we had a winning method? No. If six schools enter, and if the winner is completely random, the chance of this year’s winner winning again next year is one out of six. While my method of picking stocks might be superior, I believe two wins in a row is simply a random occurrence.
Recently, the contest was modified. Instead of starting just once a year, it now starts every semester. The payoff for winning was reduced from $10,000 once a year to $5,000 each semester. The number of participating schools has dropped to just four or five, increasing our odds of winning each contest.
Although I'm now retired, our school continues to follow the above method. Over the years, we have won $35,000. We call it our slush fund. Our department has used that money for additional faculty enrichment opportunities, student awards, end-of-the-year catered dinners for graduates and their families, and a host of other good causes. Perhaps most important, our finance students have learned some important lessons about how the stock market works.
Larry Sayler is the only person with a Wharton MBA who also graduated from Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey’s Clown College. Earlier in his career, he served as CFO for three manufacturing and service organizations. For 16 years before his retirement, Larry taught accounting at a small Christian college in the Midwest. His brother Kenyon also writes for HumbleDollar. Check out Larry's earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]NO. 70: AS WE decide how much debt to take on and how much money to save, we should ask ourselves a key question: Will our future self be happy with the choices we make today?
NO. 67: MOST MUTUAL funds are sector bets. Funds often aim for style purity, sticking with just one stock or bond market niche. To gauge whether a fund is any good, compare it to others in the same category. But to build a diversified portfolio, buy just one or two funds from any given category—and diversify with funds from other categories.
NEGATIVE BONDS. When we buy bonds, we lend to others and receive interest in return. Borrowing can be seen as a negative bond: Others lend to us—and we pay them interest. Typically, the interest rate we pay on borrowed money is higher than the yield we can earn by buying bonds. The upshot: Paying down debt is often the smartest “bond” we can buy.
NO. 2: WE FOCUS on today—and shortchange tomorrow. Our nomadic ancestors didn’t worry about the long term. Instead, they focused on surviving today, which meant consuming as much as they could whenever they could. Those instincts live on within us, driving our spending, saving and investing behavior—and causing long-term financial damage.
NO. 70: AS WE decide how much debt to take on and how much money to save, we should ask ourselves a key question: Will our future self be happy with the choices we make today?
IN THE WORLD OF personal finance, there’s no shortage of formulas and frameworks for making financial decisions. But it’s also important, I think, to see these as guidelines rather than as rules. Consider the textbook view of money and happiness.
What the research says is that, all else being equal, we should opt to spend money on experiences rather than things. Let’s say the choice is between spending $1,000 on a new watch or on a weekend away.
I WAS 48 years old when the judgement was final and the papers were signed. My former wife and I split our net worth 50/50. There were no arguments over household items like furniture; I didn’t care about that stuff. Pam gladly accepted my proposal that she keep the house, and all its equity, in exchange for me keeping an offsetting amount of the IRAs and my 401(k), a very good move for my future self.
“DOES MONEY BUY happiness?” That’s one of the questions in HumbleDollar’s Forum section. I hesitate to say that happiness is a commodity we can buy. But studies—and many people’s personal experiences—suggest a lack of money can bring on unhappiness.
A recent paper, “Financial Stress and Depression in Adults” by researchers at the University of Birmingham in England, supports this conclusion. The researchers reviewed 40 studies examining the relationship between depression and financial stress,
WORD ON THE STREET is that, if you want to use money to make yourself happy, you should buy experiences rather than things.
In principle, I couldn’t agree more.
There is, however, one kind of experience that I see touted both in the media and on social media that I don’t think reflects money well spent: the expensive family vacation to a distant destination. This status-symbol experience, complete with selfies at ritzy hotels, is supposedly designed to create priceless memories.
AS A YOUNG ENGINEER at General Electric, I took a three-day class on career development. That class strongly influenced my thinking about my career—and my life. The class made use of a great little book by David P. Campbell called If You Don’t Know Where You’re Going, You’ll Probably Wind Up Somewhere Else.
