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Giving away money can be a great pleasure. Just make sure you don’t need it back.

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Security risk with CoPilot+ PC

"I still can get 1 more year of security updates for my existing Windows 10 with the Extended Security Update (ESU) beyond October 2025. Let the Windows 11 early adopters work out the complexities. Procrastinators, unite and enjoy the show!"
- quan nguyen
Read more »

The Monthly Payment Trap: How Car Dealerships Hide the Real Cost

"If I couldn't find a car that I wanted on the dealer lots, what would be the best way to go about ordering one? Would that be a recipe for disaster?"
- Mom & Dad Schneider
Read more »

27 Months

"A true sense of security?"
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

Fifty-seven years and counting and it’s snowing…again.

"Dick and Connie, happy belated anniversary. We have been out of town, so I didn’t see this until today. Happy for you both and we hope to make 57 years also. Chris"
- baldscreen
Read more »

Calculating the Maximum Income While Staying in the 12% Tax Bracket

"Or if you're in the 12% income bracket and happen to push more qualified dividends or capital gains into the 15% bracket, it would be (12%+15%)*1.06=28.62%."
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

$92,000 a year is quite an investment. The ROI is real, but maybe not.

"You're close on this. College costs, housing costs, and healthcare costs are related in that government subsidies and/or restrictions on supply in some form or other drive inflation for these goods."
- Adam Starry
Read more »

Would You Raid the Piggy Bank or Mortgage the House?

"I think the popular scenarios that recommend say "3 years of living expenses in cash" to avoid selling equities during a serious downturn are unrealistic. Anyone who is near to retirement has experience that contradicts that. The double bottom SP500 crash from 3/2000 to 2011 lasted over ten years ( with reinvested dividends longer without). the 1929 crash took decades to fully recover. You need enough cash to not be forced to sell into a down market. There are tops where the market may makes it back to it's previous peak but then crashes again. This danger is particularly acute early in retirement. A HELO or a second mortgage might be a worse than the alternative alternative but best thing is to look carefully at essential expenses and permanent source of income and keep enough in cash so you can sleep at night."
- Concerned
Read more »

Interest Rates Battle

EARLIER THIS WEEK, the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee met and decided to lower interest rates by a quarter-point. This immediately sparked a war of words. At a press conference, Fed chair Jerome Powell took a swipe at the White House, blaming the president’s new tariff policies for an uptick in inflation. President Trump wasted no time in responding. All year, he has been lobbying Fed officials to move rates lower. And while they have been taking steps in that direction, the pace has been incremental, frustrating the president. Powell is “a stiff,” Trump said on Wednesday. “Our rate should be much lower.” This is just the latest chapter in a long-running feud. Trump first appointed Powell to the Fed during his first term but grew frustrated with him after a short time. As far back as 2019, Trump was chiding Powell online, calling him a “bonehead” at one point.  In 2022, the Biden administration reappointed Powell for a second term, with the result that the Trump-Powell feud continues today. Why would the White House prefer to see rates lowered? In short, lower rates make life more affordable for everyone. They make mortgages cheaper, along with car loans and credit cards. Lower rates also make it less expensive for businesses to borrow. Thus, from a political perspective, lower rates are almost always popular.  The challenge for the president, though, is that he has only indirect control over the Federal Reserve. The Fed is technically an independent entity and not part of the executive branch, though the president does have the authority to appoint members to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which makes rate-setting decisions. The president also appoints the chair of that committee. But as with all appointees, there’s never a guarantee which way committee members will go once they’ve been appointed. And their terms are staggered, meaning the president can’t easily make changes. Earlier this year, in fact, the president explored the idea of firing Powell but found that his hands were tied. That helps explain the ongoing war of words. In addition to making purchases cheaper for consumers, lower interest rates are also positive for the stock market. Why? According to finance theory, the value of a company should equal the sum of all of its future profits. But future profits have to be adjusted for the time value of money—the idea that a dollar next year is worth less than a dollar today. When interest rates are lower, future profits are discounted