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Longevity is your greatest risk in retirement. Keep that in mind when you are thirty

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AUTHOR: R Quinn on 6/22/2024

One of my relatives lived on a pension of $23 a month. Of course that was his military pension in 1866. That’s $491 in 2024 – that’s poverty level for sure. 

In retirement I do a great deal of reading, listening to and viewing opinions and strategies about retirement. Having managed pension and 401k plans for decades, I can’t let go. 

One thing I know for sure, views about retirement are as diverse as each individual. There is no standard, no right way.  The only constant seems to the having sufficient income, but that too has many definitions. 

Even the money aspect of retirement has nothing close to a standard. It’s accumulated in different ways and certainly used in different ways. How and when to pay taxes adds another dimension. Retiring before age 65? Put health insurance on your list of projects. 

Even with all the variables, many experts and hundreds of software tools stand ready to help each of us.  No matter though, the key is in the assumptions- which must be accurate for decades into the future- likely as accurate as projecting the cost of new government legislation over ten years.

Retirement used to be simple. You worked to age 65, hung around a few years and died. Or, you never stopped working. Many retirees lived with multi-generational families, barely half of Americans ever had a pension. 

According to the Social Security Administration the life expectancy at age 65 in 1940 was 12.7. In the same year there were 3.9 million Americans age 65 or older. Today there are nearly 56 million while life expectancy at age 65 has grown to 19.8 years.

Now the golden years require more gold. Ask the experts and you will find the greatest risk in retirement is longevity. 

The way I see it there is no life style before and after retirement, but one long journey where the early years must be lived with the later years always a consideration. 

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Laurianne Falcone
6 months ago

Lots of food for thought here. I often question if there was a way to find out exactly how old I’ll be when I die, would I want to know? Great for planning purposes but psychologically not so much.

Jack Hannam
6 months ago

Same here.

Jack Hannam
6 months ago

Longevity is a blessing…and a curse. It seems prudent that retirees who are in relatively good health for age plan for the possibility of living to a ripe old age. Many may be discouraged by the math, which reveals the need for a lower withdrawal rate and or a larger nest egg. If at least one of us lives to 100, we will be prepared. And if we do not, a larger estate will be left for our loved ones and charity. I consider this to be a “margin of safety”.

Rick Connor
6 months ago
Reply to  Jack Hannam

i’m a big fan of “margins of safety”.

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