The premise of the book is that life is a journey, not a destination. We should set some basic goals that help guide our journey,
WHEN OUR CHILDREN were little, we had season tickets to the Children’s Theatre in Minneapolis. We started taking our older child, and then brought his brother along when he was old enough to enjoy the show. We had tickets in the front row of the balcony.
Before my youngest son’s first show, he looked over the balcony railing at all of the people below. He asked why we were clear up here, when there were all of those people below us.
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ArticleLarry Sayler | Oct 31, 2023
HOW DO YOU COMPETE in an investment contest when you’re a firm believer that investors can’t consistently beat the market averages? That was my dilemma several years ago.
A school not far from where I taught was given money by an alumnus to endow the St. Louis Area Collegiate Investment Contest. All colleges and universities in the area are invited to participate in the competition, which is held regularly. Each is given a hypothetical $1 million and asked to select 20 value stocks. An outside investment firm oversees the contest. They “invest” $50,000 in each of the 20 stocks. Whoever’s portfolio is worth the most two years later wins $10,000—real dollars, that is.
How do we select the 20 stocks for our entry? When I explain the contest to students, I also discuss the evidence that most investors don’t outperform the market. I suggest we could tape the stock pages of The Wall Street Journal to the wall and literally throw darts at it. Several students like this option.
But instead, I distribute Value Line’s current list of 100 stocks most likely to outperform the stock market over the next year. To focus on value stocks, I take these 100 stocks deemed most likely to outperform, circle the 40 or so companies with the lowest price-earnings ratios and ask students to select stocks from this list.
Value Line Investment Survey, which is often available at larger libraries, evaluates approximately 1,700 stocks. Value Line gives each stock a timeliness rating from one to five, indicating its belief that the stock will outperform the market over the next year. My initial list for the students draws on those stocks rated one for timeliness.
Rating Number of Stocks Meaning
1 100 Most likely to outperform
2 300
3 900
4 300
5 100 Least likely to outperform
Value Line has a full-page analysis of each of these 1,700 stocks. Each stock gets a full review every 13 weeks, which means each week it updates this detailed analysis for about 130 stocks. But each week, all 1,700 stocks are evaluated for timeliness.
Some 30 or 40 years ago, there were a few academic studies indicating that Value Line could outperform the market averages. I have seen no recent independent studies of Value Line. My guess is that any advantage Value Line might have had decades ago no longer exists.
While I don’t believe Value Line will outperform the market, it’s one way to narrow down the list of potential stocks. It’s definitely safer than letting college students throw darts in a classroom.
Six schools entered the first contest. We won, receiving $10,000 and an oversized check. I took the check to our next faculty meeting and bragged about our business students. Most faculty assumed I had superior stock-picking skills, and I did not disabuse them of that view. But in my heart, I firmly believed it was just luck.
Six years later, we won again. If six schools enter each year, we ought to win about every six years. I didn’t point out that obvious fact when I went to the faculty meeting with that oversized check.
The very next year, we won again. Did that indicate we had a winning method? No. If six schools enter, and if the winner is completely random, the chance of this year’s winner winning again next year is one out of six. While my method of picking stocks might be superior, I believe two wins in a row is simply a random occurrence.
Recently, the contest was modified. Instead of starting just once a year, it now starts every semester. The payoff for winning was reduced from $10,000 once a year to $5,000 each semester. The number of participating schools has dropped to just four or five, increasing our odds of winning each contest.
Although I'm now retired, our school continues to follow the above method. Over the years, we have won $35,000. We call it our slush fund. Our department has used that money for additional faculty enrichment opportunities, student awards, end-of-the-year catered dinners for graduates and their families, and a host of other good causes. Perhaps most important, our finance students have learned some important lessons about how the stock market works.