less. All things being equal, that translates to higher stock prices. That’s another reason the White House would like to see the Fed take quicker action. If lower rates carry so many benefits, why isn’t the Fed moving more quickly? That brings us to what’s known as the “dual mandate.” In its role setting rates, the Fed is responsible, on the one hand, for maintaining full employment. Lower rates help in that regard. At the same time, the other side of the Fed’s dual mandate requires it to manage inflation. Economists talk about the risk of the economy “overheating,” and that’s Powell’s key concern. Especially after seeing prices spike nearly 10% in the wake of the pandemic, the Fed wants to avoid a repeat of that unpleasant experience. Higher rates help keep inflation in check. The Fed’s job, in other words, is to strike a delicate balance between rates that are too high and too low. This ends up being a tricky task, and for that reason, presidents have often tangled with their counterparts at the Fed. In the 1830s, prior to the creation of the Federal Reserve, there was an entity known as the Second Bank of the United States. It was the closest thing to a central bank at the time. But President Andrew Jackson had bitter conflict with the leaders of the Second Bank. He ultimately revoked its charter and had it shut down. That’s why the United States lacked a central bank for decades, until the Fed was created. But almost as soon as the Fed was created in 1913, conflict with successive White Houses resumed.  In the 1950s, the Fed, under chair William McChesney Martin, was moving more slowly than President Truman had wanted, leading him to brand Fed officials “a bunch of cowards.”  Martin stood his ground though. In a speech that same year, he explained that the Fed’s role was akin to that of a chaperone who is obligated to “take away the punch bowl” before things got out of hand. Martin, in fact, is credited with coining that term. From Truman’s point of view, though, lower rates would have served a larger national purpose. In the wake of World War II, the government was saddled with a historically high level of debt. Truman’s hope was that if the Fed lowered borrowing costs, it would help the government work down its debt load more quickly. It was for that reason that Truman also excoriated Martin as a “traitor.” This tension very much mirrors the situation today. Since Covid, the federal government has been running dramatically higher deficits. This year, the federal government will bring in about $5 trillion but spend $7 trillion. Each year that deficits like this persist cause the government’s total debt load to grow. That, in turn, causes interest expenses to consume more and more of the budget. This year, interest will top $1 trillion, equal to one-seventh of all spending. Just as in Truman’s day, this is another reason today’s White House would like to see rates lower. Lyndon Johnson also butted heads with Fed chair Martin, at one point summoning him to his Texas ranch to press his case. Martin had wanted to keep rates higher because he feared that spending for Johnson’s Great Society would be inflationary. A frustrated Johnson reportedly shoved Martin against a wall and bellowed at him. Johnson also asked his attorney general if he could fire Martin but was advised that he couldn’t legitimately remove him. The debate about the Fed goes beyond the question of higher rates vs. lower rates. More fundamentally, the debate today is about the Fed’s overall role. In recent decades, the Fed has taken on the role of serving as lender of last resort during crises. In 2008, it helped stabilize banks by giving them cash in exchange for wobbly assets on their balance sheets. During Covid, the Fed dramatically expanded on its 2008 playbook. You may recall, for example, the stimulus checks and other payments the government issued. Those programs cost trillions. They were financed by the Federal Reserve, which has the unique ability to create dollars essentially out of thin air. The Fed has also stepped in to help various other crises over the years.  In light of this history, most people today see the Fed’s expanded role as a good thing. But not everyone agrees. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent recently published an opinion piece in which he criticized the Fed for taking its lender-of-last-resort playbook too far, flooding the economy with too much easy money for too many years. In Bessent’s view, this has contributed to widening wealth inequality. “The Fed must change course,” he wrote in September, and he is working to do what he can from the outside. Where does all this leave individual investors? Recently, I outlined ways an individual investor could build a portfolio of bonds to manage market risk. As this debate over the Fed reminds us, another reason to diversify is to protect against potential public policy changes that could affect the bond market. As investor and author Howard Marks often says, “we can’t predict, but we can prepare.”   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Scams part 2

