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A taxing situation, but is it reality?

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AUTHOR: R Quinn on 7/10/2026

Many American’s perception of the taxes they pay is seriously distorted. Many seem to believe that withholding from their pay is the taxes they actually pay or that taxes due at year end reflect higher taxes rather than likely under withholding.

A major misunderstanding is that the tax bracket they are in represents their real tax rate. I know taxes are complicated, but not that complicated. 

I conducted a simple exercise. Using several AI tools I calculate the 2026 federal income tax for a household with two young children earning the US median income.

  • Married filing jointly
  • Two children who qualify for the full Child Tax Credit
  • Taking the standard deduction
  • Only wage income (no capital gains or other special income)
  • No itemized deductions or other tax credits

I used $82,500 household income. The estimated federal income tax owed was about $1,200 or an effective tax rate of 1.454%

I bet if you asked someone at that income level their perception of income taxes would not match the reality. 

Sure it’s just one example, but the United States has one of the lowest overall tax burdens among developed (OECD) countries, typically ranking near the bottom—around 31st–32nd out of 38 OECD members—when measured by total tax revenue as a percentage of GDP. Most countries use a VAT in addition to income taxes. 

Given the fiscal state of the Country, one could make a logical argument for higher taxes-but I wouldn’t suggest it, most people feel they pay too much already. 

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Mike inLA
22 days ago

Good example, Mr. Q., and good to give perspective on the tax system. And no doubt but that there are taxpayers in the situation you described. But tweak it slightly – single person instead of a family, married couple with two salaries and no kids – and the tax burden gets considerably higher. Open question about which is more representative of the country. And I’d politely suggest that HD readers are in a different situation / stage of life too. But the main point that federal income tax is reasonably low (as compared to other nations) holds true.

Mike inLA
21 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

Yup, there ain’t any free. The sales tax / VAT in the UK is 20% on most things (other than food and children’s clothing). Tell an American that they have to pay that much and loads of tea go into the harbor. . . .

Shawn Fouhy
21 days ago
Reply to  Mike inLA

The tea in the harbor was actually in protest to a tax DECREASE

Mike inLA
21 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

That gets us back to your main point (here and in other articles). The US has a progressive tax and health care system – mostly. Tax rates increase with income. Medicare costs increase with income / wealth withdrawals from retirement accounts. We don’t have great healthcare options for younger people who aren’t covered by work-sponsored insurance or who qualify for an assistance program of some sort.

If this was the result of a reasoned policy debate or election results, we’d say that’s our choice v. Europe’s choice. Sadly, the general sense from HD readers is that our tax / health system has been cobbled together over years without much thought. We just deal with the results.

Ormode
22 days ago

The US is very tricky because of state and local taxes. Sales tax, property tax, state income tax – they all add up.

Peter J.
22 days ago

There are a few more taxes.

  • Payroll (FICA & Medicare)
  • State (thankfully with a few exceptions)
  • Property
  • Sales

It is disingenuous to premise an article on low taxes without the full consideration.

Dunn Werking
23 days ago

Somehow I don’t think the HD community writ large, is part of the less informed segment of the electorate you describe.
That said, a version of the last sentence in your article could read something like:

Given the fiscal state of the country, one could make a logical argument for eliminating waste, fraud, and abuse before discussing higher taxes—but I wouldn’t suggest it; that would require government to solve the spending problem before asking taxpayers to solve the revenue problem”

Dunn Werking
22 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

Dick, not sure if you were trying to be funny with this response. I did get a good laugh so well done if so. If not, you countered your own argument in your second sentence when you cite the spending levels. Makes Costco spending look pretty good eh?
Now pile on the waste, fraud, abuse and let’s add ineptitude for good measure at the state and municipal levels….well, nothing else needs to be said here.

Dunn Werking
21 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

When you say “there is no more inefficiency in government than in any large organization” that clarifies where you are coming from.
We’ll just have to disagree.
If the average corporation in America was run like a government entity, we’d all be in the poor house and have no appreciable wealth from the capital markets.
It comes down not to the workers being any different, they are all human. The fault rests where it always does: bad management. There is not enough energy, intellect or integrity being put into efficiency or accountability in government. Low government management standards (all levels) to prevent waste and fraud etc. are NOT widely accepted in the private sector, full stop. There is more natural economic accountability for poorly run corporations and their executives over time. Some state level incompetence may arguably rival the Federal level these days. That waste adds up for average citizens bearing the tax burdens in aggregate.
The government (at any level) can’t tax its way out of this morass.

