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Would You Vote Against Your Own 500% Gain?

Goodness. A trillion dollars—$1,000,000,000,000.00 That’s a massive potential compensation package and an awful lot of zeros. I guess if you’re already worth 400 billion, you might as well take a leap of faith and shoot for the stars. I really doubt Elon Musk will hit all the numbers to unlock the full amount. The sales and profit targets seem very ambitious, maybe even beyond Musk’s ability to achieve.

Although I personally think the possible compensation package is an obscene amount of money, I’ve actually got my fingers crossed for the guy. I hope he threads the needle and scales the performance peaks required to get his grubby mitts on the dollars.

Uncomfortable as my hopes for Musk make me feel, the simple fact of the matter is this: if he achieves the near-pipedream hopes of Tesla’s board, my current holding in the business will inflate in value by an estimated 500%. That’s a tidy sum of money. Get to it, Elon—my bank balance is rooting for you even if my mind is morally uncomfortable with the amounts.

Capitalism is a sneaky little monster, worming its way into my retirement accounts. Unfortunately, I find myself aligned with its goals and aims for Mr. Musk. Some circles are harder to square than others with deep moral and ethical considerations, and to my mind, this one is a real doozy.

I’m invested through an index fund, which means Vanguard voted on my behalf—almost certainly for the package. I think I would have voted against it if my vote had actually counted, even knowing it might cost me that 500% gain. What would you have done?

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David Powell
11 months ago

Putting aside my personal feelings about that man, if I had free cash to burn right now I’d short TSLA. The pay package is a symptom of insanely poor governance. Revenue is dropping and I do not see shareholder value to match the risk.

I’ve driven EVs for more than a decade. We own two Teslas, a 3 and a Y and they are superb cars for their day (despite the horrible body panel quality). Tesla broke new ground in many areas. But I’m very unlikely to buy another when the wheels fall off these.

David Lancaster
11 months ago
Reply to  David Powell

“The pay package is a symptom of insanely poor governance.”

My understanding is the board is a version of the friends and family plan. Only these people qualify to be on it.

Last edited 11 months ago by David Lancaster
greg_j_tomamichel
11 months ago

Putting aside the moral issues around Musk and Tesla, the valuation leaves me …. puzzled. Current P/E is 287. If we assume that as a “mature” company the P/E might get to around 30, AND the valuation is going to increase five fold, that would mean earnings would need to be 48 times what they are today.

To me, investing in Tesla is only for the true believers, both morally and financially.

DAN SMITH
11 months ago