"The Washington Post link provided enough headline to be able to search the internet for the article without providing an email address. Many sources came up, but this one allowed me to read it, although no comments provided. https://dnyuz.com/2025/12/12/it-wasnt-hard-to-hijack-transunion-credit-reports-i-did-it-to-myself/"
- Olin
Read more »

Which bond fund?

"Kathy, I really enjoyed this article and the discussion by everyone. Can you comment on your decision(s) for your mix of active and passive bond funds mentioned in the opening and in later comments? Thank you!"
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Tech Part II: How to buy a printer/scanner, accessories and more

"I've had great luck with my B&W laser all-in-one. For the scanner function, I use the NAPS2 scanning software: NAPS2 - Scan documents to PDF and more It's a free download and I've found it very simple and easy to use."
- Andrew Forsythe
Read more »

Overtime and Tips Deduction

THE IRS JUST provided some guidance on how the tips and overtime deductions will work. I wanted to spend a few minutes going over the details so that you can learn how it would be reported on your taxes and share this with friends and family. Overtime As a reminder, the OBBBA created Section 225, which allows you to deduct qualified overtime compensation. This deduction is capped at $12,500 per return ($25,000 for joint filers) and is subject to a phaseout based on modified adjusted gross income. The phaseout begins when MAGI exceeds $150,000 for single filers and $300,000 for joint filers. In order to qualify for the overtime deduction, it must, among other requirements, be paid to an individual who is both covered by and not exempt from the FLSA (also called an FLSA-eligible employee). Note that some FLSA-ineligible employees can be eligible for overtime under state law or paid premium rates for certain work (e.g. 2x rate on the weekends). However, the compensation paid to FLSA-ineligible employees is not qualified compensation for the purposes of this deduction. Here's the tricky part: employers aren't required to account for qualified overtime compensation in 2025. They aren't required to provide this information in Box 14 of Form W-2. They could, but they don't have to. They will for future years, though. This means that you must make a reasonable effort to determine: • Whether you are considered an FLSA-eligible employee (ask your HR/employer). If you aren't, you can't take the deduction. • Figure out the amount you can actually deduct if your employer doesn't populate Box 14 of Form W-2. Let's go over some examples:
  1. You log into your payroll portal and it shows $5,000 for the entire year as the "FLSA Overtime Premium" (don't confuse FLSA overtime premium with regular overtime; refer to example #2 for regular). You can use the entire $5,000 as the deduction.
  2. You log into your payroll portal and it shows "Total Overtime" for the year of $15,000, which is the FLSA overtime premium combined with your regular wages. You can then divide the amount by 3, and $5,000 will be your deduction. This is because the regular wages (the 1x amount) aren't part of the overtime deduction, and only the amount that exceeds your regular wage (the 0.5x amount) is counted for the purposes of overtime.
  3. You log into your payroll portal and it shows "Total Overtime" for the year of $20,000, but you get paid 2x the rate and not the standard 1.5x. In this case, you can divide the amount by 4, and your overtime amount is $5,000.
Overall, I'm sure a lot of people will make mistakes trying to figure out the overtime amounts... The big thing to understand is the the overtime compensation deduction is just the 0.5x portion of the 1.5x rate, not the full 1.5x rate (hence why you divide by 3 in example #2)    Tips Section 224 allows you to deduct qualified tips received during the taxable year and included on a statement furnished to you (a Form W-2) or reported using Form 4137. The deduction is capped at $25,000 per year and is subject to an income-based phaseout. The $25,000 deduction phases out for taxpayers with MAGI over $150,000 ($300,000 for joint filers). Modified adjusted gross income equals adjusted gross income (AGI) plus any amounts excluded under Sections 911, 931, or 933. For most people, MAGI equals AGI. Section 224(d)(1) defines "qualified tips" as tips received by an individual in an occupation that customarily and regularly received tips on or before December 31, 2024. Sorry, CPAs.. you can't get tipped $1,000 for that tax return you prepared. The Treasury provided a list of qualifying occupations (page 18 and onward). Tips are also only qualified if they are received voluntarily, without any consequence in the event of nonpayment. Here are some examples:
  1. You are a server. Form W-2, Box 7, shows $20,000 of Social Security tips. You also didn't report any additional cash tips on Form 4137. $20,000 can be used in determining the qualified tips for 2025.
  2. You are a server. Form W-2, Box 7, shows $15,000 of Social Security tips. You also reported $4,000 of unreported tips on Form 4137. The total qualified tips are $19,000.
  3. You are a self-employed travel guide who received $5,000 in tips from customers. You also received a Form 1099-K from an online booking platform showing $50,000 of payments. The Form 1099-K didn't separately show the tips, but you keep a daily tip log showing the amount, date, and customer. You can use $5,000 in determining the qualified tips for 2025. Just keep the receipts and logs in this case.
For both the overtime and tips deductions, make sure you have proof of how you've determined the amounts eligible for these deductions. Keep your W-2, payroll statements, forms, etc. They may come in handy if the IRS starts asking questions. For the 2026 tax year, filed in 2027, it should be much simpler, especially for the overtime deduction, as employers will be required to provide OBBBA amounts on Form W-2.   Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.
Read more »

Security risk with CoPilot+ PC

"I still can get 1 more year of security updates for my existing Windows 10 with the Extended Security Update (ESU) beyond October 2025. Let the Windows 11 early adopters work out the complexities. Procrastinators, unite and enjoy the show!"
- quan nguyen
Read more »

The Monthly Payment Trap: How Car Dealerships Hide the Real Cost

"If I couldn't find a car that I wanted on the dealer lots, what would be the best way to go about ordering one? Would that be a recipe for disaster?"
- Mom & Dad Schneider
Read more »

27 Months

"A true sense of security?"
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

Fifty-seven years and counting and it’s snowing…again.

"Dick and Connie, happy belated anniversary. We have been out of town, so I didn’t see this until today. Happy for you both and we hope to make 57 years also. Chris"
- baldscreen
Read more »

Calculating the Maximum Income While Staying in the 12% Tax Bracket

"Or if you're in the 12% income bracket and happen to push more qualified dividends or capital gains into the 15% bracket, it would be (12%+15%)*1.06=28.62%."
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

$92,000 a year is quite an investment. The ROI is real, but maybe not.

"You're close on this. College costs, housing costs, and healthcare costs are related in that government subsidies and/or restrictions on supply in some form or other drive inflation for these goods."
- Adam Starry
Read more »

Would You Raid the Piggy Bank or Mortgage the House?

"I think the popular scenarios that recommend say "3 years of living expenses in cash" to avoid selling equities during a serious downturn are unrealistic. Anyone who is near to retirement has experience that contradicts that. The double bottom SP500 crash from 3/2000 to 2011 lasted over ten years ( with reinvested dividends longer without). the 1929 crash took decades to fully recover. You need enough cash to not be forced to sell into a down market. There are tops where the market may makes it back to it's previous peak but then crashes again. This danger is particularly acute early in retirement. A HELO or a second mortgage might be a worse than the alternative alternative but best thing is to look carefully at essential expenses and permanent source of income and keep enough in cash so you can sleep at night."
- Concerned
Read more »