Treasury Tax Reporting
ArticleBogdan Sheremeta | Mar 28, 2026
IF YOU HAVE a Money Market Fund (e.g. VUSXX, VMFXX), Treasury fund (e.g. SGOV), or any other Treasury ETF (e.g. VBIL), you need to know how to report it on your taxes correctly. If you don’t, you are overpaying on your state taxes unknowingly.
How and why?
These funds hold U.S. Treasury Bills. Treasuries are exempt from state and local taxes. Of course, this only matters if you hold these funds in a taxable brokerage account, which most people do.
The broker sends you a 1099-DIV form, but it’s your responsibility to figure out how to report it on your taxes correctly. By the way, bad tax preparers can miss this sometimes, or if you self-prepare, this may be something you aren't aware of (I hope most of you reading HumbleDollar are familiar with this!)
This is one of those areas where the reporting rules are technically simple, but the execution is where people mess up. The IRS gets their share regardless (since interest is fully taxable at the federal level), but if you don’t adjust properly, your state will too, even when it shouldn’t.
The 1099-DIV doesn’t break out how much of the dividend was allocated to Treasuries. The software also wouldn’t know how much based on the 1099-DIV. This means that you generally have to figure out how to report it (or ensure your CPA does it correctly).
Now, the 1099-DIV will have a breakdown of every single stock/ETF you have, but you have to find out the percentage of a fund that holds Treasuries.
This percentage is not on your brokerage statement. It comes directly from the fund provider (Vanguard, iShares, Schwab, etc), usually buried in their “tax center” or “year-end tax supplement” pages.
Let me give you an actual example.
Say, in 2025, you received $5,000 of dividends from two funds.
Then, if you scroll down, you will see a “Detail Information” of your dividends:
We can see that $2,456.78 came from Vanguard Federal Money Market fund.
The entire $2,456.78 will be taxed at the federal level, but how do we figure out what’s taxed at the state level?
This is where the extra step comes is.
During the end of the year, the fund manager (e.g Vanguard for VMFXX) will post a “US government source income information” on their Tax page.
This report tells you what portion of the fund’s income is derived from U.S. government obligations (Treasuries), which is the key to the state tax exemption.
We can see that 66.61% of VMFXX holdings for the 2025 tax year were income derived from the U.S. government and, therefore, are not taxable at the state level.
So, we would take $2,456.78 * 0.6661 = $1,636. Of the total, $1,636 is derived from U.S. obligations, and you would only pay state taxes on the remaining ~$819.
That $2,456.78 is still fully taxable federally. This is strictly a state adjustment.
It’s also important to note that some states say "if less than 50% of the fund is from the U.S. government (like Treasury Bills), you can treat it as 0%.”
For example, California, Connecticut, and New York are some of these states. So, if the fund has only 35% coming from the Treasury, you shouldn’t even calculate the exempt amount for these states.
Now, if you buy Treasuries directly from TreasuryDirect, they will send you a 1099-INT, and you can just enter that information directly into the tax software. No extra calculations are needed. That’s because the income is already clearly identified as U.S. government interest, no allocation required.
So, how do you report that dividend interest calculation?
In most tax softwares, after entering the 1099-DIV, it will ask: "Did a portion of dividends came from a U.S. Government interest?'
So, you would just check it off/select and enter the amount from Treasuries ($1,636 in our example).
Behind the scenes, this flows into your state return as a subtraction or adjustment, depending on the state.
Some software might ask for the percentage of dividends that are state tax exempt. However, this is a bit tricky because you might receive other dividends in your brokerage account.
In that case, calculate the amount from the Treasury, say $1,636, and divide it by your total dividend amount (e.g. $5,000)
If you have someone do your taxes and you have some of these Money Market Funds or other Treasury ETFs, double-check your state tax return and see the amounts reported. This will save you some money. It's also not too late to amend your tax return if this was missed.
Specifically, look for a “U.S. government interest subtraction” or similarly labeled line item on your state return. If it’s zero and you held these funds, that’s a red flag.
If you live in a no tax state, this would not apply to you, but still good to know in case you move!
I hope you found this one valuable.
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