Dunn Werking
21 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

I would have to agree that in my experience with Medicare some years ago on my parent’s behalf, I found it surprisingly easy to deal with. On a more limited basis same with Social Security for them.
That does not automatically make them efficient by default however in order to provide that level of service.
All that said, your article is not about Social Security or Medicare, it is about taxes and only one (federal) portion of the broader tax load picture at that. When you focus an article on taxes, all aspects of government efficiency with the public’s funds are fair game when contemplating more taxes. S.S. and Medicare are but two pixels in a much broader picture of morbid mediocrity.

Reference corporations: you highlight two positives: 1) the ability to right size private sector organizations to changing business conditions or enhanced technology or LEAN based efficiencies (or maybe correct inefficiency that set in through poor management and needs to be cleaned up) ….without having to go to the Supreme Court to do it. 2) For businesses that fail due to inefficiency or not evolving fast enough, natural selection culls the herd- healthy for the overall economy. Not so with government agencies…..unfortunately- unhealthy for the overall economy.

David Mulligan
23 days ago

My spreadsheet shows that our combined federal and state taxes last year (not counting property taxes) was 15.12% of our W-2 wages and only 12.02% of gross wages.

Last edited 23 days ago by David Mulligan
tooqk4u22
23 days ago

I always wonder what the “True” tax comparison is to other countries. Sure our federal may be lower (you happen to cherry pick a almost the best case lowest income scenario BTW – i.e. take the kids out of the equation and its $5600 or $9600 of single – still low in isolation) but there is a lot more than federal tax, there is also state, sometimes local, and FICA (7.65% each for employer/employee).

Honestly, I would also say that health care should be factored into the equation even though it is not a tax in the US but must be paid for where it is more socialized in other countries and is basically a transfer payment.

We may not have VAT but there is sales tax in most states.

Looking at the 2025 OECD report is interesting US tax is at 25.6% of GDP vs OECD avg of 34.1% so this would suggest US has lower taxes, although US also has a more dynamic and growing GDP so….

But on the basis of total taxes collected and where they come from, it is not so clear…..

Taxes on individual income accounts for 40% of all US tax revenue vs. 23.7% for OECD avg.

Property taxes in US are 11.3% vs 5.1% for OECD avg.

US is more favorable for corp taxes at 8.6% of tax receipts vs. 11.3% for OECD.

To the point of VAT, that accounts for 20.5% (0 for US) of all taxes collected but other consumption taxes are 16.6% for US vs 10.8% for OECD so that offsets a bit of the VAT.

It is probably rather difficult to do a true apples to apples but to use a lowest tax example, and only a single tax of many, to extrapolate across the board is misleading or lazy analysis.

tooqk4u22
20 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

Well, I think I answered that in my comment….it depends how you look at it. If federal income taxes were the only taxes paid then maybe it would be.

You started with “Many American’s perception of the taxes they pay is seriously distorted” and I somewhat agree with that. But then you did the math to find the lowest possible outcome and then introduced the concept of comparing to other OECD nations. I provided some counterpoint that basically equates to “Its not that simple!”

In isolation, that could be like comparing NJ (a state that loves being near the top of the list for taxes) to Delaware (a state that is perceived to be a tax-free or low-tax nirvana – closer but not really).

NJ all in individual tax burden is 9.52% vs DE of 6.28% but the weird thing is that DE income tax burden of 3.62% (4th highest in country) is higher than NJ’s 2.42% (22nd) and I will bet that NJ residents will say they pay more income tax than anyone.

It is about TOTAL taxes paid because there are so many of them to skin the cat.

Last edited 20 days ago by tooqk4u22
Dan Smith
23 days ago
Reply to  tooqk4u22

I wouldn’t begin to know how to do an apples to apples comparison. One way or another, every service provided by any government has to be paid for. In the case of the US, that includes about $39,000,000,000,000 of borrowed money.
Just speaking for me, excluding Social Security and Medicare, because they have separate taxes, do I think that we pay enough income tax to cover our share of the cost of national defense, interest on the debt, veterans services, infrastructure, education, and everything else? No way. Actually, most of the income tax we do pay goes towards funding Social Security.

Last edited 23 days ago by Dan Smith
tooqk4u22
20 days ago
Reply to  Dan Smith

There are two sides to the coin – taxes AND spending. We might not be taxed enough OR we might be spending too much!

Dan Smith
22 days ago
Reply to  R Quinn

The other link is that the income tax paid on SS benefits goes into the SS Trust! But that was by design to shore up the trust years ago.

That is what I was referring to.

Last edited 22 days ago by Dan Smith
Dan Smith
23 days ago

100%, Dick. I tried to illustrate your point in my post (https://humbledollar.com/forum/taxes-and-you/). Using numbers from actual tax returns, the taxes were so low, that some readers questioned the accuracy of the  returns. 
The most important line on Form 1040 is not 34 or 37, total refund or amount due. It’s line 24, your total tax.

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