Interest Rates Battle

EARLIER THIS WEEK, the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee met and decided to lower interest rates by a quarter-point. This immediately sparked a war of words. At a press conference, Fed chair Jerome Powell took a swipe at the White House, blaming the president’s new tariff policies for an uptick in inflation. President Trump wasted no time in responding. All year, he has been lobbying Fed officials to move rates lower. And while they have been taking steps in that direction, the pace has been incremental, frustrating the president. Powell is “a stiff,” Trump said on Wednesday. “Our rate should be much lower.” This is just the latest chapter in a long-running feud. Trump first appointed Powell to the Fed during his first term but grew frustrated with him after a short time. As far back as 2019, Trump was chiding Powell online, calling him a “bonehead” at one point.  In 2022, the Biden administration reappointed Powell for a second term, with the result that the Trump-Powell feud continues today. Why would the White House prefer to see rates lowered? In short, lower rates make life more affordable for everyone. They make mortgages cheaper, along with car loans and credit cards. Lower rates also make it less expensive for businesses to borrow. Thus, from a political perspective, lower rates are almost always popular.  The challenge for the president, though, is that he has only indirect control over the Federal Reserve. The Fed is technically an independent entity and not part of the executive branch, though the president does have the authority to appoint members to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which makes rate-setting decisions. The president also appoints the chair of that committee. But as with all appointees, there’s never a guarantee which way committee members will go once they’ve been appointed. And their terms are staggered, meaning the president can’t easily make changes. Earlier this year, in fact, the president explored the idea of firing Powell but found that his hands were tied. That helps explain the ongoing war of words. In addition to making purchases cheaper for consumers, lower interest rates are also positive for the stock market. Why? According to finance theory, the value of a company should equal the sum of all of its future profits. But future profits have to be adjusted for the time value of money—the idea that a dollar next year is worth less than a dollar today. When interest rates are lower, future profits are discounted less. All things being equal, that translates to higher stock prices. That’s another reason the White House would like to see the Fed take quicker action. If lower rates carry so many benefits, why isn’t the Fed moving more quickly? That brings us to what’s known as the “dual mandate.” In its role setting rates, the Fed is responsible, on the one hand, for maintaining full employment. Lower rates help in that regard. At the same time, the other side of the Fed’s dual mandate requires it to manage inflation. Economists talk about the risk of the economy “overheating,” and that’s Powell’s key concern. Especially after seeing prices spike nearly 10% in the wake of the pandemic, the Fed wants to avoid a repeat of that unpleasant experience. Higher rates help keep inflation in check. The Fed’s job, in other words, is to strike a delicate balance between rates that are too high and too low. This ends up being a tricky task, and for that reason, presidents have often tangled with their counterparts at the Fed. In the 1830s, prior to the creation of the Federal Reserve, there was an entity known as the Second Bank of the United States. It was the closest thing to a central bank at the time. But President Andrew Jackson had bitter conflict with the leaders of the Second Bank. He ultimately revoked its charter and had it shut down. That’s why the United States lacked a central bank for decades, until the Fed was created. But almost as soon as the Fed was created in 1913, conflict with successive White Houses resumed.  In the 1950s, the Fed, under chair William McChesney Martin, was moving more slowly than President Truman had wanted, leading him to brand Fed officials “a bunch of cowards.”  Martin stood his ground though. In a speech that same year, he explained that the Fed’s role was akin to that of a chaperone who is obligated to “take away the punch bowl” before things got out of hand. Martin, in fact, is credited with coining that term. From Truman’s point of view, though, lower rates would have served a larger national purpose. In the wake of World War II, the government was saddled with a historically high level of debt. Truman’s hope was that if the Fed lowered borrowing costs, it would help the government work down its debt load more quickly. It was for that reason that Truman also excoriated Martin as a “traitor.” This tension very much mirrors the situation today. Since Covid, the federal government has been running dramatically higher deficits. This year, the federal government will bring in about $5 trillion but spend $7 trillion. Each year that deficits like this persist cause the government’s total debt load to grow. That, in turn, causes interest expenses to consume more and more of the budget. This year, interest will top $1 trillion, equal to one-seventh of all spending. Just as in Truman’s day, this is another reason today’s White House would like to see rates lower. Lyndon Johnson also butted heads with Fed chair Martin, at one point summoning him to his Texas ranch to press his case. Martin had wanted to keep rates higher because he feared that spending for Johnson’s Great Society would be inflationary. A frustrated Johnson reportedly shoved Martin against a wall and bellowed at him. Johnson also asked his attorney general if he could fire Martin but was advised that he couldn’t legitimately remove him. The debate about the Fed goes beyond the question of higher rates vs. lower rates. More fundamentally, the debate today is about the Fed’s overall role. In recent decades, the Fed has taken on the role of serving as lender of last resort during crises. In 2008, it helped stabilize banks by giving them cash in exchange for wobbly assets on their balance sheets. During Covid, the Fed dramatically expanded on its 2008 playbook. You may recall, for example, the stimulus checks and other payments the government issued. Those programs cost trillions. They were financed by the Federal Reserve, which has the unique ability to create dollars essentially out of thin air. The Fed has also stepped in to help various other crises over the years.  In light of this history, most people today see the Fed’s expanded role as a good thing. But not everyone agrees. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent recently published an opinion piece in which he criticized the Fed for taking its lender-of-last-resort playbook too far, flooding the economy with too much easy money for too many years. In Bessent’s view, this has contributed to widening wealth inequality. “The Fed must change course,” he wrote in September, and he is working to do what he can from the outside. Where does all this leave individual investors? Recently, I outlined ways an individual investor could build a portfolio of bonds to manage market risk. As this debate over the Fed reminds us, another reason to diversify is to protect against potential public policy changes that could affect the bond market. As investor and author Howard Marks often says, “we can’t predict, but we can prepare.”   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Scams part 2

"The Washington Post link provided enough headline to be able to search the internet for the article without providing an email address. Many sources came up, but this one allowed me to read it, although no comments provided. https://dnyuz.com/2025/12/12/it-wasnt-hard-to-hijack-transunion-credit-reports-i-did-it-to-myself/"
- Olin
Read more »

Free Newsletter

Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 38: AS STOCK prices fall, our enthusiasm should climb. The decline raises expected returns and offers the chance to buy at lower prices, both with new money and through rebalancing.

Truths

NO. 126: OUR DEBTS are effectively negative bonds. When we buy bonds, others pay us interest. When we take on debt, we pay interest to others. Suppose we have $100,000 in bonds and a $100,000 mortgage. Arguably, our net bond position is zero. Want to buy bonds? Often, the smart move is to pay down debt because that'll give us a higher after-tax return.

act

MAIL CHECKS with care. Ideally, you’d avoid the risk by paying online. But if that isn’t an option, be aware there’s a chance the check could be stolen and “washed” so it’s made out to someone new and for a far larger sum. What to do? Use the mail slot inside the post office to mail envelopes containing checks—and fill out your checks using a fraud prevention pen.

think

FIDUCIARY. If financial advisors are fiduciaries, they’re legally obligated to act in your best interest. By contrast, stockbrokers working on commission are held to the lower suitability standard: Their recommendations merely have to be suitable for the client. Be warned: Advisors may say they’re fiduciaries—but only act that way part of the time.

Manage that tax bill

Manifesto

NO. 38: AS STOCK prices fall, our enthusiasm should climb. The decline raises expected returns and offers the chance to buy at lower prices, both with new money and through rebalancing.

Spotlight: Cars

It Also Has Wheels

WE’VE OWNED OUR NEW 2023 Toyota Highlander Hybrid for six weeks. The technology and features are breath-taking. Until now, both of our vehicles were 18 years old. I feel like Rip Van Winkle, waking up in a time I do not recognize.
Here are some of the bells and whistles on our new SUV, and my evaluation of their usefulness. Please forgive me if some of this information isn’t accurate; I’m still learning about these features.

Read more »

Hybrid Math

MY FAMILY WILL SOON be in the market for a new vehicle. With gas prices approaching $5 a gallon in California, my gut tells me that we should set our sights on a hybrid. Upon doing some math, however, I get a different answer.
I priced out a few different vehicles, including the Toyota Camry and the Honda CR-V. In both cases, you pay an all-in premium—including taxes—of about $4,500 to own a hybrid over a similarly equipped model with a conventional engine.

Read more »

They’ve Gone Soft

MY WIFE AND I BOUGHT a used hybrid Toyota RAV4 recently. We saw it at a dealership and bought it that day.
This wasn’t an impulse purchase. We knew it was time to replace my 10-year-old Subaru Forester, and we’d done research on hybrids and electric vehicles. Because the new car would be our distance traveling vehicle, and my occasional work transportation, we wanted the flexibility of a hybrid. In time, we’ll replace our second car with an electric vehicle for local driving.

Read more »

Wheel Deal

I’VE BEEN KNOWN to overanalyze decisions, especially financial ones. When faced with a money question, often my first thought is to create a spreadsheet. While this brings groans from family and friends, I find them a great way to clarify my thinking and gain insights. Sometimes the resulting insights are glaringly obvious, and I get to laugh at myself.
My wife and I were looking to replace her nine-year-old SUV. We had read and heard that new car inventory was the biggest problem we’d face,

Read more »

Driving Me Happy

MY CAR EMAILED ME to say its tire pressure was low. Perhaps it’s more accurate to say it this way: An email from Subaru was triggered by data uploaded from my 2020 Forester, all part of the automatic safety and maintenance technology built into the vehicle. The email confirmed the dashboard light indicating the same problem.
My frugal friends and I have had friendly debates about car buying. Is it better to buy a used car and avoid the instant depreciation when you drive off the dealer’s lot?

Read more »

Mercedes and Me

MY FATHER WAS A CAR salesman. For the last 20 years of his career, he sold Mercedes and he was good at it. He even won a sales contest that included a trip to Germany to tour the factory.
Unfortunately, selling Mercedes does not mean you can afford one. But he did get to drive them. As a kid, I was also hooked. When I was 17, I was allowed to drive a 190SL in the local July 4th parade.

Read more »

Spotlight: Sayler

Mutual Admiration

LIKE MANY PEOPLE who read HumbleDollar, I greatly respect Warren Buffett’s opinions and insights. I’ve even attended Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting in Omaha. Now that it’s broadcast, I reserve the Saturday of the meeting to watch it on the web. Seeing it from a distance means I miss out on the terrific deals various Berkshire companies offer shareholders who attend in person. By attending virtually, however, I don’t have to navigate the crowds or spend six hours driving to Omaha and another six hours returning home. I almost always spend the entire meeting nodding in agreement with the comments made by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger. This year’s meeting started similarly. Then I heard an opinion with which I disagreed. During a question about Berkshire’s insurance company, Geico, Buffett said something that jolted me from my chair and had me shouting at the monitor. What could cause such an outburst? When speaking of Geico’s competitor, State Farm Insurance, Buffett said, “The largest auto insurance company in the United States was started over in Illinois by a guy who didn’t know anything about insurance particularly. And it’s a mutual company. It’s not supposed to succeed in capitalism.” Not succeed in capitalism? These words startled me because I’ve always been a huge believer in cooperatives and mutual companies. The reason goes back to my early childhood. I first learned about cooperatives when I was a young boy visiting my grandfather’s farm. My father made sure to fill our car with gas at the local co-op. Why? Grandpa would get back some of the money we’d spent in the annual dividend payment made to the co-op’s members at year-end. What a great idea, I thought. Local farmers had banded together to purchase costly goods at wholesale prices. Why should they pay somebody else more? To me, this fits well with 18th century economist Adam Smith’s “invisible hand,” where many benefit when each person looks after his or her own economic interest. Co-ops and mutual companies are both built on the philosophy that cutting out the middleman can mean better results for members. Buffett said this runs counter to what he learned in college. “If you go to business school,” he said, “they teach you that only because you have incentives and compensation… can companies succeed. Nobody’s really gotten rich off State Farm. They’ve sat there, and they are the largest insurance company.” [xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"] Perhaps an outside investor can’t profit much from mutual companies and co-ops, yet I’ve seen that they can be extremely successful businesses. The insurance industry used to have many mutual companies owned by policyholders. Just think of how many have mutual in their name: Mutual of Omaha, Liberty Mutual, Mass Mutual. Many savings and loans were organized as mutual companies, too. Although many have failed, the cause of their demise was not their form of organization. Rather, many closed after making poor lending decisions, a sign that mutuals are still governed by the hard rules of capitalism. Other co-ops are nationally known. REI, the outdoor equipment retailer, is a co-op that was started to purchase climbing rope at wholesale prices. Both Best Western hotels and Ace Hardware are cooperatives. Two of the largest mutual fund firms in the U.S. are mutual companies—Vanguard Group and TIAA. Most cooperatives are relatively small, like my local credit union and Mississippi Market—the neighborhood co-op where I buy locally sourced meat and organic vegetables. There’s a huge number of co-ops in the agriculture business. Land O’Lakes is a producer cooperative that makes everything  from its self-named cheese, butter and milk, to Purina animal feeds. Other dairy co-ops include Borden Dairy, Blue Bell Creameries and Kemps. Buffett may not consider the success of any of these firms as particularly likely in a capitalist system, but I’d argue that their success shows that cooperative and mutual firms deserve a place. Each co-op is simply making decisions in the best interest of its members, while also creating jobs and services that make our lives better. When I buy goods or services, I always check to see if a mutual company or a cooperative are possible suppliers. Sometimes they are and sometimes they aren’t. Either way, I figure they have a place in our economy. Kenyon Sayler is a retired mechanical engineer. He and his wife Lisa are extraordinarily proud of their two adult sons. He enjoys walking his dog, traveling, reading and gardening. Kenyon's brother Larry also writes for HumbleDollar. Check our Kenyon's earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Sleeping Well

ONE OF MY DREAMS for retirement was to take four months and hike the Continental Divide Trail. It runs along the backbone of our country, from the Mexican border to the Canadian border. It’s 3,028 miles of beautiful scenery. Alas, my wonderful wife worries about me hiking alone for months. What if I got hurt? What if I got sick? Our son uses a satellite phone on his treks to keep us up-to-date on his location. I reason that I’d be safe using a satellite phone as well. She isn’t buying that argument. Simply put, my wife can’t sleep well at night, not knowing how I’m doing. Which got us to our current compromise. She lets me go on longer hikes with a guide. That way, if I get hurt or sick, there’s somebody to make sure I get the care and attention I need. We first tried this compromise in 2018, when I joined a group walking the West Highland Way in Scotland. And, to be honest, I really enjoyed it. Instead of sleeping in a tent every night, we walked from guesthouse to guesthouse. Our baggage was ferried between our lodgings. I slept in a real bed every night. I ate a hot pub meal every evening. It really was the best of all worlds. I enjoyed it so much that I recently hiked the Coast to Coast Walk in England. It’s 192-miles long and passes through three national parks. Apart from the wonderful scenery, the camaraderie, the beds and pub grub, I enjoyed disconnecting from “the real world” for two weeks. No Wall Street Journal. No closing bell update. Not caring what the Fed is signaling. I’m able to unplug because I’ve heeded Warren Buffett’s advice to “only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.” Our investments are almost exclusively comprised of index funds. I know that we’ll achieve returns remarkably close to the benchmark, regardless of how the markets perform. On top of that, our allocation between stocks and more conservative investments means we should fare just fine, whether the next decade brings the best-case scenario or the worst. I’m free to pretend the market is shut down for the two weeks of my holiday. It doesn’t matter what happens. I’d hold those same assets regardless of how they perform while I’m away. So, my wife gets to sleep well knowing that I’m with a group whose leader will look after me should I turn an ankle. And I sleep well knowing that I don’t have to worry about our investments while I enjoy the beauty of the English lakes, moors and dales.
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Better Together

RETIREMENT PLANNING is about much more than money. As regular readers of HumbleDollar know, getting the social aspects right is just as important—and perhaps more so—than nailing the financial issues.  In 2019, before we retired, we took a trip to the desert southwest, a region we love. It was our first visit to Canyonlands National Park in Utah. I was captivated by the beauty of the rock formations, canyons and mesas. The most striking memory was the path of cottonwood trees, with their golden leaves, running along the Colorado River.  On that trip, we stood on the Island in the Sky mesa and looked down on the White Rim Road, a 100-mile road running through the park. Although it’s a road, it can be traversed only by foot, bicycle, motorcycle or high-clearance four-wheel-drive vehicle.  In winter 2022, I finally got serious about returning to the White Rim Road. My sons and their wives also said that they’d like to go, so we had to pick a date that worked for everyone. We were able to find two days in October that looked doable. A two-day visit meant we’d need to rent Jeeps.  The first order of business was obtaining an overnight permit to camp along the road. Only 20 such campsites are available, and October is one of the most popular times to visit.  Reservations for October camping opened at 8 a.m. on May 10. We had three of us logged into Recreation.gov trying to get a campsite. My wife was on a conference call with everybody, coordinating our activity. Fortunately, one of us scored our preferred campsite within minutes. I checked back the next day, and every campsite for every day in October had been reserved. Once we knew that we could go, we had to rent Jeeps. Fortunately, Moab, Utah, has a number of Jeep-rental services. Because five of us were going, we rented two Jeeps. All of us are veteran campers. The difference this time was that, while we all preferred human-powered adventure, this would be our first time in Jeeps. With a camping permit and Jeeps secured, we spent several months collecting the rest of our supplies. The National Park Service recommended that we carry 10 gallons of water per person and five gallons of extra gas per vehicle. We also needed a shovel to help dig out our Jeeps if they got bogged down. The rest of the gear was standard camping equipment that we all owned.  The first mile of the road is a 1,500-foot descent from the mesa to the river bottom. The road was built for trucks hauling uranium ore out of a mine, so—although it’s narrow with steep dropoffs along the sides—it’s in pretty decent shape.  The section of road we covered on the first day was rocky, and had steep ascents and descents. Our Jeeps recorded some of the roads as having a 21-degree grade. That’s sufficiently steep that, when you’re climbing, the Jeep’s hood blocks your view of the road.  [xyz-ihs snippet="Holiday-Donate"] It normally takes about five-and-a-half hours to travel the 45 miles to our campsite, but it took us a bit longer because we made several side trips to see other parts of the trail. While we were eating lunch beside the Colorado River, a group of canoeists stopped to use the latrine located nearby. We shared stories of our respective adventures. Shortly after arriving at our campsite, we started cooking dinner. The meal was standard camping fare, but the view overlooking the expansive valley, surrounded by the walls of the mesa, was far better than the view offered by any Michelin-rated restaurant.  Two memories of that evening are most vivid. First is the profound silence. In this extremely arid area, life is scarce. There was no background noise of insects buzzing or wind blowing, let alone any sounds of civilization, such as cars and airplanes. The only other time I’ve experienced such silence was in a quinzhee, where the snow absorbs all sound. The second memory was the beauty of the night sky. Canyonlands is a dark-sky preserve, so the firmament above was covered with points of light and the river that is the Milky Way. Whenever there are no lights to detract from the view, I’m always in awe of the night sky.  The second day, we drove around a buttress of the mesa, and the road changed from stony to shifting sand. At times, our speed got up to 20 mph, but we still had to crawl slowly over Hardscrabble Hill and up the Mineral Bottom switchbacks to the mesa top. It was a wonderful time spent with my sons and their spouses. The Rational Reminder podcast ends every interview with this question: How do you define success in your life? Many interviewees talk about making contributions to society or doing groundbreaking research. But my favorite answer was from author and financial advisor William Bernstein, who replied: “Oh, that’s easy. When you get to my age and your kids still want to spend time with you, then you are a success.” The lesson: Take the time to plan not just your retirement’s finances, but the social aspects as well. Kenyon Sayler is a retired mechanical engineer. He and his wife Lisa are extraordinarily proud of their two adult sons. He enjoys walking his dog, traveling, reading and gardening. Kenyon's brother Larry also writes for HumbleDollar. Check our Kenyon's earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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New Kid on the Job

I'M RETIRED, BUT I KEEP fairly busy. From January through April, I volunteer at AARP, helping folks file their income taxes. From May through October, our vegetable garden keeps me occupied. That leaves November and December as a slow period. There’s some volunteering that I do, but nothing that fills up large amounts of time. This year, I thought I might try some seasonal part-time work to keep myself occupied. Retailers usually need help during the holiday season. I’m sure that I could have gotten a higher wage if I’d applied to work for one of the big discount retail chains. But I really didn’t want to be too stressed by large volumes of customers, so I limited my job search to a few stores that I thought would need extra staff but wouldn’t be swamped by huge crowds on Black Friday. The experience reminded me of three things. Although I knew each of them, it was good to get a refresher. First, resumes still matter. At first, I slightly modified my current curriculum vitae (CV), stating that I wanted a seasonal, part-time retail position, but I left my work experience unchanged. I got soundly rejected by potential employers. Maybe it was discrimination because of my extensive work history. Maybe they thought I was overqualified. It really doesn’t matter—it wasn’t working. I changed my CV. I showed only five years of experience and, instead of saying that I was a manufacturing director, I said I’d been responsible for customer satisfaction. Customer satisfaction was certainly part of my previous job description, just not my only duty. Suddenly, I got more calls from employers, including an employer that had previously rejected me based on my old CV. Second, culture matters. I took a job at a national bookseller. Everybody was very nice to the new guy. I was wondering if this was just lucky happenstance or something that the manager worked to achieve. I found out one day when I had a problem. I thought a customer had a gift card that she was trying to redeem. I couldn’t get the gift card to be accepted, so I sent the customer to another cashier. I warned the cashier over the radio of the issue that I was having, and asked him to let me know what he did to get the card to work. A few minutes later, my colleague radioed me and told me that the person was trying to buy a gift card, not redeem one. I thanked him for letting me know. Being of relatively thick skin, I thought nothing more of the exchange. But then I heard the manager come over the radio and gently suggest to my coworker that perhaps his response had been a bit too sarcastic. Obviously, the manager was working to make sure all discussions were professional and respectful. Third, work is just a way to exchange our time for money. I’d taken the job to meet new coworkers, learn a bit about the book trade and stay out of my wife’s way for a few hours each week. I wasn’t working for the money. But it still affected my thinking. Our dog had a minor medical issue that required a trip to the veterinarian for some pain medication and antibiotics. The vet’s bill came to 20 hours of working. My wife reminded me that I wasn’t paying the vet bills with my current job. Still, I found myself converting all sorts of expenses into the number of hours I’d have to work to pay for them.
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Missing the Action

INVESTORS ARE OFTEN told that it’s impossible to consistently time the market. To do so successfully requires you to make two correct decisions: when to get out of stocks—and when to get back in. In 2022, J.P. Morgan published a study showing that a lump sum invested in the S&P 500 over the 20 years through 2020 would have earned an annualized return of 5.2% if you’d missed the 10 best days, versus 9.4% if you’d stayed invested throughout the period. Miss the 30 best days, and your annualized return would have dropped to 0.32%. Unfortunately, I may have suffered something similar. I’m very much a buy-and-hold investor. The vast majority of our portfolio is in index funds that we’ve owned for decades. In the past, I’ve written about the few individual stocks that we own. We’ve also held these positions for decades. I retired two years ago. Earlier this year, I thought that it was finally time that I roll over my 401(k) to my IRA. Some people make this switch because the funds in their employer’s 401(k) charge higher fees than are available in an IRA. Fortunately for me, that was not the case. My previous employer had consistently done a good job of minimizing costs. Instead, I wanted to reduce the number of financial institutions that my wife or other heirs will have to deal with after my demise. Although I could initiate the rollover electronically, I was surprised that both firms in the transaction wanted to use a paper check. A wire transfer wasn’t an option. On top of that, a check made out to the IRA sponsor would be sent to me, and I was then responsible for forwarding it. The only reason that I can fathom for doing it this way: Both firms wanted me to look at the check and make sure it was going to the right account. This could prevent any misunderstandings, such as having a traditional 401(k) rolled over into a Roth IRA, thereby triggering a large tax bill. The upshot: I ended up being out of the market for 21 days, even though I sent the check for next day delivery when it reached me. During those 21 days, my portfolio would have gone up 4.9% had it been fully invested. I do believe markets are random in the short term. If the investments I sold and then repurchased fell 4.9% during those 21 days, I’d have been singing the Hallelujah chorus. Instead, I feel a bit like Emmett Kelly’s character Weary Willie. Still, there are lessons here for readers:  You can’t time the market—and sometimes you find yourself out of the market even when you don’t want to be.
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Things to Experience

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMISTS tell us that we’ll get more satisfaction if we spend our dollars on experiences rather than on purchasing possessions. But what if the purchase allows us to have an experience? Buying a bike, for instance, allows me to take a ride with my sons. That raises the question: How much do we need to spend on equipment to get the maximum benefit from an experience? I got a glimpse of the answer to that question several years ago as I was walking out of the office on a Friday. The company’s lab director was leaving a little early, as was I. We talked a bit about our weekend plans. He and his wife were heading to Minnesota’s Boundary Waters for a weekend of canoeing. I was taking my sons and a group of Boy Scouts canoeing in a similar area. It struck me that the lab director was transporting his Kevlar canoe using his new Lexus, while I was taking a factory seconds rotomolded canoe on top of my 10-year-old Chevy. But we would both be sleeping under the exact same summer sky. We would each hear the laugh of loons on the lake in the morning. We would each enjoy the company of our companions. To have an experience, there’s some sum of money that needs to be spent on things. But once the basics are covered, there’s sharply diminishing returns on the additional dollars spent.
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